2023 Australian Open Day 8 Betting Previews: Bautista Agut and Paul Will Play a Close Match

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Spain's Roberto Bautista Agut returns the ball to Croatia's Borna Coric during the men's single quarter-final tennis match of the Davis Cup tennis tournament. Thomas Coex/AFP

ATP Pick: Over 38.5 Games (-110) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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The fourth round of the Australian Open concludes today. We’ve had exciting tennis action so far and I expect the rest of the week to be no different. Let’s dive in and find more winning tennis picks.

Before you go ahead and place your bets on tonight’s games, make sure to check out our guide on the best US sports betting sites!

Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Tommy Paul

Monday, January 23, 2023 – 12:00 AM EST at Margaret Court Arena

Player Matchup

Roberto Bautista Agut

Roberto Bautista Agut knocked out fan favorite Andy Murray in the third round to advance to his round of 16 matchup today. Bautista Agut got off to a hot start and then dropped the second set. He took control and finished the match in four sets. He spent a total of 3 hours and 32 minutes on court. This was a good win for Bautista Agut against the tennis legend as he scored a 6-1, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 victory.

This comes on the heels of a 5-set victory over Brandon Holt in the second round. Roberto Bautista Agut has definitely been putting in work so far in this tournament. Yet that is his style; Bautista Agut is known as a relentless grinder who will try to extend rallies, has excellent fitness, and will put your stamina to the test.

Roberto Bautista Agut had a nice build to the Australian Open scoring wins over Andrey Rublev, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and Thanasi Kokkinakis in the two warm-up events he played, and now he faces an opponent in top form, Tommy Paul.

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul is a 25-year-old American ranked 35th in the world. Paul advanced to the fourth round by getting a solid win over fellow American Jenson Brooksby. Paul made the victory over Brooksby look routine with a 6-1, 6-4, 6-3 win.

Tommy Paul did not have much of a warm-up to the Australian Open, playing in only one tournament this season before the Australian Open started. Still, it has not seemed to matter, as Paul is playing some of the best tennis we have seen from him in his career.

The Betting Picks

In this match, Tommy Paul will have the power advantage, and Roberto Bautista Agut will have the advantage in consistency. Bautista Agut rarely makes unforced errors and has no problems trying to extend rallies in order to put his opponent's fitness to the test.

Fortunately for Tommy Paul, he has not played much tennis going into this tournament. In this match, he should be fresh for the challenge he will face today.

I expect a close match today. I can't see either man winning in straight sets. Roberto Bautista Agut's ability to grind will force Tommy Paul to be at his best level in order to win sets, and he will be able to coax errors.

Therefore, I do believe there's a slight value on Roberto Batista Agut, but the best bet for this match is Roberto Bautista Agut/Tommy Paul Over 38.5 games at (-110) ATP odds.

ATP Pick: Over 38.5 Games (-110) at Bookmaker

ATP Pick: Roberto Bautista Agut ML (-108) at Bookmaker

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Roberto Bautista Agut ML (-108)
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Karolina Pliskova vs. Shuai Zhang

Sunday, January 22, 2023 - 09:00 PM EST at Kia Arena

Player Matchup

Karolina Pliskova

Karolina Pliskova has advanced to the round of 16 in the Australian Open four times. Her most recent trip to the round of 16 ended up in a semifinal appearance in 2019.

She has had a dominating run so far here in the tournament and has yet to drop a set. She defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-4, 6-2, and did not even face a break point in the match.

Shuai Zhang

Shuai Zhang also enters the match in good form. She has only dropped one set in the tournament so far, in the first round to Patricia Maria Tig. Zhang's third round win was an easy 6-3, 6-2 match, when She defeated up and coming American Katie Volynets in routine fashion.

Karolina Pliskova and Shuai Zhang have played each other seven times, with Pliskova winning all seven matches.

However, these matches took place between 2012 and 2018 and are not reflective of Zhang's current form. Zhang is number 22 in the world currently and is playing some of the best tennis of her career.

The Betting Pick

Even though Zhang is playing much better, this is a terrible matchup for her. Pliskova has the power to hit through Zhang and the quicker courts will accentuate her power, especially on the forehand side.

Zhang likes to keep opponents in long rallies, and Pliskova's power will prevent that.

I expect to see the 8th win in a row for Pliskova in a match where her style and the surface give her a huge edge. Our final bet for the day is Karolina Pliskova -3.5 games at (-106) betting odds.

WTA Pick: Karolina Pliskova -3.5 Games (-106) at Bookmaker

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.