2023 Australian Open Day 5 Top Picks: Madison Keys is a Good Bet To Score the Upset

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Madison Keys of the United States reacts during her match against Daria Kasatkina of Russia during Day 4 of the San Diego Open, part of the Hologic WTA Tour, at Barnes Tennis Center on October 13, 2022 in San Diego, California. Michael Owens/Getty Images/AFP

Tennis Pick: Madison Keys ML (+109) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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Round three of the Australian Open begins today. As the best players advance, the odds are much closer than they were in the first two rounds. There aren’t any heavy favorites and don’t expect massive upsets, it’ll be the players in the best form who continue to advance. Let’s take a look at today’s featured matches to find more winning tennis picks

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Madison Keys vs. Victoria Azarenka 

Friday, January 20, 2023 – 03:00 AM EST at Rod Laver Arena

Previous Matches

This will be a classic match between two tour veterans with Madison Keys taking on Victoria Azarenka tonight. Both players come into the match displaying strong form. This should be a high-quality match between two of the world's best players. 

Victoria Azarenka is nearing the end of her tennis career. At age 33, she probably has only one or two more seasons to be able to play at the top level. However, she is still playing excellent tennis, and she is a fan favorite in the WTA. 

She opened the tournament with a win over former Australian Open champion Sofia Kenin and followed that up with a win over Argentinian Nadia Podoroska. Azarenka was absolutely dominant in her win over Podoroska winning 6-1, 6-0. It is safe to say that she comes into this match in good form. 

Madison Keys made the semifinals of the Australian Open last year. Her powerful style plays well on the quick courts here in Australia. She is also in great form to start the tournament, coming on a five-match winning streak, all at the United Cup. Keys has racked up two solid wins in the first two rounds and has looked fantastic, blistering forehands past her opponents. 

Will History Repeat Itself?

Madison Keys and Victoria Azarenka played each other three times. Azarenka has come out on top in all three matches. The first was in 2018 in Miami where Madison Keys withdrew in the second set with an injury. Azarenka defeated Keys in straight sets in the French Open in 2021. That is a completely opposite surface of what they are playing on today and is not very predictive of today's results. 

Azarenka prevailed when the two met in Guadalajara last October. This was a close match where Azarenka was able to pull ahead at the end. This match was recent, on a similar surface, and should give Azarenka confidence coming into the match. 

So while Madison Keys has never beaten Victoria Azarenka, I think that she will win this match tonight. Keys always plays her best at the Grand Slams, and she is in much better form than she was when the two met in October. Keys' powerful groundstrokes should play better here as this is the best surface for her style against Azarenka's style. Because of the previous results, we are getting great WTA odds on Madison Keys.

Tennis Pick: Madison Keys ML (+109) at Bookmaker

Karen Khachanov vs. Frances Tiafoe  

Friday, January 20, 2023 - 03:00 AM EST at John Cain Arena

Previous Matches

The world number 20 Karen Khachanov faces the world number 17 Frances Tiafoe in what should be a great match here in the third round. Both men have looked strong in the first two rounds, and both men match up well. 

Karen Khachanov has dropped only one set en route to the third round. He lost a set to Australian Jason Kubler, but that was a blip in the radar as he continued and put forth a great performance. This is the strongest that we have seen Khachanov play in a while. 

Frances Tiafoe comes into this match on a seven-match win streak. Tiafoe has won 7 matches in a row in the United Cup. Tiafoe beat strong opponents such as Dan Evans and Lorenzo Musetti in the United Cup. These matches allowed him to build momentum before this Grand Slam tournament. 

Both men are hard hitters with strong defensive abilities. This match should be a battle of consistency. There will be plenty of long rallies, and the man who is able to endure and win these crucial points will be the one to be the victor. 

No Match for Tiafoe

I love the form that Frances Tiafoe has shown going into this match. Tiafoe has gotten better and better each season. It is obvious how much he's worked on his game, and his mental approach to the game is stronger as well. He has been clutch in big moments against the best players. 

After taking a look at the ATP odds, I like Frances Tiafoe to get the win and advance today. I think his quickness and defensive ability will allow him to keep more balls in play and outlast his Russian opponent. Tiafoe's rise has been a joy to watch as he is a fan favorite with his endearing smile and personality. Our second bet for today is Frances Tiafoe moneyline. 

Tennis Pick: Frances Tiafoe ML (-110) at Bookmaker

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