This Weekend’s Best European Soccer Bets: La Liga Matchday 23 & Serie A Matchday 24 Predictions

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Atletico de Madrid's Argentinian midfielder Rodrigo De Paul (R) celebrates with teammates after scoring his team's first goal during the Spanish League football match against Real Sociedad. (Photo by ANDER GILLENEA / AFP)

Continue reading for this weekend’s top soccer picks, La Liga analysis & Serie A predictions from across the top European leagues set to compete on February 25 & 26. Let’s waste no time diving into the betting markets to formulate the best betting picks for the fixtures involving AC Milan vs. Atalanta, Real Madrid vs. Atletico de Madrid, and more.  

Serie A & La Liga Soccer Picks

Soccer Pick: AC Milan vs. Atalanta Under 2.5 (+104) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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AC Milan vs. Atalanta Under 2.5 (+104)
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Soccer Pick: Real Madrid vs. Atletico de Madrid Under 2.5 (-114) at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)

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Real Madrid vs. Atletico de Madrid Under 2.5 (-114)
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AC Milan vs. Atalanta    

  • When: Sunday, February 26, 2023 – 02:45 PM EST Kick-Off   
  • Location: San Siro

Serie A Trends & Current Form 

  • Atalanta is unbeaten in 10 of their last 12 Serie A away games  
  • Under 1.5 goals were scored in Milan’s previous 4 games in all competitions 
  • Under 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of Atalanta’s last 5 meetings  

Expect a Cagey Affair Between Two Bidding Top Four Teams

AC Milan began 2023 on a drastic run of seven winless games, including four losses. However, a recent defensive switch-up has assisted the Scudetto holders in claiming three consecutive wins behind a trio of clean sheets.  

While Stefano Pioli’s squad hasn’t matched their defensive turnaround in the final four, three consecutive 1-0 victories have been enough to secure their position in the race for a top-four Serie A finish this term.  

The three-person backline instated by Pioli has undoubtedly made a difference for the Rossoneri team. Although their goal-scoring abilities have dwindled, they’ll face an Atalanta squad with similar issues in front of goal in recent months.   

We can expect a cagey 90 minutes at the San Siro as Atalanta will face a robust Milan defense alongside a failure to score in three of their last four games, and the tally of under 2.5 goals has emerged in four of their previous five.  

Serie A Matchday 24 Betting Odds & Predictions 

Backing the AC Milan moneyline is tempting, considering their three-game win streak. However, given the importance of league position for these top-tier teams who hope to be in a top-four place after the weekend, looking toward the goal market feels like the wiser move.    

To no surprise, the Serie A odds favor the home side, but the uncertainty of each squad is providing plus money at both ends of the moneyline. Milan has been low-scoring winners of late, while Atalanta is one of three teams in the Serie A that averages less than a goal conceded per game while on the road.   

Score prediction: AC Milan 0 – Atalanta 0  

Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 (+104) at BetOnline

Real Madrid vs. Atletico de Madrid  

  • When: Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 12:30 PM EST Kick-Off   
  • Location: Santiago Bernabeu Stadium

La Liga Trends & Current Form 

  • Atletico de Madrid has failed to score in four consecutive away La Liga games versus Real  
  • Real Madrid is unbeaten in 14 consecutive La Liga home games  
  • Under 2.5 goals were scored in Atletico’s previous 7 La Liga games at the Bernabeu   

The Madrid Derby Rarely Delivers a Goal Fest            

Following a 5-2 dismantling of Liverpool during a midweek Champions League showcase, Real Madrid returns to action in another highlight feature game when they host Atletico in the Madrid Derby.  

Despite their seven-goal thriller at Anfield, where Los Blancos netted five, we shouldn’t expect a similar scoreline from the El Derbi. A stubborn Atletico defense has conceded just two goals from their last six La Liga meetings.  

The Madrid rivals recently met in the Copa del Rey quarterfinals. Although Real won the contest 3-1, the scoreline was 1-1 at the end of 90 minutes as Carlo Ancelotti’s men needed extra time and a red card for their foes to find another two goals.  

Diego Simeone has assisted Atletico in putting on a defensive masterclass of late. Their La Liga meetings have produced under 2.5 goals in nine of their last 10, and four consecutive 1-0 wins for this weekend’s visitors are also worth noting.  

La Liga Week 23 Betting Odds & Picks 

Eleven of the last 14 clashes between Atletico and Real have provided under 2.5 goals, and eight of those games ended in a draw. Furthermore, tired legs can be expected in the Real camp as all signs point towards another low-scoring El Derbi meeting in Madrid.  

The La Liga odds favor Real with a -125 moneyline price and a comeback on Atletico at +350. However, touching a side isn’t necessary, and considering both squads are in form, a low-scoring draw feels like the most sensible betting approach for this fixture. 

Score prediction: Real Madrid 1 – Atletico de Madrid 1   

Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 (-114) at Everygame

Extra Serie A & La Liga Bets to Beat the Bookie  

Sevilla vs. Osasuna: Sevilla ML (-120) at Everygame

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Sevilla ML (-120)
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Bologna vs. Inter Milan: Inter Milan ML (-149) at Everygame

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Inter Milan ML (-149)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.