The final set of games in the Italian Serie A takes place this Tuesday and Wednesday prior to the leagues’ winter break. Inter Milan have remained the top team after the first half of the season, despite losing their manager and star man Romelu Lukaku, as well as Christian Ericksen plus Hakimi.
Napoli have been impressive more often than not, and so have Atalanta, whilst Juventus continue to struggle, sitting in 7th place and 12 points behind league leaders. We found it hard to find much value this week but we have managed to place a few bets, so let’s get into some Serie A odds.
Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC
Tuesday, December 21, 2021 – 02:45 PM EST at Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Atalanta will feel very aggrieved coming away from their 4-1 loss to Jose Mourinho’s Roma, which has helped Roma narrow the gap to Atalanta, who sit in 4th spot. It's still a nice lead, but if they had of won that game the gap would have been a massive 12 points.
Atlanta managed to outshoot Roma 17 shots to eight and ten corners compared to Roma’s zero. Atalanta have been much better on the road this season, as they have the best away record in the entire league, scoring a total of 27 goals and conceding just nine in their eight away games.
Seven of those eight resulted in wins. Genoa on the other hand has the worst home form in the league, picking up just three points from a possible 24 on home soil. Scoring eight and conceding 17. Atlanta will want to start a new winning streak before the winter break and we see them winning this one comfortably, at the very least they win 2-0 or 3-1 in our opinion, so let’s take them on the -1.5 goal line at +100.
Sassuolo vs. Bologna FC
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 - 10:30 AM EST at Città del Tricolore
Interesting matchup here as both these teams are sitting on 24 points, who is willing to put the maximum effort into this game here to leapfrog the other before the winter break? Sassuolo have been very inconsistent this season, and so have Bologna.
Although all nine of Sassuolo’s away games have seen over 2.5 this season, there are only 6-3 to the over 2.5 at home, and Bologna have seen five of their eight away games go over 2.5 goals and four of the previous five meetings between these teams seen over 2.5 goals scored.
Both teams believe they can win this and therefore we see plenty of action in this game, goals, corners, cards etc. We are going to take over 1.5 goals in this one along with over 1.5 cards each at -130. Although you could play the over 2.5 goals to get better odds, we do like the -130, they seem pretty nice considering this bet should cash.
Worst case scenario we see a 1-1 draw or 2-0 Sassuolo. Both teams combined have seen 5.2 cards per game and with this being a unique game we can see both teams picking up over 1.5 cards each.
Serie A Pick: Over 1.5 Cards Each + Game Over 1.5 Goals (-130) at The Best Online Sportsbook
Venezia FC vs. Lazio
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 - 10:30 AM EST at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
This play here is the best value of the whole card that we could find, were do we begin with this one. Venezia average 2.5 cards at home, whilst Lazio pick up an average of 3 cards away from home.
Both teams have also picked up two reds each this season. Both teams have a lot to fight for here ahead of the winter break, Venezia would like to create an even bigger gap between themselves and the relegation zone. Lazio are in a fight to get into European competition next season and currently sit three points behind 6th.
The referee here is the highest-card average referee in the league this season. F Maresca has handed out 7.60 cards per game as well as two red cards. He has been the referee in a total of five games this season.
The value on this bet is much better than we were expecting, we anticipate the odds on over 5.5 cards to be at best -110. We are more than happy to pound this one in Serie A on Wednesday night.
Serie A Pick: Over 5.5 Cards (+110) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.