Group E features two strong European nations in the form of Spain (the 2010 World Cup winners) and Germany (the 2014 World Cup winners).
The other two nations in the group are Cost Rica and Japan, both teams have the potential to cause an upset, but it’s going to be very difficult with two of the best soccer nations in the World in their group.
Let’s take a look at the matchups for this Wednesday and break down the World Cup odds for these games.
Spain vs. Costa Rica
Wednesday, November 23, 2022 – 11:00 AM EST at Al Thumama Stadium
Spain comes into this tournament as underdogs compared to recent years, but they are still priced up as the 5th favorites at +800 in the World Cup futures odds. Manager Luis Enrique has been criticized for leaving several senior players at home which will result in just 6 of his 26-man squad having played at a previous World Cup. Spanish coach Enrique hit back at criticism saying he is the “best coach in the world”.
It suits Spain to come into this World Cup as underdogs and they will be happy to pick up three points here in the opener, even if it is a low-scoring and subpar performance.
Costa Rica is no pushover, they made the quarter-finals of the 2014 World Cup where they topped a group containing:
Many of that 2014 squad is still on the 26-man roster (we suspect for many of them this will be their last World Cup).
Los Ticos have only lost one of their previous ten games, this could be a narrow win for Spain.
Costa Rica vs. Spain Betting Picks
- Costa Rica +2 Goals Handicap
Okay we know Spain is good, but do we have to believe the sportsbooks are massively disrespecting Costa Rica to win here at +2000? That gives them a 4.8% chance of winning, we believe their true odds to be at least an 8% chance of winning which comes to +1050 odds.
So yes, there is value to be had betting on Costa Rica, but the value is still leaving us with a massive outsider, a safer option is most definitely to bet Costa Rica on the handicap line. Giving them a +2.0 goal advantage at +105 is the most logical play. Costa Rica has conceded less than 2 goals in 12 of their previous 15 games.
Although the opposition wasn’t as strong as Spain, we feel Costa Rica should at least only lose by 2 goals and we will get a push.
Germany vs. Japan
Wednesday, November 23, 2022 – 08:00 AM EST at Khalifa International Stadium
Germany is playing in their 17th World Cup in a row and the 2014 World Cup Champions breezed past their qualification group for the tournament, amassing the most amount of points across all the European qualifications.
The Germans have made it as far as the semi-finals in 7 of their 9 previous World Cups and in 2018 were knocked out in the quarter-finals by South Korea.
Japan is making their 7th consecutive World Cup appearance here in Qatar but it seems likely that the Samurai Blues' dreams could be dashed before we even kick-off, as they will most likely need an unlikely draw or win in this very difficult matchup against Germany to stand a chance of making the knockout phase.
Japan vs. Germany Betting Picks
- Germany -1 Handicap
Japan hasn’t had a strong underdog record in recent games taking just two ties and five losses in their previous seven competitive games and it must be noted they were never as high as +700 to win (which they are today).
Germany should be too strong for Japan here and we are betting the Germans on the -1.0 handicap at World Cup soccer odds at -130. If they win by just one goal we will receive a push, we believe they can cover the spread for our soccer picks and win by a 2+ goal margin but at the very least we see Germany winning the game.
- Daichi Kamada 1+ Shot on Target
Japanese striker Daichi Kamada plays his soccer in Germany for Eintracht Frankfurt and has been in impressive form this season netting 7 goals in 13 league games. Kamada has 6 goals in 22 international appearances.
It might be a stretch to believe he will score here at +600 odds with the best World Cup sportsbooks, we would like to be getting at least +850 against this German team. Kamada to have 1+ shot on target is currently +170 which is a safer play. We do get the feeling he if he does score it, will either be first or last which is available to bet at +1400.
Predicted Score: Japan 1 – Germany 3
World Cup Pick: Daichi Kamada 1+ Shot on Target (+150) at the Top Rated Sportsbooks
World Cup Pick: Germany -1 (-130) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.