Group E 2022 World Cup Best Bets for November 27: Spain Can Make “The Group of Death” Look Easy

profile image of David Manyun
spain-ferran-torres-gavi-costa-rica-aspect-ratio-16-9
Spain's forward #11 Ferran Torres celebrates with Spain's midfielder #09 Gavi after scoring against Costa Rica. (Photo by Raul ARBOLEDA / AFP).

We’re back with another round of expert analysis and betting predictions for Group E of Qatar’s 2022 World Cup tournament.

Labeled initially “The Group of Death” with Spain and Germany’s involvement, Group E was burst wide open with Japan’s success over Hansi Flick’s squad, and now Spain can send their rivals packing with a win this Sunday.

Read on for this week’s Group E World Cup best bets, soccer analysis, and free Qatar betting preview for the fixtures involving Japan vs. Costa Rica and Spain vs. Germany.


Japan vs. Costa Rica

Sunday, November 27, 2022 – 05:00 AM EST at Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium

World Cup 2022 Trends and Team Form

  • Japan is unbeaten in 8 consecutive games in all competitions.
  • Costa Rica has won just 1 of their previous 8 league games.
  • Japan averages 2.00 goals in all competitions.

Samurai Blue Win the Duel Against Germany

While their success over Germany was undoubtedly overshadowed by Saudi Arabia’s shocking upset over Argentina, Samurai Blue was still held in high regard after becoming the second-best comeback of the week against Germany.

Following an early goal from İlkay Gündoğan, Japan head coach Hajime Moriyasu made 2 super substitutions as Ritsu Doan and Takuma Asano left Germany dumbfounded with goals in the '75 and '83 minutes.

Moriyasu’s men will end their Qatar group stage campaign against Spain on December 1, so the importance of their weekend meeting with Costa Rica is imperative. And when we consider the contrasting results of Samurai Blue and Los Ticos, the Japanese squad will be incredibly confident in their chances of collecting another 3 points.

History Doesn’t Favor Los Ticos

Costa Rica was embarrassed by Spain 7-0; however, Iran proved today (2-0 win versus Wales) that heavy losses don’t always represent a team's qualification chance. With that said, the head-to-head history between Costa Rica and Japan doesn’t bode well for the Group E basement dwellers.

Los Ticos have faced Japan on 5 occasions, and the most recent outing in 2018 ended in a 3-0 loss. However, Luis Fernando Suarez’s men can build off their World Cup qualification campaign that involved a triumphant meeting with New Zealand back in June.


Japan vs. Costa Rica: Pick and Prediction

The available 2022 FIFA World Cup odds at Bookmakers Review have Japan as the moneyline favorite, but at -220, I’m not interested in the juice.

This game could provide an abundance of goals, with Costa Rica having a point to prove and Japan’s opportunity to progress into the round of 16; I like the team total Over for Samurai Blue.

They netted 2 against Germany, while Los Ticos were defensively lost last time, making the TT a tempting wager at -145.

Score Prediction: Japan 3 - Costa Rica 2

World Cup Pick: Japan Over 1.5 Goals (-145) [1.45u wager returns 1u] at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Heritage Sports logo
Japan Over 1.5 Goals (-145)
Visit Site

Spain vs. Germany

Sunday, November 27, 2022 - 02:00 PM EST at Al Bayt Stadium

World Cup 2022 Trends and Team Form

  • Spain is the highest-scoring team in Qatar thus far.
  • Spain is undefeated in 35 of their last 39 games in all competitions.
  • Germany has won just 1 game in their previous 7 appearances.

Spain to Build on Impressive 7-0 Victory

Spain won’t have the luxury of facing a low-level defense like Los Ticos on Sunday. Still, after watching Germany suffer an embarrassing defeat to Japan, Luis Enrique will be running his hands with the opportunity to deliver his fellow Group E favorites an early exit from the competition.

Spain not only slipped 7 goals beyond the sticks of Los Ticos, but they maintained 82% possession with a whooping 17 shots. Ferran Torres with a brace, alongside Dani Olmo, Marco Asensio, Gavi, Carlos Soler, and Alvaro Morata, added to Costa Rica's misery in Spain's dominant World Cup opener.

Germany Will Be Desperate for Three Points

It’s been highlighted that Hansi Flick’s German squad is under construction, and with a mere 3 wins from 10 games in 2022, this would perhaps be an understatement.

The impressive German team of the past is no longer, and this squad has managed to keep just one clean sheet from 9 previous outings in all competitions. More worryingly, the last time these 2 nations met, Spain dismantled them with a 6-0 victory.

Germany will be desperate to put 3 points on the board, but this desperation could leave one-two-many gaps for Torres and co. to deliver another impressive scoreline.


Spain vs. Germany: Pick and Prediction

The available World Cup odds at Bookmakers Review are gifting us with plus-money on either team, Spain is the slight favorite at +135, and I’m happy to take this price for our soccer picks.

Score Prediction: Spain 3 - Germany 1

World Cup Pick: Spain ML (+135) [1u wager returns 1.35u] at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

BetOnline logo
Spain ML (+135)
Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.