Group C 2022 World Cup Best Bets for November 26: Argentina Can’t Lose Again, Can They?

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Argentina's forward #10 Lionel Messi reacts during the Qatar 2022 World Cup Group C football match against Saudi Arabia. (Photo by Kirill KUDRYAVTSEV / AFP).

Another helping of our expert World Cup betting picks is available for this weekend’s action in Qatar.

The World Cup often provides shocking performances, but Argentina’s loss to Saudi Arabia this week could go down as one of the most unexpected results in history. There’s no way La Albiceleste can lose 2-in-a-row, or can they?

Read on for this week’s Group C World Cup best bets, soccer analysis, and free Qatar betting preview for the fixtures involving Poland vs. Saudi Arabia and Argentina vs. Mexico.


Poland vs. Saudi Arabia

Saturday, November 26, 2022 – 08:00 AM EST at Education City Stadium

World Cup 2022 Trends and Team Form

  • Poland has won just 1 of their last 6 games in all competitions.
  • Saudi Arabia is unbeaten in 21 of their last 24 games in all competitions.
  • Under 2.5 goals has landed in Poland’s previous 4 meetings.

Saudi Arabia Aiming for Another Shocker

Hervé Renard and his Saudi Arabia team can secure their position in the World Cup round of 16 if they can overcome Poland on Saturday. Nobody would have guessed the Saudis would be sitting atop Group C after matchday one. Still, the Green Falcons played excellent football in their opening fixture and took advantage of a lackadaisical Argentina squad.

Everyone expected Renard to construct a defensive approach against the Argentines with his typical 4-2-3-1 formation. Still, with a mere 30% possession on the day, it was pretty impressive how they managed to fend off the attacking talent they were faced with.

Poland Needs Points to Avoid Banking on Group Stage

Poland was held to a bore draw against Mexico during their matchday one encounter, partly due to the defensive approach they held onto. At times, they seemed scared to attack, and with the likes of Robert Lewandowski leading in the final third, this isn’t the approach that will assist them in advancing from the group stage.

With a mere 39% possession against Mexico and just 2 shots on target, coach Czeslaw Michniewicz will need to enforce a much more significant attacking threat to damage a Saudi team that managed to hold back Argentina for 90 minutes.


Poland vs. Saudi Arabia: Pick and Prediction

The available 2022 Fifa World Cup odds at Bookmakers Review have placed Poland as the betting favorite. Because the Green Falcons will likely play another defensive game, it should allow Poland more opportunity to incorporate an attacking threat and utilize their star man Lewandowski.

We don’t expect Saudi Arabia to emulate their opening game success, and with Poland’s desperation for points and the presence of Lewandowski, a 1-0 final score in favor of the Polish side makes sense.

With that said, 2 defensive approaches from both teams on matchday one is an excellent match for betting on the Under for our soccer picks.

Score Prediction: Poland 1 - Saudi Arabia 0

World Cup Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (+100) [1u wager returns 1u] at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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Argentina vs. Mexico

Saturday, November 26, 2022 - 02:00 PM EST at Lusail Stadium

World Cup 2022 Trends and Team Form

  • Argentina has won 13 of their previous 17 fixtures.
  • Mexico has lost 6 of its last 7 meetings with Argentina.
  • Mexico has conceded 20 goals from their previous 7 meetings with Argentina.

Bounce Back for Argentina

When Argentina was awarded a penalty in the 10th minute during their clash with Saudi Arabia, we all believed the result was signed, sealed, and delivered. Pre-game expectations were already high for La Albiceleste, so naturally, it seemed to be the beginning of the end once Messi slotted the ball between the sticks.

However, the Saudis bounced back and delivered one of the most shocking results in World Cup history. It’s now Argentina’s time to bounce back, as the pressure is on to put points on the board, being the only Group C squad that’s currently pointless.

Before this defeat and on the brink of breaking the international record for most consecutive undefeated meetings, Argentina had gone 36 games unbeaten, winning 13 of their last 16 games since lifting the Copa America in 2021. They netted 37 goals and conceded just three during this time, so we shouldn’t expect a day-one mishap to represent their overall chance of success moving forward.

El Tri Faces a Difficult Outing

Mexico will, unfortunately, face an Argentina squad possessed; their opponents are in a must-win situation, and we expect them to treat this game as if it were an elimination matchup. More worryingly than Mexico’s lackluster efforts against Poland on matchday one is their historical form against Argentina.

El Tri has won only 2 of their previous 7 games with Argentina and has lost 6 of those meetings with an aggregate score of 20-4.


Argentina vs. Mexico: Pick and Prediction

The available World Cup odds at Bookmakers Review would have placed Argentina in the -500 range should they have overcome Saudi Arabia; luckily for us, the moneyline price against Mexico has plummeted due to their matchday one loss.

If there’s a time to pounce on Argentina, it's now. Priced at -164, these odds cannot be ignored as it's a more reliable fixture for Lionel Scaloni’s men to put points on the board, as Poland will provide a stiffer defense and a more strenuous outing on the final matchday.

Score Prediction: Argentina 2 - Mexico 0

World Cup Pick: Argentina ML (-164) [1.64u wager returns 1u] at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.