Group C 2022 World Cup Best Bets for November 22: The Goal Count Could Get Messi for Saudi Arabia

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Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates his goal during the international friendly football match between Argentina and Jamaica. Andres Kudacki/AFP

We’ve gathered our best bets for Group C of the Qatar World Cup that will take center stage on Tuesday morning, as Lionel Messi prepares for his final attempt at claiming the most prestigious prize in all of soccer.

Saudi Arabia isn’t much of a challenge for Lionel Scaloni’s men, and we can expect the Argentinian goal count to get messy. Meanwhile, Mexico and Poland will battle to declare who can give La Albiceleste a run for their money in Group C.

Read on for this week’s Group C World Cup best betting picks, soccer analysis, and free Qatar betting preview for the fixtures involving Argentina vs. Saudi Arabia and Mexico vs. Poland.


Argentina vs. Saudi Arabia

Tuesday, November 22, 2022 – 05:00 AM EST at Lusail Iconic Stadium

World Cup 2022 Trends & Team Form

  • Argentina is unbeaten in 35 consecutive games in all competitions
  • Argentina has 6 clean sheets from their last 7 games
  • Saudi Arabia has failed to score in their 3 most recent encounters with South American teams

Argentina Will Put Its Stamp on Group C Early

Since the World Cup odds placed Brazil, France, and England as the tournament’s betting favorites this past summer, Argentina has emerged as the team expected to win it all when evaluating the most significant line movement. And in a competition that could be Lionel Messi’s final appearance on the big stage, the stars seem to be aligning in unison for the seven-time Ballon d’Or winner as the current Argentinian squad looks primed to lift the trophy this year.

Lionel Scaloni has expertly crafted La Albiceleste into an unstoppable force. Their journey to Qatar has been accompanied by an unbeaten record of 35 games that could break the international record held by Italy (37) if the Sky Blue and Whites can avoid defeat in Group C.

Argentina hasn’t lost since the 2019 Copa America against their rivals Brazil, but they avenged this meeting by beating them in last year’s final. Most recently, Argentina’s quintet of wins has seen five clean sheets and 16 goals – netting a minimum of three in each game.

A Repeat of Russia 2018

Saudi Arabia competed in the opening game of the 2018 World Cup, but they were dismantled 5-0 by the competition's host team Russia. As they’ll now face Argentina in their opening game of the 2022 edition, it’s challenging to overlook the Arabian Falcons falling to a similar fate.

The World Cup in 1994 was the last time we saw the Saudis progress outside the group stage, and as the 51st-ranked team by FIFA, they aren’t entering this year’s tournament in the best form.

Betting Pick and Prediction

The available odds at the best World Cup sportsbooks have placed Argentina as a significant betting favorite, which is a wholly justified price tag.

However, if we want to find betting value in this fixture, we must look at the alternative markets, and I see value in the -1½ handicap prop. I believe Messi and co. will make a state Tuesday morning, and a 3 or 4 nil scoreline seems fitting for the massive gap in talent levels we’re going to witness.

Score Prediction: Argentina 3 – Saudi Arabia 0

Soccer Pick: Argentina -1½ Handicap (-101) [1.74u wager returns 1u] at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Argentina -1½ Handicap (-174)
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Mexico vs. Poland

Tuesday, November 22, 2022 - 11:00 AM EST at Stadium 974

  • Mexico has scored at least 1 goal in 5 of their previous 6 games
  • Poland has failed to keep a clean sheet in six consecutive games
  • Poland has seen under 2.5 goals in their last 3 games in all competitions

Group C Runner-Up Could Be Decided on Gameday 1

Unknown to some, the Mexican squad has fought out of the Group Stage in eight consecutive World Cup appearances. But with Robert Lewandowski and a strong Poland team waiting for them, history may not repeat itself.

Overall, Mexico boasts a wealth of experience, as three of the squad members own more than 500 caps alone. That said, the prime years of this aging squad may not bode well against a strong, youthful presence at this year’s World Cup.

It’s been difficult to gauge Mexico’s form, which has been up and down of late. Success against Iraq, Peru, and Suriname has undoubtedly been positive, but losing to Colombia, Paraguay, and Uruguay has stolen some of that shine.

Both Teams Can Find the Back of The Net

Poland enters their meeting with Mexico owning the most prominent star from both squads, Robert Lewandowski. The Barcelona front-runner has netted 13 goals for his country since the beginning of 2021, and finding him on the score sheet wouldn’t be a surprise.

While the Polish squad owns the star power advantage, one man doesn’t make the team, and it’s difficult to separate these two nations outside Lewandowski’s presence.

As both squads will be conscious of how important it is not to lose this game to stand a chance of reaching the group stage, we could witness a cautious approach at both ends. However, goals haven’t been a challenge for Mexico and Poland, as one struggles with clean sheets, and the other has scored in 5 of their last 6 outings.

Betting Pick and Prediction

The available World Cup odds cannot split these two teams, as plus-money can be found on either moneyline.

I expect a 1-1 tie game, which presents significant value on the draw and both teams to score betting markets.

Score Prediction: Mexico 1 – Poland 1

Soccer Pick: Both Teams to Score (+100) [1u wager returns 1u] at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Both Teams to Score (+100)
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Soccer Pick: Draw (+210) [0.5u wager returns 1.05u] at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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Draw (+210)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.