Group A 2022 World Cup Best Bets for Friday: The Tournament Hosts Will Take an Early Exit

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Ecuador's midfielder #19 Gonzalo Plata (C) celebrates with a teammate as Qatar's defender #15 Bassam Al Rawi (L) gestures at the end of the match during the Qatar 2022 World Cup Group A football match between Qatar and Ecuador on November 20, 2022. (Photo by Kirill KUDRYAVTSEV / AFP)

We’re back with our expert World Cup betting picks for Group A’s Friday matches.

Qatar was wholly outclassed by Ecuador in the competition’s opening game, and their opportunity to remain in the tournament will be decided against a tough Senegalese side. The two front runners of Group A, the Netherlands and Ecuador, could be competing to determine which nation advances as the No.1 team.

Read on for this week’s Group A World Cup best bets, soccer analysis, and betting preview for the fixtures involving Qatar vs. Senegal and Netherlands vs. Ecuador.

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Qatar vs. Senegal

Friday, November 25, 2022 – 08:00 AM EST at Al Thumama Stadium

World Cup 2022 Trends & Team Form

  • Senegal’s previous three games have seen under 2.5 goals
  • Senegal is unbeaten in 61 of their last 71 games in all competitions
  • Senegal prevented the Netherlands from scoring for 84 minutes

Both Teams Need Three Points to Survive

Senegal and host nation Qatar will enter Friday’s Group A encounter with a desperation to put some points on the board. Both teams lost their opening fixtures; however, the Senegalese squad gave group favorites the Netherlands a run for their money, preventing the Dutch team from finding the net until the 84th minute.

Qatar was outclassed in every facet of the game when faced with Ecuador. Now, they’ll face a physical Senegal side that can bully and overpower the hosts, emulating Ecuador’s success.

Senegal Owns All the Advantages Over Qatar

When considering Qatar failed to register a single shot on target versus Ecuador and Senegal held off a talented Netherlands squad for the most part of the 90 minutes, Qatar will likely struggle in the final third again.

The Lions of Teranga displayed moments of greatness against the Dutch, and Friday’s encounter will be a significant drop-down in quality for Aliou Cisse and his squad. While the absence of Sadio Mane is undoubtedly painful, Krepin Diatta can step up to the plate and provide an attacking threat capable of punishing a lackluster Qatar defense.

Betting Pick and Prediction

The available World Cup odds at Bookmakers Review have placed Senegal as the betting favorite, and it’s hard to argue this position.

Senegal owns the more talented squad, and Qatar has played some of the worst 90 minutes of football during the World Cup thus far. With a moneyline price of +115 at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review), Senegal to win is giving us excellent value.

Score Prediction: Qatar 0 - Senegal 2

Soccer Pick: Senegal ML (+115) at Everygame

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Netherlands vs. Ecuador

Friday, November 25, 2022 - 11:00 AM EST at Khalifa International Stadium

World Cup 2022 Trends & Team Form

  • The Netherlands is unbeaten in 14 consecutive games in all competitions
  • The Netherlands have recorded 7 straight draws at halftime during World Cup games
  • Ecuador games have been under 2.5 in 13 of their last 14 games
  • Less than three goals have been scored in the Netherlands’ previous 3 games

Boats of Confidence for the Netherlands and Ecuador

Ecuador and their Friday morning opponents, the Netherlands, began their 2022 World Cup tenure with identical 2-0 successes. Should either team replicate another 3-point victory, a position in the round of 16 would be almost guaranteed.

The Dutch looked lethargic at times versus Senegal, but a late push from the Oranje came with an 84th and 98th-minute goal to secure a vital win.

Ecuador ran Qatar ragged without much struggle. They dominated possession and the attacking threat and didn’t need to exert themselves to defend against a miserable Qatari attack as they collected an easy three points.

Goals Could Be Scarce

Both squads will arrive at this game with notable defensive attributes. The Netherlands will look for a fourth consecutive clean sheet, and Ecuador hasn’t conceded a goal since March, a clean sheet record of seven games.

Similar to the Netherlands matchday one encounter with Senegal, a low-scoring, tactical battle has the potential to ensue. The fitness levels of Memphis Depay are still in question, and it wasn’t until he was substituted late in the Senegal meeting that the Dutch could threaten a special attack.

Betting Pick and Prediction

The available World Cup odds at Bookmakers Review have positioned the Netherlands as the slight betting favorite at -122. While this price is tempting, backing the under is a stronger position.

This game could well end in a bore draw as the spoils are shared. If Depay is absent, this will damage Holland’s goal-scoring ability yet again, and two robust defenses will give us value on the under 2.5 goals at plus money with Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review).

Score Prediction: Netherlands 0 - Ecuador 0

Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 goals (+105) [1u wager returns 1.05u] at Bookmaker

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.