FA Cup Fourth Round Best Bets: Haaland Has Risen from Hibernation to Extend his Goal-Scoring Streak

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Manchester City's Norwegian striker Erling Haaland gives thumbs up as he celebrates victory at the end of the UEFA Champions League Group G first-leg football match between Sevilla FC and Manchester City, at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan stadium in Seville. (Photo by Thomas COEX / AFP)

Soccer Pick: Man City vs. Arsenal Both Teams to Score (-161) at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)

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The FA Cup Fourth Round odds are available, and we’re back to dissect the most historic cup competition in England alongside our free soccer picks for this weekend’s schedule.  

Manchester City fans can take a sigh of relief after their star man Erling Haaland broke his rare scoreless streak against Wolverhampton last time out. But can the hat-trick hero make a difference versus the league leaders and main challengers for City’s EPL title – Arsenal – in Friday’s FA Cup clash?   

Read on for this weekend’s FA Cup Fourth Round betting preview, soccer analysis & free FA Cup picks for the weekend fixtures involving Manchester City, Arsenal, Brighton, and Liverpool. 

Don’t forget you can use these US betting sites to make all of your soccer bets this weekend.


Manchester City vs. Arsenal

Friday, January 27, 2023 – 03:00 PM EST at Etihad Stadium

FA Cup Trends & Current Form  

  • Arsenal is scoring an average of 3.00 goals in their FA Cup games  
  • Man City have conceded at least one goal in 4 of their last 6 home games 
  • In 4 of Arsenal’s previous 6 games, over 2.5 goals were scored 
  • Over 2.5 goals were scored in Man City’s last 3 FA Cup meetings  

The Haaland Drought is Over                                          

Before clashing with the only team to have outperformed them this season, Pep Guardiola will be thankful that a certain star returned to his goal-scoring ways during City’s last outing versus Wolves.  

It hasn’t been a common occurrence this term, but Erling Haaland has been absent from the goal sheet in 2023. That was until the EPL’s most prolific goal scorer claimed his fourth hat-trick of the season last weekend. But will the Norwegian net ripper continue his emphatic ball skills versus the only team sitting above his side in the domestic standings?  

City will hope to avoid their first FA Cup fourth-round exit since 2015 as they’re matched with Arsenal in this year’s edition. History has fared well for Guardiola’s men, who’ve reached the semi-finals of the FA Cup in four consecutive years, and the defending EPL champions enter Friday’s meeting behind a nine-game winning streak in FA Cup games – netting at least three goals per match.   

A Preview of the 2023 EPL Champions?                                           

Arsenal owns a five-point gap over Man City in the EPL standings, but as the two sides have yet to meet this season, Friday’s FA Cup game could be a preview of this year’s Premier League winners.   

There’s no ignoring the excellent season Arsenal is having. They’ll enter Friday’s game following consecutive derby victories and a thrilling win over Manchester United. The lone big six side Arsenal hasn’t defeated this term is Man City, and a win at the Etihad would undoubtedly boost their title-winning confidence levels.  

The Gunners enter Manchester with a five-game win streak away from home – with 12 goals and four clean sheets during that stretch.  

Betting Pick and Prediction 

In less than twelve months of managing Arsenal, Arteta crafted a flawless 2-0 win versus Man City during the 2019-20 FA Cup semi-finals. Still, the hosts have since won five consecutive games against their Friday visitors in all tournaments. But given Arsenal’s current form, it’s impossible to side with this trend and maintain confidence.  

The FA Cup odds at Bookmakers Review show excellent value on both teams finding the net. Considering the recent goal-scoring and conceding records (highlighted at the top of this preview), it feels like the most sensible wager to make.  

Score Prediction: Manchester City 2 - Arsenal 2 

Soccer Pick: Both Teams to Score (-161) at Everygame 


Brighton vs. Liverpool

Sunday, January 29, 2023 - 08:30 PM EST at AMEX Community Stadium

FA Cup Trends & Current Form  

  • Brighton has averaged 5.00 goals in their recent FA Cup fixtures  
  • Liverpool has recorded 8 consecutive FA Cup games with 0 losses  

The Defending FA Cup Titleholders                                          

Liverpool head to Brighton on Sunday afternoon to join Arsenal and Man City in one of two all-EPL FA Cup fourth-round ties. The defending FA Cup winners will be hoping to avoid the 3-0 dismantling their opponents dished out earlier this month.  

Positivity continues to lower in the Liverpool camp, as they’ve now recorded three consecutive EPL meetings without a win. They were held to a 0-0 draw against Chelsea last time out, and we’ve seen three wins, two draws, and three losses in all competitions post-World Cup.  

Jurgen Klopp’s men have netted 19 goals in their last six games. However, there’s no excuse for Liverpool’s below-average campaign, and it’s challenging to expect them to defend their FA Cup crown successfully.   

Repeating Domestic Success                                           

Confidence levels for Roberto De Zerbi and company will be exceptionally high as they welcome Liverpool to the AMEX on Sunday. However, the EPL fixture that saw Brighton collect a 3-0 win over the Reds marked the first win they’d secured over Klopp’s men in four meetings.   

Brighton shot into the FA Cup fourth round via a 5-1 thrashing of Middlesbrough. And as they sit in sixth place of the EPL standings, they’ll enter the weekend clash with just two losses from their previous eight domestic meetings.  

Betting Pick and Prediction 

The available odds are providing plus-money on either side, but it’s a no-brainer to side with current form and take the Seagulls to add more misery to Liverpool’s campaign. We can take some insurance with the PK line on Brighton, and if they aren’t successful in 90 minutes but maintain a tie-game, our stake is returned.  

Score Prediction: Brighton 2 - Liverpool 1 

Soccer Pick: Brighton PK (+100) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.