Editor’s Note: West Ham United FC vs. Norwich City FC game on Saturday was postponed due to COVID-19 protocols within the Norwich team, according to the Premier League.
We cashed our parlay last weekend to see a nice +480 payout, let’s see if can we keep the winning streak going with this weekend’s parlay with soccer odds of +490.
We have dropped the Bundesliga this week as we couldn’t find any value and added an extra Serie A bet.
Rayo Vallecano vs. Deportivo Alaves
Saturday, DecembeSaturday, December 18, 2021 – 08:00 AM EST at Vallecas
It’s hard to believe we are getting -125 on the best home team in the league this season. Although Rayo has struggled on their travels, picking up just five points from a possible 27.
Compare that to their home form where they have picked up 22 points from a possible 24 and have a goal difference of +19 goals at home.
Alaves are in a poor run of form and are without a win in the past five league games. Away from home Alaves have picked up the same amount as Rayo, with just five from a possible 27.
Let’s trust the home team’s strength on home soil, Rayo are not a fluke, their home form has them currently sitting in 6th place in La Liga and although most of their home wins came against teams in the bottom half of the table and a poor Barcelona team.
We expect them to be too strong for Alaves here and even if Rayo were away from home, we would expect them to draw at the very least.
West Ham United FC vs. Norwich City FC
Saturday, December 18, 2021 - 10:00 AM EST at Olympic Stadium
Although West Ham have done some amazing things this season, this play is more of a fade Norwich away from home than a West Ham to win, but I believe Norwich to be so bad that West Ham can play below par here and still come away with a win.
At home, the Hammers have the 6th best home record in the league, which is a very respectable position given how many string home teams there are in this league. Norwich have only picked up five points from a possible 25 away from home, which is the tied 3rd worst in the Premier League.
Don’t let these points fool you either, two of the five came in draws against 18th and 19th in the table and their one win came against a team they faced twice in the Championship last season, so essentially a team they already knew what it was like to play them compared to the rest of the league.
West Ham will be the much better team here and expect them to win by two or more goals but for the sake of the parlay, we will play it safe and just take them to outright win.
Premier League Pick: West Ham United to Win ML (-278) at BetOnline
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma
Saturday, December 18, 2021 - 09:00 AM EST at Gewiss Stadium
Atlanta are now back in the title race and after their six wins in a row in Serie A. They are undefeated in a further 10 games and suffered just three defeats in their past 20 games. They are just three points adrift from the table-toppers Inter Milan.
On home soil thus far this season they are averaging 2.1 goals per game, it’s also no surprise to hear that Duvan Zapata has either scored or picked up an assist in five of his last six appearances for Atalanta.
Roma’s form under Jose Mourinho so far this season has been very inconsistent. They go on winning streaks, losing streaks and then in random win or draw streaks.
There is no consistency with the backline or forwards either as they are liable to keep a clean sheet one day and ship three or four goals the next, give us Atalanta to get on the scoreboard at least twice on home soil against this Roma team.
Serie A Pick: Atalanta Team Total Over 1.5 (-143) at BetOnline
ACF Fiorentina vs. Sassuolo
Sunday, December 19, 2021 - 06:30 AM EST at Stadio Artemio French
This final pick is our favorite play of the weekend in Italy, although it’s a lot of juice to lay for just a single play so we advise sticking it into some parlays this weekend, including this one.
Fiorentina and Sassuolo combined have seen an average of 4.6 goals per game. There is also the added fact that all eight of Fiorentina's home games this season has witnessed over 2.5 goals and all eight of Sassuolo’s away games this season have seen over 2.5 goals.
Serie A Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-143) at BetOnline
- La Liga Pick: Rayo Vallecano to Win ML (-125) at BetOnline
- Premier League Pick: West Ham United to Win ML (-278) at BetOnline
- Serie A Pick: Atalanta Team Total Over 1.5 (-143) at BetOnline
- Serie A Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-143) at BetOnline
Parlay: (+490) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.