European Weekend Banker: Third Place Showdown in Madrid

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Atletico Madrid's French forward Antoine Griezmann. Pierre-Philippe Marcou

Although there is really just pride (and the small matter of around 25/30 Million) at stake as both Atletico de Madrid and Sevilla FC will make the top 4 and the Champions League, there is just one point separating the two teams and Sevilla has only lost two of their previous 10 games against Atlético. 

The team to finish third in the table roughly earns an extra 30 million in prize money compared to 4th. With 5.2 average cards and 2.2 goals per game across these teams’ previous 5 games meetings, we expect a feisty game on our hands. Check out our soccer selection at La Liga odds of -110.  

Atletico de Madrid vs. Sevilla FC 

Sunday, May 15, 2022 – 12:30 PM EDT at Wanda Metropolitano 

Atletico de Madrid on a Roll 

Atletico de Madrid have ended the season in a strong fashion having picked up 7 wins, 1 tie, and 2 losses across their previous 10 games in all competitions. Atletico managed to come away with a 1-0 victory in the Madrid derby last time out and followed that result up with a 2-0 road win against Elche.  

Back-to-back wins now put Atletico de Madrid ahead of Sevilla FC by 1 point with two games remaining. A win here would see them secure 3rd position in the league table.  

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Madrid's two top goalscorers Angel Correa and Luis Suarez (both on 11 goals) have now only managed to score 5 goals in both of their previous 15 games, and all five goals were scored by Suarez, the Uruguayan has since gone on a 6-game goal drought, although he has only roughly played 2 full games when breaking down his minutes. 

This will come down to who wants it more and right now it feels Atletico Madrid just might have too much about them, the fact they have picked up 10 more points than Sevilla FC over the previous 10 games tells us a lot.  

Sevilla FC: The Draw Specialist

Sevilla has squandered their opportunity to finish second and the fact that Barcelona are 6 points ahead of them tells us everything we need to know. This is one of Barcelona’s worst seasons in La Liga and they still manage to remain 2nd with two games to go.  

As for Sevilla’s woes, it’s been their ability to not turn tied games into wins as they have seen the league’s most amount of draws this season with a total of 15 but have only suffered the same number of losses (4) as the league champions Real Madrid. The difference is Madrid has won 25 games compared to Sevilla’s 17. 

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Embarrassingly for Sevilla, their performances on the road have been shocking with just 1 win from their previous 10 games and that was a 3-2 win over bottom of the league Levante. To think they are going to rock up to the Wanda Metropolitano and win is a far stretch in our opinion.  

Even their +280 odds to pick up the win is too low for us and holds zero value, we would want to be getting at least +380 to consider betting this team in this spot.  

Sevilla FC have won 2 and drawn 6 of their previous 15 trips to Atletico de Madrid, with the home team winning the other seven games.  

La Liga Banker Betting Pick 

As we said in our opener, we expect cards in this matchup and although the referee is yet to be announced at the time of writing, we do suggest taking a look at his stats when he has been announced and making sure he is averaging at least 3.5 cards per game over 10+ games.   

As disappointing as things have been for Sevilla, they can rescue everything by beating Atletico Madrid here, so for that reason alone we like cards, but factor in the fact these teams have combined for 5.3 cards this season think both should easily see over 1.5 cards each. Only 2 of the previous 10 league games have seen under 1.5 cards each.  

For your soccer picks, combine this with under 3.5 goals for La Liga Banker odds of -110, and we expect this to be a tight affair and the fact Sevilla FC have seen the most amount of road games go under 3.5 goals with just 1 of 17 this season having 4 or more goals.  

Score Prediction: Madrid 2-0 Sevilla  

Soccer Pick: Over 1.5 Cards Each + Under 3.5 Goals (-110) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.