EPL Matchday 25 Best Bets: Chasing the Premier League Title

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Manchester City's English defender Rico Lewis celebrates scoring his team's first goal during the UEFA Champions League group G football match between Manchester City and Sevilla at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, north west England on November 2, 2022. (Photo by Oli SCARFF / AFP)

Welcome to the home of EPL predictions. Our team of expert handicappers has reviewed the current form and various other trends to deliver the most informed Premier League soccer picks for Matchday 25.  

This week we’re previewing the scheduled EPL fixtures between Bournemouth vs. Manchester City, Leicester City vs. Arsenal, and some extra best bets from the remaining games. 

Don’t forget to take a look at our list of the top US betting sites to find a great book to bet with.

Our Top Betting Picks for EPL Matchday 25

Soccer Pick: Manchester City -1 (-125) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Manchester City -1 (-125)
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Man City Spread Reasoning

No team has conceded more goals than Bournemouth this season, and Manchester City is the division’s highest-scoring team. Erling Haaland is due a goal after going two games without finding the back net, and with the home side nursing eight players in the injury room, it’s a perfect bounce-back spot for the visitors – who’ll have a point to prove following the recent rumblings of their drop in form.   

  • Confidence Rating: 3/5

Soccer Pick: Arsenal ML (-143) at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)

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Arsenal ML (-143)
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Arsenal Moneyline Reasoning

It feels like a trap line, but the -143 price on Arsenal cannot be ignored. The Premier League leaders regained their form after a four-game winless run last weekend, defeating Aston Villa 4-2 for a much-needed confidence boost.  

Furthermore, Arsenal has won their previous four games versus Leicester. If we look at the bigger picture, the Gunners are unbeaten in their last 20 games against Leicester in all competitions.  

  • Confidence Rating: 4/5

Leicester City vs. Arsenal

  • When: Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 10:00 AM EST
  • Where: King Power Stadium   
  • Moneyline Probability: Leicester – 21.1% (+375) vs. Arsenal 58.8% (-143)  
  • Totals Probability: Over 2.5 Goals – 60.6% (-154), Under 2.5 Goals – 45.5% (+120)   

Leicester City vs. Arsenal Analysis, Odds, & Prediction  

  • Arsenal have won by at least 2 goals in their previous 4 meetings with Leicester  
  • Arsenal are undefeated in 20 of their last 24 games versus Leicester in all competitions 
  • Leicester has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 consecutive EPL games  

History Doesn’t Bode Well for the Foxes    

Arsenal has momentarily knocked off the Premier League top spot. Still, as Manchester City drew and the Gunners returned to their season-long impressive form with a 4-2 success over Aston Villa, Mikel Arteta, and company are back in control. They can take advantage of an easy schedule ahead.  

Manchester City is contending with multiple tournament appearances, including the Champions League. While Arsenal have nothing but the EPL schedule to focus on, and with the bottom-of-the-table teams Leicester, Everton, and Bournemouth lined up on the Gunners’ calendar, adding another nine points to their tally is an entirely obtainable achievement.  

Leicester has struggled all season, and although they’ve managed to pull themselves from the EPL basement positions, they’re just four points shy of the relegation zone and boast the second-worst defensive record in the league.  

Arsenal was back on the road after a dominating 4-2 victory at Villa Park last weekend, and they’ll be confident in adding another success away from home as a squad owning the best away record in the division and will be faced with a club that’s historically been a simple three points.  

Arsenal Moneyline (-143): The Betting Pick Formula  

The Premier League odds released an incredibly fair price on the Arsenal moneyline, and when you consider the contrasting success of each team this term, -143 feels like an absolute steal.  

In recent months, Arsenal has displayed a vulnerability at the back, so expecting the home side to get on the score sheet is viable. However, after 90 minutes, Arteta’s men have enough quality to take three points back to the Emirates and continue their quest at the summit.  

Score Prediction: Leicester 1 – Arsenal 3 

Soccer Pick: Arsenal ML (-143) at Everygame

Bournemouth vs. Manchester City

  • When: Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 12:30 PM EST 
  • Where: Vitality Stadium  
  • Moneyline Probability: Bournemouth – 11.1% (+800) vs. Man City – 76.9% (-333)  
  • Totals Probability: Over 2.5 Goals – Over 64.5% (-182), Under 2.5 Goals – 41.7% (+140)   

Bournemouth vs. Man City Analysis, Odds, & Prediction  

  • Man City has defeated Bournemouth in their previous 12 meetings in all competitions   

3 Road Games in 7 Days for the EPL Champs   

It’s been a rough week for Pep Guardiola and his defending EPL champions. After putting themselves in the first position of the table, they’ve now drawn two consecutive games with 1-1 scorelines against teams they were heavily favored to win.  

The Citizens dropped back to second following a 1-1 draw at Forest, followed by a 1-1 draw at the Red Bull Arena versus RB Leipzig in the Champions League. The high standards expected from City have dwindled, but they’re still favorites to win the reverse UCL leg and retain their EPL title despite the recent glitch in their results.  

Saturday’s meeting with Bournemouth will be the third road game City has faced in seven days. While their schedule is tough, traveling to Germany won’t improve their conditioning.  

Forest didn’t need the assistance of a heavy Man City schedule and still found a result, but it’s highly unlikely that Guardiola and co. will drop points in consecutive matchdays to teams in the bottom half of the division.    

Man City -1 Spread (-125): The Betting Pick Formula  

The Premier League moneyline odds heavily favor Manchester City, and there’s little value in backing the moneyline at -333. However, City has sailed through Bournemouth in twelve consecutive meetings and will have a point to prove following two disappointing draws.  

As they’ll now be faced with the worst-performing defense in the Premier League, finding goals shouldn’t be an issue, and it won’t matter which attacking options they choose. 

Score Prediction: Bournemouth 1 – Manchester City 3

Soccer Pick: Manchester City -1 (-125) at Heritage Sports

Matchday 25 Premier League Quickfire Betting Picks 

Soccer Pick: Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool Both Teams to Score (-130) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool Both Teams to Score (-130)
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Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool Best Bet Reasoning

Defensive frailties have been a concern for Jurgen Klopp’s squad all season long, but the attacking threat from Liverpool will be enough to penetrate the Palace netting on more than one occasion. Palace will, however, fancy their chances of hurting Liverpool’s back four, which was severely damaged by Real Madrid (4-2) during a midweek UCL fixture.  

The home side hasn’t won in eight consecutive games, but they’ve scored in 4 of their previous 5 meetings, and both teams have scored during this stretch.   

  • Confidence Rating: 3/5   

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.