EPL Matchday 24 Best Bets: Erling Haaland Looking for Another Hat-trick Versus Forest

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Manchester City's Norwegian striker Erling Haaland controls the ball during the UEFA Champions League Group G first-leg football match between Sevilla FC and Manchester City. (Photo by Thomas COEX / AFP)

Welcome to the headquarters of EPL predictions. Our team of expert statisticians has reviewed the current form and various other trends to deliver the most informed Premier League soccer picks for Matchday 24. This week we’re previewing the scheduled EPL fixtures between Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City, Newcastle vs. Liverpool, and some extra best bets from the remaining games. 

Don’t forget that if you’re interested in wagering on any of these games there are plenty of US betting sites available for you.

Our Top Betting Picks for EPL Matchday 24

Manchester City -1 ½ Reasoning

Steve Cooper and his Nottingham Forest side have turned their drastic early-season form around, but this won’t be enough to contend with the current Premier League Champions. When Guardiola and company are faced with a newly promoted club, you can guarantee they’ll want to make a statement and hope to extend their division lead over Arsenal.    

Confidence Rating: 3.5/5   

Soccer Pick: Manchester City -1 ½ (-105) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Manchester City -1 ½ (-105)
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Newcastle vs. Liverpool Both Teams to Score Reasoning

Liverpool’s worrying form continuously shows red flags in their defense, with losses to Brighton, Wolves, and Brentford by at least three goals in 2023 already, so expecting the Magpies to find the net is plausible. The Reds also returned to scoring ways last week with a 2-0 success over Everton, so we expect Mohammed Salah to step up to the plate once again and assist our both teams to score wager.   

Confidence Rating: 4/5   

Soccer Pick: Newcastle/Liverpool BTTS (-160) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Newcastle/Liverpool BTTS (-167)
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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool Information  

  • When: Saturday, February 18, 2023 – 12:30 PM EST  
  • Where: St. James Park   
  • Moneyline Probability: Newcastle 39.4% (+154 at Heritage Sports) vs. Liverpool 35.7% (+180 at BetOnline)  
  • Totals Probability: Over 2.5 Goals – 56.5% (-130 at BetAnySports), Under 2.5 Goals – 47.2% (+112 at Heritage Sports)   

Analysis, Odds, & Prediction  

  • Newcastle is unbeaten at halftime in 24 consecutive games in all competitions  
  • Newcastle is undefeated in 17 straight EPL home matches  
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in Liverpool’s previous 5 EPL away games  
  • Liverpool has lost by 3 or more goals in 3 straight EPL away meetings  

The Magpies Look to Reinstate a Top Four Position

Sitting just five points shy of Manchester United in third place of the EPL table and two points above Tottenham in fifth place, fourth-placed Newcastle owns a game in hand on both teams and will be hoping to solidify their Champions League qualification position even further following a spout of consecutive drawn fixtures that’s seen the club lose valuable points of late.   

Unfortunately, it’ll be Jurgen Klopp and the Reds visiting Tyneside this weekend, so Eddie Howe’s men will need to turn their fortunes around to claim all three points drastically.  

However, Liverpool hasn’t been the fearsome team of past seasons during the 2022/23 term. The Magpies enter Saturday’s encounter behind a 17-game unbeaten run in the Premier League and the best defensive record in the division.  

Liverpool continues to struggle for consistency. Although Newcastle has drawn 5 of their last 6 EPL meetings, they’ll look to take advantage of a deflated opposition who’ve won just 1 of their 5 domestic meetings in 2023 thus far.  

Both Teams to Score: The Betting Pick Formula  

The Premier League odds aren’t expecting much from Liverpool as they’re stamped with a +180 moneyline price tag. And we can’t blame the oddsmakers for offering such an attractive price on the Reds, as Klopp’s men have already lost to Brentford (3-1), Brighton (3-0), and Wolves (3-0) since the New Year.  

Notably, trends are pointing toward both teams scoring. Newcastle and Liverpool, head-to-head, have seen over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 9 meetings, and the visitors have also seen over 2.5 goals land in five consecutive EPL away games.  

Score Prediction: Newcastle 2 – Liverpool 1  

Soccer Pick: Newcastle/Liverpool BTTS (-160) at BetOnline

Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City Information  

  • When: Saturday, February 18, 2023 – 10:00 AM EST
  • Where: The City Ground  
  • Moneyline Probability: N Forest – 10.4% (+860 at BetOnline) vs. Man City – 75.2% (-303 at Heritage Sports)  
  • Totals Probability: Over/Under 3 Goals – Over 50.5% (-102 at BetOnline), Under – 53.3% (-114 at Bookmaker)   

Analysis, Odds, & Prediction  

  • Nottingham Forest has scored at least one goal in 9 consecutive EPL home games  
  • Man City are unbeaten in 67 of their last 77 games in all competitions  
  • Man City is the current EPL top goal scorer (59) by a 12-goal margin over Arsenal (47) 

Returning to the Summit of the Premier League

Following an impressive 3-1 win over Arsenal, this past Wednesday, Pep Guardiola and his defending EPL champions leveled Arsenal on points and returned to the first-place position on goal difference. And although Mikel Arteta’s Gunners own a game in hand, the Cityzens will be confident in claiming another three points this weekend as they visit a Nottingham Forest squad who’re just six points shy of the relegation zone.  

Despite their flaws this term, the Trickey Trees have turned a new leaf in recent months – losing just 2 of their last 9 domestic games behind a New Year streak that involved five consecutive undefeated games.  

With that said, a 2-0 defeat to Fulham last weekend saw their successive run come to an end, and they’re expected to struggle against the most fierce goal-scoring outfit in the division on matchday 24. 

Guardiola’s men will arrive in Nottingham with 5 wins from their previous 6 in all competitions and four from their last five league appearances. And, of course, we can’t neglect the reverse fixture back in August, where Manchester City dismantled Forest 6-0, and the star man Erling Haaland bagged a hat-trick alongside Julian Alvarez’s brace.   

Man City -1½ Spread: The Betting Pick Formula  

The Premier League moneyline odds on Manchester are naturally juiced with little value to be found. But we should be met with minimal complications when backing the Manchester City spread of -1 ½.  

Yes, Forest have reached newfound heights in their overall form, which is commendable. However, we must face facts, and Manchester City is on a different level to Steve Cooper’s squad and should have no problem winning this game by two or more goals.   

Score Prediction: Nottm Forest 1 – Man City 4  

Soccer Pick: Manchester City -1 ½ (-105) at Heritage Sports

Matchday 24 Premier League Quickfire Betting Picks 

Brighton vs. Fulham Best Bet

Fulham fixtures have provided tight scorelines of late, as we’ve seen under 2.5 goals scored in their previous four league encounters. Both teams have been robust in defense and equally own excellent records, and we believe this will provide a close game with few goals.    

Confidence Rating: 3/5 

Soccer Pick: Brighton/Fulham Under 2.5 Goals (+114) at Heritage Sports

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Brighton/Fulham Under 2.5 Goals (+114)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.