English Premier League Matchday 18 Predictions and Best Bets

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The Emirates Stadium, home of English Premier League football club Arsenal. (Photo by Tolga Akmen / AFP)

Editor’s Note: Aston Villa FC vs. Burnley FC game on Saturday was postponed due to COVID-19 protocols, according to the Premier League.

The EPL Football odds are now available as we are back with our favorite English Premier League expert advice and free betting predictions. Read on for this week’s EPL Matchday 18 betting advice, soccer analysis, and free soccer betting picks for Saturday.

Aston Villa FC vs. Burnley FC

Saturday, December 18, 2021 – 10:00 AM EST at Villa Park

Form, Mentality, Premier League Odds and Trends

⦁ Burnley have failed to score in 3 consecutive EPL fixtures
⦁ Burnley haven't lost in 6 of their last 7 EPL games
⦁ Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 6 EPL meetings

COVID-19 Outbreak Causing Chaos

This week, coronavirus has ravaged the English Premier League, leaving just two fixtures remaining for Saturday's matchday 18 schedule. And despite having their training grounds closed last weekend, Aston Villa's meeting with Burnley will stay intact.

After recording a 2-0 victory over Norwich midweek, Steven Gerrard's success as Villa manager continued, and the team have now moved into the 10th position with 22 points.

Welcoming Burnley to Villa Park isn't the most problematic of meetings. Still, Gerrard will understand that his squad absences from the outbreak and Burnley's rested legs won't provide a simple fixture.

For their lack of victories this term, Burnley has shown robust ability. Sean Dyche's team has won one, drawn eight, and lost six of their EPL matches, with four of those draws in their most recent five games.

As one of the least affected squads by COVID-19, Burnley's starting eleven shouldn't look unfamiliar heading into the West Midlands on Saturday.

Final Thoughts | Premier League Betting Picks

The Aston Villa absentees will affect their goal-scoring efforts despite having buckets of momentum recently. I wouldn't count out the Villains taking all three points on home turf, but it's the goal market that intrigues my betting pick for Saturday's clash.

Burney is low on confidence upfront with a severe lack of goal-scoring efforts, failing to score in their previous three EPL meetings. One of these fixtures included a goalless outing versus a Newcastle team who has the worst defensive record in the division.

The betting odds favor a low-scoring encounter, and it's hard to disagree with everything taken into consideration. Villa will field a rotated squad, and Burnley just isn't scoring, a perfect situation to wager on under 2.5 goals.

Aston Villa vs. Burnley Score Prediction: Aston Villa 1 – Burnley 0

Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-133) [1.75] [1.33u wager returns 1u] at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)

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Under 2.5 Goals (-133) [1.75]
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Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC

Saturday, December 18, 2021 - 12:30 PM EST at Elland Road

Form, Mentality, Premier League Odds and Trends

⦁ Arsenal have lost their previous 3 EPL away games
⦁ Leeds United have avoided defeat in 13 of their previous 15 home matches
⦁ Over 2.5 goals have been scored in Leeds United's last 3 EPL games

Can We Trust Arsenal on the Road?

Marcelo Bielsa will want to forget his Tuesday night outing after suffering defeat to Manchester City in a humiliating fashion. But can their 7-0 loss lower confidence enough to hand Arsenal a rare 3-point success on the road?

It's been a challenging run of fixtures for Bielsa's men, with Saturday's game becoming the third game consecutively where they've faced a top-four team. However, positives can be found, such as the meeting with Chelsea that only delivered a loss due to a last-minute penalty.

Arsenal's form has jolted them into a top-four position in the table, but their away form isn't getting any better. Having lost five of their eight EPL away trips this term, it's the one anomaly preventing Mikel Arteta from receiving complete praise for his efforts.

In addition to their road trip misery, only four teams have allowed more goals away from home this term, and those teams all sit within the bottom six.

Final Thoughts | Premier League Betting Picks

Leeds United is coming off a 7-0 hammering, but this result shouldn't dictate our betting predictions for Saturday's fixture. At Elland Road, Leeds has remained unbeaten since September, and when you pair this with Arsenals horrid away form, the fixture ahead becomes complicated to predict.

Everything points towards a simple Arsenal victory, but I can't envision a result as straightforward as the formbook suggests.

Bielsa will respond to the Manchester City embarrassment by taking a point from the visiting Gunners.

Leeds United vs. Arsenal Score Prediction: Leeds United 2 – Arsenal 2

Soccer Pick: Draw (+275) [3.75] [1u wager returns 2.75u of profit] at Everygame

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Draw (+275) [3.75]
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.