Read on for this week’s EPL Matchday 14 betting advice, analysis, and free soccer picks for the midweek fixtures involving Liverpool, Leeds, Arsenal, and Nottingham Forest.
- English Premier League Betting Record 2022/23: 10-12
- Units Profit: -2.45u
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC
Saturday, October 29, 2022 – 01:45 PM EDT at Anfield
Premier League Trends
- Liverpool is undefeated in 72 of their last 80 games in all competitions
- Liverpool has avoided defeat in 25 consecutive Premier League home fixtures
- Liverpool has won 3 successive games in all competitions
Another Newly-Promoted Embarrassment?
A 3-0 success against Dutch side Ajax confirmed Liverpool’s place in the Champions League final-16. Still, their European success is incomparable to the high expectations they’ve failed to meet during this season’s Premier League campaign.
Heading into matchday 14, Liverpool is currently in 8th position, a world away from being considered as serious title challengers, as a 12-point gap from league leaders Arsenal is going to require a severe downtrend in form from the division's title-chasing squads.
Nevertheless, winning 4 of their last 5 games spells the best streak of form that Liverpool has maintained all season long. The one concern is that they faltered against basement dwellers and newly promoted EPL side Nottingham Forest last time out.
Joint Worst Away Record in the Premier League
When the Whites fan base bombarded manager Jesse Marsch with chants echoing the name of former Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa, it must have made his losing weekend to Fulham even worse than it already was.
Failing to overcome a newly promoted team in Fulham at Elland Road delivered yet another painstaking afternoon for the American as he now looks into the barrel of 5 defeats from Leeds's previous 6 outings.
Leeds haven’t won a topflight fixture since their EPL matchday 3 outing versus Chelsea, and with a trip to the daunting grounds of Anfield, there isn’t much hope to kickstart a winning streak this weekend.
Pick and Prediction
The available EPL odds at top-rated sportsbooks have placed a whooping -357 price tag on the home side, but we can’t be surprised by this lack of value when there’s a significant talent gap when comparing the two sides.
Asserting dominance in the Premier League hasn’t been easy for Jurgen Klopp and co.. Still, as UCL qualification has already been obtained, the Reds boss won’t feel the urgency to rest his most valuable players. This should lead to an easy home win, as Liverpool can easily penetrate the leaky defense and injury-ridden squad of Leeds United by at least 2-3 goals.
Score Prediction: Liverpool 3 - Leeds Utd 0
Arsenal FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC
Sunday, October 30, 2022 - 09:00 AM EDT at Emirates Stadium
Premier League Trends
- Arsenal has won 10 successive home games in all competitions
- Arsenal are unbeaten in 25 of their previous 29 home meetings in all competitions
- Nottingham Forest has failed to score in 4 consecutive away fixtures
- Nottingham Forest has won 1 of their last 10 EPL games
Top Against Bottom
Table toppers Arsenal will welcome rock-bottom side, Nottingham Forest to the Emirates this Sunday, but can the Gunners fireback following a 2-0 Europa League defeat to PSV Eindhoven? In all fairness, Thursday’s meeting with PSV was a well-deserved victory, and now Mikel Arteta’s men will need to overcome FC Zurich next week to confirm their ticket into the Europa Round of 16.
Furthermore, many believe this defeat was long overdue, as the Gunners have slipped through the cracks in recent weeks despite a continued reign at the top of the EPL table.
However, the facts can’t be denied, and the Gunners will roll into the Emirates, where they boast a 10-game winning streak, eight of which were Premier League meetings.
This home form shouldn’t be challenging to maintain as they’re faced with a Nottingham Forest squad who’s failed to make their presence known following their promotion from the English Championship.
A Twelve-Year Record Won’t Be Broken in the Capital
Arsenal hasn’t lost to a newly-promoted side on home soil in twelve long years.
That said, confidence will undoubtedly be high for Steve Coopers’ men, who return to Premier League action after an impressive 1-0 win over Liverpool last time out.
A newly reformed Forest defense has given hope to the Tricky Trees faithful that a possible fight to keep their placement in the EPL is on.
Conceding just two goals in their last four games is a testament to this Forest backline, but equally, they’ve failed to find the net away from home with a mere two wins on the road this term and zero goals scored in four consecutive EPL away trips.
Pick and Prediction
The available EPL odds at Bookmakers Review aren’t doing us any favors by placing a -600 price tag on Arsenal.
However, if we consider Nottingham’s brick wall mentality, they should have enough to prevent the league leaders from scoring in abundance. Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals is the play.
Score Prediction: Arsenal 2 - Nottingham 0
Soccer Pick: Arsenal and Under 3.5 Goals (-111) [1.11u wager returns 1u] at Everygame
Additional EPL Week 14 Bets
- Newcastle vs. Aston Villa: Newcastle Win at Everygame [-125 odds] [1.25u to win 1u]
- Brighton vs. Chelsea: Under 2.5 Goals at Everygame [-133 odds] [1.33u to win 1u]
- Fulham vs. Everton: Fulham Win at Everygame [+130 odds] [1u to win 1.30u]
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.