Read on for this week’s EPL Matchday 11 betting advice, soccer analysis, and free soccer picks for the weekend fixtures involving Leeds United, Arsenal, Man City, and Liverpool.
- David’s English Premier League betting record 2022/23: 8-8
- Units Profit: -0.70u
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC
Sunday, October 16, 2022 – 09:00 AM EDT at Elland Road
Premier League Trends
- Leeds is unbeaten in 6 consecutive home games.
- Leeds has won just 1 of their last 7 Premier League meetings.
- Arsenal has won 6 games straight in all competitions.
After collecting 7 points from 3 games to begin their 2022-2023 campaign, Leeds United have since taken a turn for the worse as they’ve failed to win any of their previous 5 EPL games as a lack of focus and determination has settled in for the Whites.
The current trend for Jesse Marsch’s squad has been to alternate losses and draws since the end of August. Collecting all 3 points has eluded this team, thus leaving them in 14th place in the standings with a mere 9 points from 8 matchdays. On the bright side, the Whites haven’t suffered defeat on home turf this season.
Can't Stop Winning
The trajectory for Mikel Arteta and company is quite the opposite of their Sunday opponents; contrasting form has seen the Gunners win 8 of their 9 Premier League outings this term as they ride a 6-game consecutive win streak in all competitions.
Their efforts place them at the top of the EPL table. After snapping a 14-game win streak in European home fixtures held by Norwegian giants Bodo/Glimt during midweek action, Arsenal will be confident in breaking another solid home record when traveling to Leeds.
Midweek Europa League action isn’t the only confidence booster for Arteta’s men. A 3-2 win over Liverpool last weekend has given the North London side the title-chasing respect they deserve.
And if the Reds can hold off Manchester City at Anfield this weekend, Arsenal has the opportunity to go 4 points clear at the top of the table.
Betting Odds and Best Bets
The available EPL odds at Bookmakers Review expect an Arsenal win. As a lesser composed side of last season defeated Leeds 4-1 at Elland Road and 2-1 in the reverse fixture, we shouldn’t be surprised if the Gunners team of 2022-2023 delivers a more significant beating.
There’s no denying that Leeds United have been solid in defense on home soil, but their lack of discipline and composure will cost them against an unstoppable Arsenal.
Boost the moneyline odds on Arsenal with the expectation of more than one goal being scored. The visitors haven’t seen less than two goals in a game in all of their domestic meetings this term.
Score Prediction: Leeds 1 – Arsenal 3
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC
Sunday, October 16, 2022 - 11:30 AM EDT at Anfield
Premier League Trends
- Man City is unbeaten in 22 consecutive EPL away games.
- Man City is unbeaten in 44 of their last 48 games in all competitions.
- Liverpool is undefeated in 23 successive EPL home meetings.
- Erling Braut Haaland has scored in 10 consecutive appearances (18 in total).
Shadow of Their Former Self
Following 8 Premier League matchdays, Liverpool has conceded 12 goals, as Jürgen Klopp’s robust defense of the past has fallen apart. The Reds have also allowed 6 goals in their previous 2 games, and once you remove Bournemouth's 9-0 victimization, their goals-scored-tally also looks a lot weaker than last season.
The title chase isn’t over, but for Arsenal and Manchester City to give up a 14- and 13-point gap would take a catastrophic decline from England's two most in-form teams. It’s safe to say the EPL trophy isn’t arriving in Merseyside this term, but Klopp and company can take solace from a 3-game winning streak in the Champions League.
Formidable City and Haaland
The defending EPL champions have looked better than ever, despite giving up the 1st place position in the standings to Arsenal.
They’re on an insane undefeated streak away from home, and the addition of Erling Braut Haaland has raised City’s goal-scoring efforts beyond fathomable. Arsenal owns a one-point lead on the table, but with 33 goals scored from nine domestic games, nobody expects the Premier League champions to surrender their crown this term.
Past seasons would point towards a tight fixture when Liverpool and Arsenal meet, but there’s no denying how elite the Citizens look this term. Having scored at least three goals from their previous seven EPL meetings, expect the Norwegian elitist, Haaland, to dismantle this confused defense and assist his team to victory.
Betting Odds and Predictions
The current Premier League odds expect Manchester City to walk away with all three points, and there isn’t much argument to say otherwise.
Liverpool has lacked flare in defense and the final third all season long; outside of their 6-1 thumping of Rangers in the Champions League and the outlying 9-0 scoreline against Bournemouth, they’ve faltered to impress against the higher-level squads.
Score Prediction: Liverpool 1 – Man City 3
Soccer Pick: Man City to Win (-111) [1.11u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.