EFL Cup Semi-Final Betting Picks and Predictions

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Tottenham Hotspur's English striker Harry Kane reacts after failing to score from a free-kick. Ben Stansall/AFP

The EFL Cup football odds are now available as we are back with our favorite Carabao Cup expert advice and free betting predictions.

Read on for this week’s EFL Cup semi-final betting advice, soccer analysis and free soccer picks for the fixtures on Wednesday and Thursday.

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC

Wednesday, January 5, 2022 – 02:45 PM EST at Stamford Bridge

Form, Mentality, EFL Cup Odds and Trends

  • Under 2.5 goals have been scored in Chelsea’s previous 4 EFL Cup games
  • Chelsea concedes an average of 0.67 goals in the EFL Cup
  • Tottenham avoided defeat in 6 of their last 7 EFL Cup games

One Teams Cup Glory Will End in London Derby

Familiar foes lock horns in a classic London cup derby midweek when Tottenham take a short trip to Stamford Bridge and face their rivals, Chelsea. The Blues already sent fellow London side West Ham packing in the quarter-final, but can they repeat success against the recent confidence of Antonio Conte’s squad?

The off-pitch drama surrounding Chelsea bared witness to a relationship breakdown between the manager and Romelu Lukaku, who was dropped from the squad for his comments during a recent interview. Initially, it seemed like poor decision-making when Liverpool grabbed an early 2-0 lead at the weekend, but a fierce fight back during the EPL encounter ended with Chelsea equalizing the game to finish 2-2.

Neither side looks capable of catching Manchester City in the domestic chase, but they’ll both face quick turnarounds versus difficult squads in their respective 1st-leg EFL Cup semi-final games.

Although reaching the semi-final is applaudable, Chelsea hasn’t looked impressive during their cup run. Penalty shootouts were required for Tuchel’s men to overcome Southampton and Aston Villa following 1-1 draws.

Tottenham has remained unbeaten since Conte’s arrival, and the EFL Cup represents their greatest hope of ending a 13-year trophy drought. For added irony, this feat came in 2008 after defeating Chelsea in the final.

Final Thoughts | EFL Cup Semi-Final Betting Picks

Throughout the Conte era, he’s undoubtedly flipped Spurs’ results around; however, his squad have managed just one victory away from home since his arrival.

The EFL Cup betting odds favor the home side to accomplish victory in the first leg. Still, with fatigue looming both squads following difficult domestic meetings at the weekend, a stalemate seems the more likely outcome.

The Blues home record has seen four of their previous five fixtures end on level terms. Without Lukaku and Timo Werner in addition to a Tottenham squad rotation, I anticipate both teams will settle for a draw and leave it all to play for in the second leg.

Score Prediction: Chelsea 1 – Spurs 1

EFL Cup Pick: Draw (+235) [3.25] [1u wager returns 2.35u] at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)

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Draw (+235)
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Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC

Thursday, January 6, 2022 – 02:30 PM EST at Emirates Stadium

Form, Mentality, EFL Cup Odds and Trends

  • Arsenal average 4.00 goals in their recent EFL Cup games
  • Liverpool have scored at least 2 goals in their previous 3 EFL Cup games
  • Arsenal haven’t lost in 6 of their last 7 EFL Cup games

Absentees Leave Both Teams Weaker

AFCON duties are leaving Arsenal and Liverpool without a handful of key starters. Still, the visitors are most affected, with Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah absent from the Reds squad.

The Gunners have shown an inspiring comeback following a lackluster beginning to their season. The New Year’s Day meeting with Manchester City demonstrated positive signs of progression. The undeserving defeat ended a 12-game unbeaten streak for Arsenal, but it’s evident that Mikel Arteta’s side is now a serious top-four contender.

Jurgen Klopp’s men are handed a rare underdog betting status heading into this week’s EFL Cup meeting, and you can’t help but sense these odds accurately represent Liverpool’s chances.

Final Thoughts | EFL Cup Semi-Final Betting Picks

I can envision a youthful Arsenal starting XI running rings around a weaker Liverpool outfit. With that said, a low-scoring affair should be expected, and I see value in the halftime draw.

Despite believing Arsenal’s impressive home record will continue, the first 45 minutes of action can easily deliver a goalless affair.

Score Prediction: Arsenal 1 – Liverpool 0

EFL Cup Pick: Halftime Draw (+125) [2.25] [1u wager returns 1.25u of profit] at Everygame

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.