Champions League Matchday 4 Betting Picks and Predictions

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Giovanni Di Lorenzo (3rd R) celebrates with teammates after scoring the 1-2 goal during the UEFA Champions League group A football match between Ajax Amsterdam and SSC Napoli. Photo by François WALSCHAERTS / AFP.

UCL odds are now available as we are back with our favorite UEFA Champions League expert advice and free betting predictions for the elite European soccer action ahead of us.

Read on for this week’s Champions League Matchday 4 of 6 betting advice, soccer analysis and free UCL betting picks for the week’s fixtures involving Ajax, Napoli, Manchester City, and FC Copenhagen.

  • Champions League betting record 2022/23: 2-4
  • Units Profit: -2u

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FC Copenhagen vs. Manchester City FC

Tuesday, October 11, 2022 – 12:45 PM EDT at Parken Stadium

Champions League trends

  • Manchester City defeated Copenhagen 5-0 last time out
  • Manchester City has scored 11 goals from their previous 3 UCL appearances
  • Copenhagen has failed to score in Champions League Group G this term
  • Copenhagen has lost 4 of their last 6 games in all competitions

A Repeat Performance Expected

Most soccer fans won’t need convincing that Pep Guardiola and co. have a high probability of winning their second-leg encounter with FC Copenhagen this Tuesday afternoon.

However, if you’re still in doubt, take a peek at the facts from Matchday 3.

Manchester City registered 30 shots, 16 of which were on target. They owned 76% possession and made 851 passes with a 93% completion rate.

Unsurprisingly, Erling Haaland found himself on the score sheet (multiple times), and the Danish side failed to register a single shot on target.

A Miracle Needed in Copenhagen

Champions League Group G basement dwellers FC Copenhagen are on the brink of elimination. Should the Danish Superliga runners-up of 2021/22 lose one more fixture, this factor will come to fruition.

Outside of the 5-0 dismantling Manchester City handed them during Group G’s matchday 3 outing, Copenhagen’s domestic form has taken a dramatic turn.

Jacob Neestrup’s squad has lost 6 of their 11 domestic fixtures this season, the same number of losses they received from the entirety of their 22-game tenure of last season.

Death, taxes, and Manchester City winning their 2nd leg encounter with Copenhagen are some of the guarantees in life. This week, there isn’t a positive outlook to give the home side; the expectation of another whitewash from the English champions is universal.

Manchester City FC vs. FC Copenhagen: Odds and Prediction

The available UCL odds at top-rated sportsbooks expect the visitors to repeat last week's performance as we look at a -800 moneyline on the Citizens.

There’s zero value to be found on the Manchester City moneyline, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they didn’t win both halves of action.

Score Prediction: Copenhagen 0 - Man City 4

Soccer Pick: Manchester City Win Both Halves (-105) [1.89u wager returns 1. u] at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)

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SSC Napoli vs. AFC Ajax

Wednesday, October 12, 2022 - 12:45 PM EDT at Diego Armando Maradona Stadium

Champions League Trends

  • Napoli is the current top goal scorer in the 2022/23 Champions League with 13 goals
  • Napoli is unbeaten in consecutive UCL appearances
  • Ajax lost 6-1 to Napoli in the reverse fixture last week

Formidable form in Naples

While many critics expected Napoli to defeat Ajax last week, nobody predicted the score would finish 6-1 in favor of the Italian squad. That said, we shouldn’t be surprised.

Gil Azzurri is the most in-form team in Europe across all competitions, topping the Serie A and Champions League Group A with undefeated records, respectively.

Even a Haaland-inspired goal-scoring machine that is Manchester City hasn’t been able to keep pace with Napoli’s UCL attacking threat.

Luciano Spalletti’s men have now scored 13 goals through their first three Champions League appearances this term.

Make or break for the Dutch side

Ajax will want to forget last week's encounter with Napoli; unfortunately, the Champions League schedule forces the Dutch squad to face their fears and attempt to rectify the 6-1 deficit they endured on home turf during Matchday 3.

Currently in third place of Group A, sitting three points behind Liverpool in second position, Ajax will be desperate to avoid a potential six-point gap to the Reds that would place them in a must-win situation for their final two fixtures of the UCL group stage.

However, preventing the goal-stopping power of Napoli was impossible in front of a home crowd; now, they’re faced with a trip to Naples with an added pressure they can’t avoid.

SSC Napoli vs. AFC Ajax: Odds and Prediction

The current Champions League odds are gifting us a respectable price on the Napoli moneyline.

If we judge all of the teams throughout Europe based on their overall form, Napoli is one of the best and shouldn’t find it difficult to overcome a visiting Ajax squad without the added stress of traveling.

Score Prediction: Napoli 3 - Ajax 1

Soccer Pick: SSC Napoli Win (-167) [1.67u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.