The most prestigious trophy in European club football is up for grabs this weekend between the Spanish La Liga champions Real Madrid and the Premier Leagues runner in Liverpool.
Real Madrid have had a very turbulent and exciting route to the final whilst Liverpool haven’t had to endure any scares and made easy work of all their opponents. These two teams met in 2018 final with Real Madrid coming away as 3-1 winners.
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28, 2022 – 03:00 PM EDT at Stade de France
Recap: Real Madrid Made it to the Finals
Madrid didn’t start off their Champions League campaign in good fashion as they unexpectedly lost to Sheriff Tiraspol on matchday 2, for context Sheriff won the game 2-1 and were massive outsiders at +20000, whilst Madrid was as low as -1000.
After the unexpected hiccup, they went on to win their final four group games to top the group.
Real Madrid have been pulling off unlikely results all the way through to the finals in the knockout stage and started off with a second-leg second-half comeback against Kylian Mbappe’s PSG.
The Spanish outfit was down 2-0 with just 30 minutes left to play until Frenchman Karim Benzema scored a hat trick in the space of 15 minutes.
Madrid beat Chelsea 3-1 on the road in the next round (again thanks to a Karim Benzema Hat Trick) but lost the home leg 3-1 forcing extra time where who else only Benzema again stepped up with the winning goal in extra time.
Real Madrid were underdogs against both PSG and Chelsea to advance and they disposed of both, but they were massive outsiders to defeat Premier League champions Man City in the semifinals.
Madrid Unbelievable Comeback
Yet again Madrid decided to do it the hard way, after losing the first leg on the road 3-2 (a game in which they were very lucky not to concede 6/7 goals) they found themselves trailing 4-2 in the 90th minute of the second leg, practically all but out of the tournament as they needed 2 goals in 3 minutes and unbelievably, they did just that with a 90th and 91st-minute goal from substitute Rodrygo.
The game went to extra time and yet again Benzema stepped up with the winning goal.
With so many comebacks it seems that it’s this team’s destiny to lift the trophy, Benzema has all but claimed the competition's top scorer with 15 goals scored.
The only possibility of him losing now is if Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah scores 8 goals in the final and Benzema scores zero, which is not impossible but highly unlikely.
Liverpool Road to Champions League Finals
Liverpool were so close to claiming their second Premier League title as Man City had to find three late goals in order to pip them to the post.
It was incredible scenes and no doubt the Liverpool players, fans, and management will feel that was an opportunity missed, although they were 14 points behind Man City at one stage and even a win on the final day didn’t guarantee them the trophy.
The quadruple is now unachievable but what is achievable is them winning all three cup competitions they have entered as they beat Chelsea on penalty shootouts in both the League Cup final and the FA Cup final.
Liverpool breezed through their Champions League group stage going 6-0 scoring 17 goals and conceding just 6. The Reds' only real hard-fought win was in the round of 16 where they edged out Inter Milan 2-1 over both legs.
Despite drawing 3-3 with Benfica in the second leg they had taken a 3-1 lead back to Anfield so their qualification was never in doubt as they were winning 6-2 on aggregate with 20 minutes remaining before Benfica scored 2 late goals but they needed 4 to force extra time.
Next up was Villarreal and possibly their biggest scare yet, they took a 2-0 lead to the second leg only to find themselves level on aggregate after the first half, but three second-half goals say them dispose of the Spanish side 5-2 on aggregate.
Liverpool FC have now made the final in all three cup competitions this season.
Champions League Prediction
Real Madrid are very prone to conceding goals and have had to rely heavily on Karim Benzema to score their goals. The Frenchman scored 15 of their 29 goals in the competition.
It’s a final so we should expect both teams to pick up at least 1 card each, our referee in charge of the game is Frenchman Clement Turpin, who isn’t favorable for cards with just 2.9 handed out in this year’s competition, that being said Real Madrid games have seen all six knockout games featuring both teams to be carded and with this being the final we expect that trend to continue.
This is a really hard game to call, it could end 2-2 of 0-0, both of Liverpool’s cup finals thus far this season have ended 0-0 and extra time and penalties both occurred. What are the chances they go to penalties again?
With that being said a 0-0 is unlikely here in our opinion as these two teams simply don’t do scoreless games, Liverpool are very strong attacking and can almost score at will but are prone to letting the opposition score also.
Real Madrid vs. Liverpool Score Prediction: Real Madrid 1-1 Liverpool
UEFA Champions League Final Pick
Combing over 0.5 cards each along with both teams to score gives us parlay odds at +110, we see both teams finding the back of the net here in a tightly contested draw, although we wouldn’t be shocked to see either team win this 2-1.
- Over 0.5 Point Cards Each (-333)
- BTTS (-140)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.