Peru and Australia meet for the first time since the 2018 World Cup where Peru won 2-0 to put Australia bottom of the group and themselves into a respectable third in a group that featured Denmark and eventual winners France.
Peru have been made favorites by the top-rated sportsbooks, and the pre-match favorite has won in Australia’s previous 21 matches in all competitions. The Socceroo’s will have to impress to make their 5th World Cup in a row. Check out the +200 parlay we have put together.
Australia vs. Peru
Monday, June 13, 2022 – 02:00 PM EDT at Al Rayyan Stadium
Australia Soccer Analysis
Australia came into the semi-final game against the UAE having a bad run on the road and was defeated the last time they played the UAE in the Asian Games back in 2019. Australia held their nerve and advanced having beaten them 2-1 in regulation.
It was a tight game but had 14 shots and miraculously saw 8 on target, which is a lot for a game with only 14 shots. We suggested taking Australia and under 2.5, but we also suggested the straight Australia win which did click for those betters.
It was Eintracht Frankfurt midfielder who sent the Socceroos into the final World Cup playoff game with an 84th-minute goal to give his team the lead. Australia will seek revenge against Peru after their loss against the Peruvians in the 2018 World Cup sent the Ozzies home early.
It's unlikely coach Graham Arnold changes much of his starting eleven against Peru, but Australia does still have some noted absentees in Tom Roglic and Harry Souttar.
Peru Soccer Analysis
Peruvian soccer had a revolution in recent years with their coach Ricardo Gareca leading the way, he was an unpopular figure in Peru with much of the country viewing him as the reason they failed to make the 1986 World Cup.
Gareca managed to get Peru to the 2018 World Cup where they were eliminated in the group stages but picked up their first three points at a World Cup in 40 years.
They went one better in the 2019 Copa America where they unexpectedly made the finals, although Brazil beat them, it was seen as a massive success and since then Gareca has been promoted to the position of Manager.
Peru has done extremely well to even be at this stage of the competition. They saw a strong challenge from Columbia and Chile, two teams who had made two of the previous three world cups each.
Peru overcame Australia’s neighbor, New Zealand, in a friendly international to prep for this game, a game in which they won 1-0. They have lost just four of their previous 20 International matches.
World Cup Qualifier Parlay
Although Peru is a -118 pre-game favorite, we do feel these soccer odds are extremely low and we would rather them be priced up at around +115 to even consider betting the South American nation.
On the flip side, the Socceroos at +350 seems too big and we would have expected them to be a little lower, at around +290, so yes there is value on the Australians, they have a lot of experience playing at this stadium compared to Peru and haven’t had to travel.
Despite this we can't pull the trigger on Australia, they did well to beat the UAE but they aren’t the team they were 12 months ago and Australia didn’t exactly breeze past them, they are rightly chalked down as underdogs. A draw seems likely here and we predicted the Peruvians to nick a goal in extra time or penalty shootout.
We are rolling with a combined parlay of both teams to score and Peru to qualify at some nice odds of +300, alternatively, you could bet the draw at +260 as your covered for the 0-0 and you don’t mind who wins in extra time.
Score Prediction: Australia 1-2 Peru (Extra Time)
- Both Teams to Score (+105)
- Peru to Qualify (-250)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.