Best European Soccer Props for the Weekend: Plus-Money for Simeone to Find Back of the Net

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Napoli's Argentinian forward Giovanni Simeone reacts after scoring the second goal during the match between Napoli and AS Roma at the Diego-Maradona Stadium in Naples on January 29, 2023. (Photo by Andreas SOLARO / AFP)

Soccer Pick: Giovanni Simeone Anytime Goalscorer (+150) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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We are looking at three plus-money soccer picks for our European player props this weekend having gone 3-3 over the previous two weeks.  

Two of our three selections are coming in at really nice odds to score and be booked, but we are unsure if they will start so keep an eye on starting line-ups and if you can bet them in play if they do get subbed on, we advise doing so as they will likely be much better odds.  

Don’t forget to check out BMR’s complete list of the top US betting sites to find a reputable book to bet with.

Arsenal FC vs. Leicester City 

Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 10:00 AM EST at King Power Stadium

Martin Odegaard (Arsenal FC) 

  • Total Goals:
  • Total Assists:
  • Shots Per Game: 2.5 

Arsenal’s Martin Odegaard could be worth betting over 0.5 assists in this road game at +180 EPL odds. Odegaard comes into this week’s matchup having had the joint fourth-most amount of assists in the Premier League this season.  

Odegaard got back on the board last time out in a 4-2 win over Aston Villa, that was his first assist in his previous 8 games and he has been known to score in bunches. What better opponents to do so against than Leicester City who allows the second-most amount of goals per game in the league so far having conceded 41 goals in 27 games played?  

The Norwegian midfielder leads this Arsenal team with the most expected assists sitting at 5.5, compared to second-best Bukayo Saka who has an expected assist of 4.2. Arsenal should score at least twice here, take Odegaard to assist a teammate at +180 in this 10 am EPL kick-off.  

Player Prop Pick: Martin Odegaard Over 0.5 Assists (+180) at the Top-Rated Sportsbooks  

SSC Napoli vs. FC Empoli 

Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 12:00 PM EST at Stadio Carlo Castellani 

Giovanni Simeone (SSC Napoli) 

  • Total Goals:
  • Total Assists:
  • Shots Per Game: 0.4 

Giovanni Simeone has only played an average of six minutes across his previous six games for Napoli and yes there's a chance he will only play short minutes yet again. With that said, we feel he will get minutes here as Napoli should be looking to rest some key players following their midweek Champions League endeavour.  

Although they desperately want to win the league and won’t want to take their foot off the gas, they do have a 15-point lead over Inter Milan and it would take a miracle for them to not win the league right now. Even the sportsbooks agree as they are priced up at -5000 to lift the Italian Serie A.  

Simeone might only have three goals this season but he always looks lively and up for a goal when coming onto the field of play and has scored 3 goals in 180 minutes of Serie A action, which is 2 goals in 3 games essentially. If he does not start, we advise taking either Victor Osimhen to score at Serie A odds of -105 or Hirving Lozano at +180, one of the two should start. 

Also keep an eye on this game in play, if Simeone gets subbed on we will be betting him to score anytime. Wait for starting line-ups before pulling the trigger on this pick. Simeone is second favoured to score with the sportsbooks so they must be believing he will get some action in this road game against Empoli.  

Soccer Pick: Giovanni Simeone Anytime Goalscorer (+150) at BetOnline 

Real Madrid vs. Atletico de Madrid 

Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 12:30 PM EST at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 

Saul Niguez (Atletico de Madrid) 

  • Total Yellows:
  • Total Reds:
  • Fouls Per Game: 4.0 

This seems like some really nice value at +130 La Liga odds for the league's top fouler to get booked in what is his team’s biggest rivalry game against cross-city neighbours Real Madrid. Having picked up the most fouls per game in La Liga this season, Saul Niguez has also been handed 7 yellow cards which is the highest on the Atletico de Madrid team and joint third-most in the league.  

Although it’s not guaranteed that Niguez will get the start here, we still like his chances to be booked if coming onto the field of play. As always check line-ups before placing this bet and keep an eye on play if he does not start. 

Referee J. Manzano is in charge of this derby, he has handed out 5.82 yellow cards per game and 0.36 per game in La Liga this season.  

Player Prop Pick: Saul Niguez To Be Booked (+130) at BetOnline 

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.