Wings vs. Lynx WNBA Odds, Preview and Pick

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Damiris Dantas #12 of the Minnesota Lynx attempts a shot against the Phoenix Mercury. Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images via AFP

Another big slate of WNBA is awaiting us today after the All-Star Break.

Can the Dallas Wings steal one on the road, or will the Minnesota Lynx cover these WNBA odds as two-possession favorites?

Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx

Thursday, July 14, 2022 – 08:00 PM EDT at Target Center

Lynx Resurgence

While Minnesota probably won’t be winning anything this WNBA season, their recent surge from the bottom of the standings is impressive and one of the reasons why they are such big favorites in this game.

Despite not having Napheesa Collier all season due to the birth of her baby, the Lynx have found their groove lately. They have won three straight games against tough opponents and they are currently winners of six of their last eight games.

While still out of the playoff picture, the Lynx playoff odds could skyrocket tonight with a win over the Wings.

Wings Has a Weak Lineup

Dallas has had their issues too, but their offense has generally been getting them through tougher games lately.

However, while they will have Allisha Gray back tonight, they will likely be without Satou Sabally once again with an ankle injury.

Sabally has missed most of the season due to overseas commitments and various injuries. Without her, the Wings will need to turn to Teaira McCowan and Isabelle Harrison more tonight.

While McCowan is a force down low, Sylvia Fowles is an equal threat from down low. Harrison is a really good player, but has been disgruntled lately and posting about it on Instagram, which I’m sure is not making her relationship with head coach Vickie Johnson any better.


The Sharp Pick

While neither one of these teams have played with much defense overall this season, the Lynx have been getting their stuff together lately. Over their most recent five-game stretch, the Lynx rank 5th in the league in defensive rating and first in offensive rating.

Furthermore, their recent stretch of home games has been very kind to their record and metrics. Minnesota has the league’s best home net rating across their home meetings across their last 10 games overall and their offense is first in the W during that stretch too.

The Wings Will Struggle to Score

It’s for this reason that, for my WNBA pick, I think the Lynx get into their opponent on defense to start this game. Over their last nine home games, the Lynx's net rating in the first halves has been incredibly impressive from where they started the season.

With them being the healthier team and with Sabally likely back on the sidelines once again, I think the Wings will struggle to score here.

Over their last five first halves, the Wings rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive rating and on the road overall this season, they rank dead last in first-half offensive rating, averaging just 91.5 points per 100 possessions across 11 road first halves.

WNBA Pick: 1st Half Under 82.5 (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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1st Half Under 82.5 (-110)
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