The College World Series promised to be a wide-open affair, and it has lived up to that expectation by delivering the unexpected. Let’s see what the betting odds tell us at the best sportsbooks and break down this game!
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Saturday, June 25, 2022- 07:00 PM RDT at Charles Schwab Field
Four Teams Remains
Only four national seeds made the trip to Omaha a little over a week ago after early-round upsets turned the NCAA baseball field inside out.
The upsets didn’t stop once play began in Omaha, and, when the dust cleared, we were left with a pair of unseeded teams playing each other in an unlikely final series.
Ole Miss Was The Last Team
Ole Miss was one of the last four teams in the NCAA field. The Rebels are playing in just their sixth College World Series ever and first since 2014.
They are making the first appearance in the championship series in program history. Oklahoma advanced to Omaha for the first time since 2010 and is in the championship series for the first time since 1994.
Ole Miss Rebels History
Ole Miss watched in-state rival Mississippi State bring home the trophy last year, and head coach Mike Bianco has seen five teams from the SEC win the title in his 22 years at the helm of the Rebels.
This didn’t look like their year as Ole Miss stumbled to a 7-14 start in SEC play this season, dropping from No. 1 in the nation to unranked.
The Rebels were eliminated in the first game of the SEC Tournament and had to wait on pins and needles to hear their name called when the field was selected.
Oklahoma Sooners History
The Sooners weren’t in a much better position. Oklahoma was unranked from the start of the season and picked to finish sixth in their nine-team league. The Sooners have also seen their biggest rivals—Texas and Oklahoma State—make trip after trip to Omaha, while they waited their turn.
The Sooners endured a pair of three-game losing streaks this season and lost a series to both OSU and Texas before getting hot late and winning the Big 12 Tournament to earn a bid.
Both Teams Didn’t Make It to the Finals Previously
Both teams were afterthoughts, even after making the NCAA field. Neither got to host a regional or a subregional.
Oklahoma faced elimination games in each of the first two rounds, while Ole Miss faced it in its last game in Omaha.
“We have both had to play every postseason game on the road and both have had to manage some disappointment throughout the year,” Bianco said.
“We both, I believe, probably weren’t on people’s radar as potential national champions, even after we got to Omaha last week.” Radar or not, one of the two will take the first step toward a title on Saturday.
Rebels Against Sooners Matchup Analysis
Oklahoma hasn’t lost in Omaha, giving up just 11 runs in three games, striking out 34 and walking six.
Ole Miss has had even better pitching at the CWS, striking out 38 and walking six, while giving up just nine runs in four games.
Jack Dougherty Analysis
Sophomore right-hander Jack Dougherty will start Saturday’s game for Ole Miss.
- He is 3-3 with a 5.08 ERA on the year and hasn’t started a game since March 26.
- He began and ended the year in the bullpen, with a shaky stint in the rotation sandwiched in the middle.
- He’s been dominant as a reliever, striking out 13 in 12 scoreless innings since the start of May.
Jake Bennett Analysis
- Oklahoma will start ace lefty Jake Bennett, who is 10-3 with a 3.66 ERA.
- He’s struck out 123 in 110.2 innings, and Oklahoma has won his last seven appearances, including in the regionals, super regionals, and the Sooners’ CWS opener.
NCAA Baseball Pick for Today
Sooners Rest Advantage
Oklahoma is better rested going into the final series. The Sooners won their first three games, earning them some time to get their rotation settled and rest everyone, while Ole Miss was forced to play an extra game on Thursday and burn a starting pitcher, leading to their decision to start the series with Dougherty on the mound.
While both teams have shown elite pitching in Omaha, Oklahoma has paired it with the more dependable offense. The Sooners scored 24 runs in three games, two more than Ole Miss managed in four contests.
Who to Bet On?
Oklahoma is doing it like an old-school National League team, producing runs with a small ball. The Sooners have had more singles than most other CWS teams had total hits.
Oklahoma was also the No. 4 team in the regular season in stolen bases, a skill they haven’t relied on yet in Omaha, stealing just three bases while getting caught four times.
For your betting picks, look for Oklahoma to take advantage of Ole Miss going to an emergency starter and grind out a win in the opener.
NCAA baseball Pick: Under 10.5 runs (-120) with BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.