French Grand Prix 2022 Best Bets: Race Preview and Latest Odds

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Haas F1 Team's driver Mick Schumacher drives during a practice ahead of the Formula One British Grand Prix on July 1, 2022. Justin Tallis/AFP

Round 12 of 23 takes place in France this weekend as Max Verstappen looks to get back on the top step of the podium after failing to do so in the previous two rounds.

Charles Leclerc managed to slightly close the gap on the Dutch drivers’ championship lead with his victory last time out. Now, only 38 points separate the two drivers heading into this weekend’s action.

Can Leclerc claw back some more points in his “second-home race”? He’s certainly going to be more challenged now that Mercedes looks like their old-competitive self again. Check out our favorite pre-qualifying Formula1 best bets for this weekend.

French Grand Prix

Sunday, July 24, 2022 – 09:00 AM EDT at Circuit Paul Richard


Previous Round in Austria

Last time out we saw a sprint race take place on Saturday with Max Verstappen coming in first place and both Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz finishing 2nd and 3rd.

The next day, during the race, Mercedes did manage a very impressive 3rd and 4th place finish but it has to be said both Sergio Perez of Red Bull and Ferrari’s Carlos Sainz failed to cross the finishing line. This is quite significant because both cars do seem to be currently faster than the Mercedes.

Elsewhere, Haas scored their first back-to-back points in over 4 years and the former world championship winner, Sebastian Vettel, added to his inconsistent season with a last-place finish, leaving him with some odd-looking results overall. Vettel has now:

  • Missed the first two races due to Covid
  • Finished 10th or better on 4 occasions
  • Finished outside the top 10 on 4 occasions
  • Retired from a race


French GP Preview

For just the second time this season, we have no pre-qualifying race drivers laying any juice with the current betting odds. Both favorites sitting at plus money right now is an indication of how unpredictable the previous few rounds have been.

After all, the championship leader (Verstappen) has failed to win since the Canadian GP, three rounds ago.

Temperature Woes

There is a current heatwave sweeping through Europe and the expected temperature this weekend, during the race, is expected to be 91.4 Fahrenheit. Not only will this cause great difficulties for the drivers themselves but their tires will no doubt be overheating with track temperature anticipated to be as high as 140 °F.

Finally, this could be the last race in France for the foreseeable future as circuit Paul Richard is said to be no longer on the calendar next year. It’s not a great track and has rarely put on a spectacle since its return in 2018.

A street race in Nice is a potential for the future but unlikely. The only other F1-rated track in France is Magny-Cours but also unlikely to be included due to its remote location.

French GP Odds

  • Max Verstappen +110
  • Charles Leclerc +140
  • Lewis Hamilton +850
  • Sergio Perez +1400
  • George Russell +1700
  • Carlos Sainz +2100
  • Lando Norris +17600
  • Fernando Alonso +17600
  • Rest of Field +20100

*Odds available via BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Top 10 Finish

Haas finished inside the top 10 for JUST the 7th time ever in Austria, despite the team being in Formula1 since 2016. Impressively though, they are currently 7th of 10 teams in the championship even though they ended last season with zero points.

Haas has never had three top 10s in a row in Formula 1. The closest they ever came was in 2018 when they achieved three top ten in 5 races but never three in a row. We like the fact that the Paul Richard circuit is an easy track for teams to figure out their setup, it’s a test track after all.

Three In a Row

Kevin Magnussen has really proven his worth since his return to F1 and he truly is not letting this last opportunity go, with 22 points thus far. This is 3rd highest points tally in six seasons despite being just over halfway through the calendar. He could be on course for his best season yet.

Finally, Mick Schumacher (yes, the son of Formula 1 legend Michael Schumacher) has scored his first back-to-back points in the previous two rounds after going 23 races without a single point. We might need some luck on our side but +200 seems a little big right now for these guys to be inside the top 10.

Formula 1 Pick: Haas Both Drivers Top 10 (+200) at BetOnline


More Plays to Consider

  • Formula 1 Pick: Mercedes Both Drivers Top 6 Finish (-175) at BetOnline
  • Formula 1 Pick: Alpine Both Drivers Top 10 (-115) at BetOnline


Race Winner

It’s really hard to make a top 5 prediction this week with the possibility of Mercedes being somewhat competitive along with all the other factors such as the heat and the track. We believe that Verstappen can make it back on the top step at +110 and he might be the best bet here but officially we are staying away from the winners market this weekend.

There’s a reason the top sportsbooks have both favorites at plus money in Formula 1, which is very rare. Believe us when qualifying is over, we should see one of the drivers drop to minus money. We honestly wouldn’t be surprised if neither Red Bull nor Ferrari won this weekend.


Top 5 Predictions

  1. Max Verstappen
  2. Charles Leclerc
  3. Lewis Hamilton
  4. Sergio Perez
  5. George Russell

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.