The Seattle Storm continue their homestand on Tuesday as they welcome in the Atlanta Dream. Can Atlanta’s stout defense matchup with the Storm, or will Seattle’s superior offense make things tough on the Dream? Keep reading as we’ll break down the WNBA odds and share a sharp winning pick!
Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm
Tuesday, June 07, 2022 – 10:00 PM EDT at Climate Pledge Arena
Atlanta Defense vs. Seattle Defense
Two of the top defensive teams in the WNBA take to the court on Tuesday and it will be that end of the court that decides who will win this WNBA game.
Seattle’s offense has looked lost at times this season and with how top-heavy they are on offense, it’s not hard to see why good defensive teams have made them a middling offense through 10 games.
However, the Dream’s offense is worse. They rank 11th out of 12 teams in offensive rating right now and the only reason they are winning games to start the year has been their stifling defense.
Atlanta owns the league’s best defense heading into this game and through 11 games played this season. They are the only team currently holding opponents to less than 90 points per 100 possessions.
I don’t expect Atlanta will be able to hold that defensive pace forever, but their defense is definitely good. The problem is Atlanta Dream played six of their 11 games against teams below .500.
That will start to even out as they get to tougher portions of their schedule. They’re legit, but maybe not as much as their metrics currently suggest.
Dream vs. Storm Odds Breakdown
Because we are dealing with two offenses that are somewhere between average and bad right now, the only way to look at this game for me is the under. Here are the reasons:
- Both teams have been outstanding in the first halves defensively. Seattle owns the league’s best first-half defense allowing only 86.6 points per 100 possessions and the Dream are right behind them at 88.2.
- Aside from the Dream’s fast-break points, they are dead last in points in the paint. This is the makings of a bad offensive matchup on the road and against one of the league’s best defenses.
- With Tiffany Hayes out, this is a big factor why the Dream offense is sputtering. However, if they are good enough early in the game on defense, they may be able to make up for that and keep the game close.
Dream vs. Storm Betting Pick
I think the full game under is an OK betting pick, however, I think we’ll see the Storm pull away in the second half and it’s why I’m personally laying off the full game total.
My official WNBA pick is the first half under. For the first half, I expect a slower and sloppier game than the total is suggesting. I could see these two combining for only about 70 points in the first half.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.