CFL Week 6 Picks: Expert Betting Analysis for the Top Games

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Ka'Deem Carey #35 of the Calgary Stampeders gets tackled by Marcus Sayles #14 of the BC Lions. Photo by Rich Lam/Getty Images via AFP

This week at BMR we preview Thursday night’s clash between Edmonton Elks vs. Montreal Alouettes and Friday’s match between Calgary Stampeders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

Read on for our expert picks, and a breakdown of the betting odds for Week 6 in the Canadian Football League.

Calgary Stampeders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Friday, July 15, 2022 – 08:30 PM EDT at IG Field

This week in Winnipeg we have an encounter between the last two unbeaten CFL teams.

Who Will Be the Last Unbeaten CFL Team After Friday Night?

Winnipeg is usually rocking in recent times and is something of a fortress for the Blue Bombers. The in-form Stampeders offer an interesting if slightly unknown test this week.

  • The Blue Bombers could barely have been more impressive on last week’s road trip than when they blitzed the unbeaten BC Lions in the opening quarter.
  • The core of the team is strong each week with Quarterback, Zach Collaros throwing for just under 300 yards and three touchdowns while kicker, Marc Liegghio was his reliable self when it mattered most.
  • Dalton Schoen continued his good form with a brace of touchdowns.
  • The Winnipeg Blue Bombers were impressive in their assault on a third successive Grey Cup.

This Week Is the Acid Test for the Unbeaten Stampeders

This week in Winnipeg the Calgary Stampeders put their unbeaten CFL record on the line with a road trip to the Grey Cup holders. We are about to find out how the Stampeders Grey Cup credentials are looking with the ultimate acid test.

  • Wide receiver Malik Henry put up over 100 yards once again on the Elks with a touchdown added for good measure
  • Every week I say it, but it’s true, Rene Paredes is the most reliable kicker in the league despite his first missed kick of the season from 38 yards
  • They are now going from one extreme to the other. After beating the CFL’s weakest side away, they now have a road trip against the best to test themselves.

Betting Pick

This week is a huge test for the Stampeders against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. It’s hard to make an argument for the Calgary Stampeders winning but assessing them on spread looks precarious also. With that in mind, it has to be easier to trust that this match-up will go over the total points.

CFL Pick: Over 46 (-108) at Heritage Sports

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Over 46 (-108)
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Edmonton Elks vs. Montreal Alouettes

Thursday, July 14, 2022 - 07:30 PM EDT at Molson Stadium

Can Montreal Right the Ship After a Rough Ride in Saskatchewan?

It was a rough ride of a road trip to Saskatchewan for the Montreal Alouettes two weeks ago, losing 20-41. It's possible the scoreline flattered the Roughriders a little given they lost the third quarter 0-21 after leading at halftime, which accounted for the difference between the two sides.

  • Last week wasn't the first time the Alouettes had squandered a first-half lead, having previously lost to the Calgary Stampeders from a ten-point first-half advantage.
  • Chandler Worthy again started brightly for the Als returning the kick-off for an 84-yard touchdown to make him the first player in Montreal history to return kickoffs for touchdowns in consecutive matches.
  • A huge problem for the Montreal Alouettes appears to be the quarterback position and that can only mean trouble. This last match with the Roughriders saw Trevor Harris replaced by Vernon Adams Jnr late in the fourth quarter.
  • Head coach, Khari Jones and defensive co-ordinator, Barron Miles sacked on the eve of this match.

Can the Elks Pick Themselves up After the Stampede?

The Stampeders lived up to their nickname with a demolition of the Edmonton Elks in more ways than one. Not only was the scoreline one-sided, but Edmonton got pretty banged up in the process.

  • Rookie quarterback, Tre Ford who made such a big impression the week previous when replacing Nick Arbuckle had an issue with his throwing arm and had to be replaced in the first quarter by Arbuckle himself.
  • The first half was very rough on the Elks with huge changes needed as they patched up a team to finish the game.
  • Nick Arbuckle himself didn’t last long at quarterback as the impressive and versatile Kai Locksley took over the duties.
  • The tale of woe didn’t end there as Locksley himself sustained a throwing arm injury and had to be taken off, leaving Arbuckle on quarterback duties again.

Betting Pick

We have a match-up between two teams in desperate need of an injection of confidence. The Alouettes have new leadership or lack of it and issues at quarterback, but their one home-field match saw them drub the Saskatchewan Roughriders and that’s a huge plus going into this week.

The Elks appeared to have found their savior, in the form of rookie quarterback, Tre Ford but unluckily lost him almost immediately vs. Calgary. That wasn’t the only injury and with several more, unless they get Ford back in the fold, the Elks may struggle to post enough points to be competitive this week.

With both CFL teams having issues at quarterback, and badly in need of a win, the angle to attack for a bet is the potential lack of points in this contest, so let’s trust the under to play strong.

CFL Pick: Under 48 (-107) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Under 48 (-107)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.