We couldn’t have predicted last weekend’s F1 race any better going 2-0 for our main betting picks.
On to this week’s round in Canada and we have a Red Bull 1-2 in the championship after the weekend in Azerbaijan. Max Verstappen leads teammate Sergio Perez by 150 points to 129, and Leclerc has slipped down to 3rd on 116 points following his 2nd retirement in three races.
Check out what selections we have this weekend in Canada on one of the most iconic Formula 1 tracks, at least outside of Europe.
Canadian Grand Prix
Sunday, June 19, 2022 – 02:00 PM EDT at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Recap
The last time out was a mess in Baku just as we predicted. It was an exciting race, as we had a total of 5 retirements and Red Bull walked away from the weekend with a firm grip on the championship.
Ferrari and Red Bull Results
Ferrari was the fastest in qualifying and Leclerc managed to pick up pole position ahead of the race, with Red Bull sandwiched into 2nd and 3rd, and then Carlos Sainz in 4th to make a Ferrari/Red Bull sandwich.
Both Ferraris retired from the race due to components of their car failing. First, it was Carlos Sainz on lap 8 with a hydraulics issue, and then finally Leclerc was caught with what looked to be a failed power unit on lap 21.
Red Bull took 1st and 2nd with Max Verstappen taking 1st and Sergio Perez 2nd.
Mercedes will have been pleased with themselves to pick up just their 4th podium of the year to date, 3 of those 4 being won by young driver George Russell over Lewis Hamilton.
Russell finished almost 26 seconds ahead of Hamilton in 4th during the Azerbaijan GP.
Formula 1 Returns to Canada
For the first time in three years, Formula 1 returns to Canada, the last race being won by Lewis Hamilton back in June of 2019.
Montreal has always been one of the fan-favorite tracks and Canadian fans will get to cheer on two hometown drivers this time around, with the addition of Nicholas Latifi to the grid.
Although Latifi has been in Formula 1 since 2020 he has yet to race at his hometown track.
Canadian Grand Prix: Track Conditions
It’s as simple as this. The Circuit Gilles Villeneuve is a track rarely used, which will mean much higher tire degradation. On top of this, teams have not raced here in three years.
The previous time they were here the cars and regulations were slightly different and most importantly the tire structures and types were different. All their data from previous years is pretty much worthless.
All the teams will have to work overtime this weekend in order to get their cars right for the race. The race itself could also throw up a few curve balls with these difficult mechanical and technical issues. If all this wasn’t bad enough, the weather conditions at this circuit can be a lot more unpredictable than most other circuits throughout the year.
Canadian Grand Prix Betting Odds
|Rest of the field||+25000|
*All odds available with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Canadian Grand Prix Betting Pick for Ferrari
Okay, so this might seem a bit obvious given they have failed to finish five times thus far this season, but one would suspect after a double a retirement in Azerbaijan they will be working extra hard to make sure there are no mechanical issues or failures during the race this time around.
We won’t believe it until we see it, plus we also have the unfortunate added advantage that they could just naturally crash out of the race anyhow without any mechanical issues.
Right now, we are happy to take either car not to be classified at +200. We would even bet this to as low as +180 given what’s at stake. Leclerc must win or his championship chances will dimmer significantly.
Formula 1 Pick: Either Ferrari Not to Be Classified (+200) at the Top-Rated Sportsbooks
Canadian Grand Prix Race Winner Pick
Just like we are not going to stop betting Ferrari not to be classified until they fix their issues, we feel the same way about Max Verstappen in this championship. He will go off for most races at minus money compared to all the plus money betting odds we were getting at the start of the championship when Leclerc was competitive and won two of the first three races.
Verstappen has gone on to win 4 of the previous 5 races and despite Red Bull saying he and Perez can fight on track, we all know Verstappen is getting priority and Perez will rarely be a treat to him for race victories.
Until we see Leclerc or Perez starting to win on a regular basis, we are taking Verstappen to win because -115 is generous odds considering in 2/3 races time. We might be lucky to get -170.
Formula 1 Pick: Max Verstappen to Win (-115) at BetOnline
Top-3 Predictions for the Canadian Grand Prix
- Max Verstappen
- Sergio Perez
- Carlos Sainz
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.