Breeders’ Cup Best Bets for Saturday: Flightline and Jackie’s Warrior Among the Best

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Jackie's Warrior #3, ridden by Joel Rosario, rides to victory in race 10 prior to the running of the 148th Kentucky Derby. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images/AFP.

The Triple Crown races have special significance to even the most casual sports fan, but Breeders’ Cup weekend is the Super Bowl of the sport.

This is especially so on Saturday with 12 races in all, with races 3 thru 11 connected with the Breeders’ Cup series and they will be shown on the USA Network, NBC and the Peacock networks starting at 01:00 EDT and lasting until 06:00 EDT.

Let’s look at the races that have purses from 2 million all the way to 6 million, which is for the Cup Classic at Keeneland in Lexington, Kentucky.

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Breeders’ Cup

Friday, November 4, 2002 – Saturday, November 5, 2022


Race 6 Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf

A group of 13 fillies and mares will kick off the day of the most important races traveling 1 and 3/16 miles.

Nashwa is the betting favorite at 5/2, followed by In Italian (7/2 odds) and Above the Curve (9/2).

Nashwa should be on your betting card and compared to others, she is comfortable with the sharp turns at Keeneland.

If not the favorite, take a look at Tuesday (8/1) who won the Oaks at Epsom or Virginia Joy (10/1) with top jockey Irad Irtiz Jr. aboard.

  • Winner: Nashwa
  • Longshot: Tuesday

Race 7 Breeders’ Cup Sprint

This is the speed race of the day at six furlongs and the field is thought to be chasing the best sprinter of the bunch in Jackie’s Warrior at 4/5 odds.

This horse typically explodes out of the gate and dares others to catch him.

If there is some speedster that can, it is Kimari (4/1) who will benefit from being cut back from seven to six furlongs off its last start.

If you are looking at an exacta or trifecta that could payout more if correct, Aloha West (12/1) and American Theorem (10/1) both fit the bill.

  • Winner: Jackie’s Warrior
  • Longshot: American Theorem

Race 8 Breeders’ Cup Mile

The B.C. Mile has a more open look than some of the earlier races. Modern Games is a deserving favorite at (7/2) thanks in part to going from a speed rating of 87 to 112.

MG is athletic and should win but if it doesn’t have a topflight effort, others are in the mix.

The most consistent horses otherwise that have shown speed and grit are Smooth Like Straight (10/1), Regal Glory (6/1) and Domestic Spending (8/1).

Regal Glory is a versatile horse who is comfortable running behind the leaders and picking her spot. Coming off a bit of layoff, Domestic Spending continually fires when fresh and is a threat.

  • Winner: Domestic Spending
  • Longshot: Order of Australia

Race 9 Breeders’ Cup Distaff

In this field of eight on the dirt, there are five horses with a legitimate chance to reach the winner’s circle.

It starts with the favorite, Nest (9/5) followed immediately by Malathaat (3/1). Up next is Clairiere (4/1), Search Results (9/2) and Society (6/1).

No doubt Society is the value bet of the field, however,  Malathaat and Clairiere are our top two choices.

This would be a good spot for a trifecta box and hope the numbers go your way.

  • Winner: Malathaat 
  • Longshot: Society

Race 10 Breeders’ Cup Turf

This race at a mile and a half on the turf is expected to have 13 horses and three that are the favorites.

In order, they are Nations Pride (7/2), Rebel’s Romance (3/1) and War Like Goddess (9/2).

War Like Goddess should draw a lot of support having never lost at Keeneland and is 5-5 at this 1 1/2-mile trip. Nations Pride is from Ireland and has developed and won its last two starts in the States.

Rebel’s Romance will also garner attention, having never failed on the green stuff. Inconsistent Broome (12/1) has the most speed and Mishriff (6/1) could surprise.

  • Winner: War Like Goddess
  • Longshot: MishriffRace 11 Breeders’ Cup Classic

Talk to any horse bettor about the Classic and the answer is the same. You take Flightline (3-5) to win and try and figure out who to use to complete your exacta or trifecta tickets. Any horse can stumble out of the gate, get caught in traffic, and lose.

However, after posting speed ratings recently of 118, 112, and a jaw-dropping 126 at the Pacific Classic, it is hard to go against the best horse in the world.

Consider an exacta bet with Flightline and these horses that are standouts in Life is Good (6/1), Epicenter (5/1), and Olympiad (10/1).

Exacta: Flightline to Win with Life is Good, Epicenter, and Olympiad. (3 total bets)

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.