NASCAR Pick: Harvick to Finish Ahead of Truex Jr. (-115) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
- Kevin Harvick to Finish Ahead of Martin Truex Jr. (-115)
- Aric Almirola to Finish Ahead of Chris Buescher (-160)
Last week, the NASCAR Cup Series staged the Pennzoil 400 in Las Vegas.
The result was a sweep by Hendrick Motorsports of the first three places: William Byron won, and he was followed by Kyle Larson, who was followed by Alex Bowman.
Top Sportsbooks have released their odds for this week’s upcoming United Rentals Work United 500 stock car race in Phoenix, which is sure to have a different outcome. Read ahead for all of the information that you’ll want to know pertaining to this race.
This article will recommend two betting picks grounded in analysis.
NASCAR fans out there interested in betting on the United Rentals Work United 500 can do so at any of these US betting sites.
NASCAR Cup Series: United Rentals Work United 500
Sunday, March 12, 2023 – 03:30 PM EST at Phoenix Raceway
Last Week’s Race
Last week, NASCAR’s Cup Series staged the Pennzoil 400 at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
William Byron won the race, and he arguably did deserve to win because he led 176 laps. Despite the number of laps he led, it took late-race heroics to propel him past Kyle Larson.
Larson ended up finishing second, one place ahead of Alex Bowman. Byron’s win positions him in third in the NASCAR Cup Series Playoff standings. Kyle Busch remains in first place followed by Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
We should specifically exclude Byron from our list of candidates to win this week’s race because it is statistically so unlikely for a driver to win consecutive races.
This week’s race is the United Rentals Work United 500 at the Phoenix Raceway in Avondale, Arizona.
For this race, drivers must complete a total of 312 laps.
As is almost always the case, this race has been divided into three stages:
- Stage 1: Requires drivers to complete 60 laps.
- Stage 2: Consists in the following 125 laps.
- Stage 3: Finishes upon completion of the 312th lap.
The entry list for NASCAR’s upcoming race gets published by the middle of the week of the race.
36 teams/drivers are listed for 40 possible spots.
So, barring any unforeseen circumstances, we already know which drivers will participate in this race. We may expect all the usual suspects.
As for the starting lineup, that gets determined via qualifying.
Qualifying takes place on Saturday, the day before the race, from 12:30 PM to 01:30 PM EST.
The format for qualifying will be groups A & B, single vehicle, one lap, and two rounds. A practice session will immediately precede qualifying.
Phoenix Raceway is a tri-oval course consisting of an asphalt surface. It is exactly one mile long, so by completing 312 laps, drivers will have accumulated 312 miles.
The banking here is minimal: the start/finish straightaway is banked at three degrees, the dogleg at 10-11 degrees, the straightaway from the dogleg to turn 1 at 10 degrees; moreover, turn 1 is banked at eight degrees, turn 2 at 8-9 degrees, the backstretch at three degrees, and turns 3 and 4 at 10-11 degrees.
Drivers to Avoid
We should try to go against Martin Truex Jr. at this track. He often finishes terribly here. In fact, he failed to finish better than 15th in his last two tries in Phoenix.
We should also look to go against Chris Buescher, who has never finished better than 10th in 14 races in Phoenix.
He often finishes outside the top 20 here.
One driver worth relying on in Phoenix is Kevin Harvick.
Harvick loves competing here more than any other driver. In his career, he has nine total wins here, which is at least three times as many as any other driver. Plus, his success in Phoenix is consistent.
At this track, he has accumulated 19 straight top-10 finishes. He repeatedly, in the process, finishes in a better position than he starts.
Keep An Eye on Almirola too
I also like Aric Almirola on Sunday, who since 2017 has gained tremendous comfort on this track. Since 2017, the frequency with which he has finished top-nine here makes him reliable, at least against lower-profile drivers.
While Harvick looks primed to win, be sure to sign up with Bovada so that you can take advantage of their matchup betting opportunities right now.
For your NASCAR Picks, I recommend investing in Harvick to finish ahead of Truex Jr. and in Almirola to finish ahead of Buescher.
NASCAR Pick: Almirola to Finish Ahead of Buescher (-160) at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.