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Bass Pro Shops Night Race Odds and Expert Picks

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Bass Pro Shops Night Race Odds and Expert Picks
Joey Logano. Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images/AFP

The NASCAR Cup Series playoffs resume on Saturday evening. Read ahead for a preview of the race with a betting pick. Top sportsbooks have released their odds for Saturday’s upcoming NASCAR Cup Series playoff race. Read ahead for an update on how the playoffs have proceeded, for information that will make you informed about the race, and for guidance on which bet to place in order to profit from the race.

Besides providing a good opportunity to profit, this racing event will be a fun one to watch because it takes place at a track that is, for several reasons, justly viewed as a fan favorite.

NASCAR Cup Series: Bass Pro Shops Night Race

Saturday, September 18, 2021, at 7:30 PM EDT at Bristol Motor Speedway

Playoff Update

Each round in NASCAR’s Cup Series playoffs consists of three races. Right now, we are in the Round of 16. Saturday’s race will be the final race in this round.
Therefore, after Saturday’s race, four drivers will be eliminated from playoff contention as the Round of 16 turns into the Round of 12. So far, Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. have secured their places in the next round. They clinched their spots in the next round by winning one of the two playoff races.

For betting purposes, we will exclude those two drivers from consideration of which drivers to invest in. My reasoning has to do with psychology because they have less to race for. There are plenty of drivers who are more worth looking at to invest in because they will be more motivated on Saturday. Keep motivation in mind for your NASCAR picks.

Race Info

For Saturday’s event, drivers must complete a total of 500 laps. As has been the case for just about every race this season, there will be three stages for this event. Stage 1 requires its drivers to complete 125 laps. Stage 2 finishes at lap 250. Lastly, stage 3 consists of the remaining 250 laps. An entry list is always posted early in the week for the upcoming racing competition.

The entry list for this upcoming event lists 38 drivers/teams. So, barring any unforeseen events, we already know who will compete in the race. Meanwhile, the starting lineup gets published on Wednesday morning. Because history has always allowed drivers to gain familiarity with the track at Bristol, there is no need for any practice or qualifying to take place. Instead, as has typically been the case, the starting lineup will be set by a predetermined formula. 

Track Info

Bristol Motor Speedway is a fan favorite for several reasons. Because it is known for being very loud, it is nicknamed “Thunder Valley.” This track is 0.533-miles long to be exact. So in completing 500 laps, drivers will have accumulated 266.5 miles. Because of its length and its reputation as a fast track, Bristol Motor Speedway is known as “The World’s Fastest Half-Mile.

A big part of why this track is so fast is uniquely high banking. High banking encourages higher speeds because drivers use banking to collect momentum for their cars. The turns at this track are banked at between 22 and 24 degrees. The straights are banked at nine degrees.

Driver To Avoid

With your sports betting in mind, be sure to avoid investing in Ryan Blaney. Historically speaking, Blaney is awful at this track. Whereas his average starting position here is 8.7, his average finishing position at this track is 18.87. This means that he regularly finishes 10 places behind his starting position.

This disparity between his average finishing and average starting positions is not explainable by one race alone. I dislike Blaney because he regularly struggles here. In 11 races, he has finished outside the top 30 in four of them.

My Guy

For this race, I like Joey Logano to finish ahead of Kevin Harvick. You can bet accordingly at a sports betting site like Bovada (visit our Bovada Review) that offers match-up betting opportunities. Harvick may seem tempting to invest in because he won his last race at Bristol. But that race took place last year when Harvick was a lot faster.

This year, Harvick is not remotely in the same stratosphere, in terms of his racing quality, as he was last year. Before his last race at Bristol, he had finished 10th or worse four straight times. Logano, however, looks promising today because he shows strong racing form, owns a driver rating at this track that is superior to Harvick’s and finished top 10 in three races at Bristol from 2018 to 2019.

NASCAR Pick: Logano To Finish Ahead of Harvick at -130 with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.