2021 Houston Open Picks: How to Bet This Week’s PGA Tour Event

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Adam Long of the United States plays his shot from the second tee. Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images/AFP

The Memorial Park Golf Course in Houston is unusually for the PGA Tour a municipal track, but it made a strong and favorable impression with the professionals and public on its debut. I think the general pre-conception last year was that the Tom Doak design would likely play easy given the Municipal tag, but it was quite the opposite, setting a fair test where the par 70 took some getting.

Bermuda greens once again mean we can look at those with strong form on the putting surfaces, but they will need to be gaining strokes off the tee and there will be no hiding place for those not striking it well this week.

2021 Houston Open

Nov 11-14 at Memorial Park Golf Course

Par 70, 7432 yards

Adam Looks Long Overdue for a Big Week

The thirty-four-year-old Adam Long from New Orleans in Louisiana has been somewhat lackluster in 2021 but there’s been encouraging signs in recent weeks. Winning 2019 in his rookie year at +10000 set a high tariff for Long’s career but he’s performed creditably to establish himself on the PGA Tour.

Adam Long hits his tee shot on the seventh hole. Meg Oliphant/Getty Images/AFP

A long commute to Japan for the Zoso Championship showed him looking in fine fettle with an eighth top 30 of the year but amazingly there’s been nothing better than 20th which sits in a strange juxtaposition given he’s missed seventeen cuts from the other eighteen events. We have to go back to this time last year for his last top 10 finish when a 3rd at the Mayakoba that followed an 11th in last year’s renewal of the Houston Open.

Yes, I know the strange consistency and symmetry in his 2021 results with ten cuts made, all of which bar one, have been top 30 finishes with nothing better than 20th after last week’s 22nd at Mayakoba added another notch on the bedpost of unusual. It’s plausible that Adam is Long overdue for a big week with his consistent recent results and this week’s Houston Open looks a good option for a longshot +11000 and a top 20 finish at +400 with BetOnline.

Golf Pick: Adam Long win +11000 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Golf Pick: Adam Long top 20 +400 with BetOnline

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Riviera Country Club the Correlation We Are Looking for This Week

With Carlos Ortiz sadly out through a shoulder injury, we need another selection this week but let’s at least use the correlation his win last year indicated. For several years now, I’ve thought the young Mexican would win his first PGA Tour title at the Riviera Country Club in the Genesis Invitational where he’d built an impressive plethora of course form.

Ortiz winning here last year though provided the clues that the Memorial Park Golf Course is an old-fashioned classical championship test like Riviera. That would suit Australians like Adam Scott who played respectable last year and Mark Leishman well, both of whom look in good form.

Max Homa of the United States. Alex Goodlett/Getty Images for CJ Cup @ Summit/AFP

I think though, I’m going to be tempted by the longer price of this year’s Genesis Invitational winner, Max Homa who won only two starts ago at the Fortinet Championship. In comparison to Scott and Leishman’s price, Max Homa appears overlooked at +5500 with GTbets. Let’s take the +5500 about Max Homa winning a third PGA Tour title in 2021 amongst this week’s best bets.

Golf Pick: Max Homa win +5500 with GTbets (visit our GTbets Review)

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Golf Pick: Max Homa top 5 +1100 with GTbets

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.