Oilers vs. Avalanche Stanley Cup Playoffs Game 1 Predictions and Free Pick

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J.T. Compher #37 of the Colorado Avalanche celebrates with teammates on the ice after Compher scored a goal against the St. Louis Blues. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

One of the biggest matchups this postseason is no doubt going to be in this series, we have some of the league’s best players on both teams and who will win the Connor McDavid / Nathan McKinnon battle.  

It’s all to play for in this series with the Avalanche last having appeared in the conference final back in 2002 and the Oilers last appearance was back in 2006.   

Edmonton Oilers vs. Colorado Avalanche 

Tuesday, May 31, 2022 – 08:00 PM EDT at Ball Arena 

Oilers Offense Doing Most of The Work 

The Oilers' offense has come into tonight’s game averaging a massive 4.33 goals per game in the postseason. Then again is it any surprise as they boast two of the league’s best point scorers in Leon Draisaitl and Conor McDavid.  

The pair combined for 233 points in the regular season which was ranked 1st and 4th, thus far in the playoffs both have combined for 52 points and are ranked tied 1st with 26 points each. The closest player to them is the New York Rankers' Mika Zibanejad who is on 19 points.  

It’s not just been the top dogs on the Oilers who have contributed to the Oilers' postseason success, Evander Kane and Zach Hyman have stepped up their game and have combined for 27 points. As well as Kane bagging himself two post-season hat tricks.  

Goaltender Mike Smith has also done his part and his numbers during this playoff are sitting at 2.7 goals against and a .927 save percent. It’s going to be interesting to see how this series plays out for the last remaining Canadian team left in the playoffs.  

Colorado Bossing the Stats 

The Avalanche are pretty much bossing the Oilers in the stats department, you will find them sprinkled throughout this article, so we won’t name them all in one long list here but one that is very concerning for us is the fact the Oilers have given up a lot of penalty minutes and the Avalanche are ranked number 1 in the powerplay this postseason.  

Darcy Kuemper has been top quality in net only allowing 2.4 goals against with a .904 save percent. Cale Makar has stepped up big time in the postseason scoring a total of 13 points, the tied most on the team along with Nathan McKinnon.  
 

Team Trends 

*Trends should never be your main source of information when it comes to making your betting picks, they are merely guidelines and mostly irrelevant information but nonetheless can be interesting to read. 

Edmonton Oilers 

  • Edmonton are 6-1 in their last 7 games. 
  • Edmonton are 2-4 in their last 6 games against Colorado. 
  • The total has gone over in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games. 

Colorado Avalanche 

  • Colorado are 8-2 in their last 10 games. 
  • Colorado are 8-3 in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Western Conference. 
  • The total has gone over in 10 of Colorado's last 14 games played in May. 

What Are The Betting Odds and Current Lines? 

Moneyline:

Edmonton come into the opening game of this series as +155 underdogs on the moneyline, whilst the Avalanche as home favorites are priced up at -185.  

Total:

The total for this game 1 has been set at a very high 7.0 with the under coming in around -130 (because of the push for exactly 7 goals) and the over at +112.  

Puck Line:

The Edmonton Oilers are -130 on the +1.5 PK line which usually is a nice set of odds for that line. Colorado -1.5 are priced up at +130. Oilers betters might also consider them -1.5 at +320.  

Betting Predictions 

The Oilers have the worst goals against record of all the teams remaining in the playoffs, they will have a lot of work to do if they are looking to shut down the Avalanches 4.3 goals per game.

The Oilers have the 2nd worst penalty minutes in the playoffs (the worst of any remaining teams) whilst the Avalanche have just 70 minutes in the box, the best by far of any of the remaining playoff teams, the second best being the Rangers with 110.  

Although we don’t believe the Avalanche will sweep the Oilers, and who knows this could even go to the wire at 3-3, but we firmly believe the Avalanche will come away with the win tonight.

They HAVE to turn their 0-2 home form around in this series and the Oilers have not had much success in game one’s going 0-2 in the previous two rounds and conceding a total of 13 goals.  

For us the Avalanche are not even playing at their maximum ability, Mikko Rantanen was their top goalscorer in the regular season and has only contributed 1 goal in the playoffs thus far, is it his time to turn on the heat in this matchup?

The Oilers have had to play to the best of their ability and beyond to get here, maybe the Avalanche could be a step to far.  

Predicted Score: Colorado Avalanche 4-2 Edmonton Oilers 

NHL Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (+130) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (+130)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.