NHL Player Props March 16: Brady Tkachuk to Stay Hot Against Avalanche

profile image of Eric.Kelly
brady-tkachuk-ottawa-senators-hockey-player-aspect-ratio-16-9
Brady Tkachuk #7 of the Senators celebrates his OT game winning goal against the Avalanche on December 04, 2021. Chris Tanouye/Getty Images/AFP

Top NHL Pick for Today

NHL Pick: Brady Tkachuk (Ottawa Senators) – Over 3.5 Shots (-120) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Heritage Sports logo
Brady Tkachuk – Over 3.5 Shots (-120)
Visit Site

We have 11 games to mark our NHL betting card this Thursday night.

Taking a look at the games across the board we have come up with four separate player props bets averaging a total set of odds at (+100).  

Picks Summary:  

  • Carter Verhaeghe (Florida Panthers) – Anytime Goalscorer (+110) 
  • Brady Tkachuk (Ottawa Senators) – Over 3.5 Shots (-120)  
  • Kyle Connor (Winnipeg Jets) – Over 3.5 Shots (+120) 
  • Adrian Kempe (Los Angeles Kings) – Over 0.5 Points (-200) 

Targeting goals, points, and player shots, here are tonight’s selections and the reason why we are liking the odds on these players to produce the goods tonight.  

Overall NHL Article Plays This Season: 131-101 

Remember, fans from the Sunshine State who want to wager on this game should check out our top-rated Florida betting sites.


Montreal Canadiens vs. Florida Panthers   

Thursday, March 16, 2023 – 07:00 PM EDT at FLA Live Arena 

Carter Verhaeghe (Florida Panthers) 

Anytime Goalscorer  

  • Goals Scored: 32 
  • Goals Assisted: 25 
  • Shots Per Game: 3.25 

The Panthers’ top goalscorer this season Carter Verhaeghe will be confident he can get back on the scoreboard for the first time in three games as he faces the Montreal Canadiens on home ice tonight.  

Verhaeghe has faced the Canadiens twice this season scoring one goal and assisting twice. Montreal is very bad defensively right now having allowed 4/8/3/4/4 goals in their previous five games, an average of 4.3.  

The Panthers center has a solid return in front of goals having 3 or more days rest with six games played and four goals scored. We are confident he will get plenty of chances to score at (+110) NHL odds against this Montreal team that are extremely depleted right now.  

NHL Pick: Carter Verhaeghe – Anytime Goalscorer (+110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

BetOnline logo
Carter Verhaeghe – Anytime Goalscorer (+110)
Visit Site

Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators  

Thursday, March 16, 2023 – 07:00 PM EDT at Canadian Tire Centre 

Brady Tkachuk (Ottawa Senators) 

Over/Under Shots 

  • Goals Scored: 27 
  • Goals Assisted: 40 
  • Shots Per Game: 4.0 

Coming into tonight’s game Brady Tkachuk has been the Ottawa Senators’ highest shot-taker this season by almost 50 shots. Averaging four shots per game and having hit 4+ game shots in 8 of his previous 15 games we are liking the Senators winger to go over his total tonight on home ice against the Colorado Avalanche.  

Just two teams have held Tkachuk to one or fewer shots this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning, and Colorado Avalanche, we believe the Avalanche will do well to keep this guy quiet two games in a row, especially since he scored his first goals in six attempts last time out on the ice, he should be hungry for more.  

NHL Pick: Brady Tkachuk – Over 3.5 Shots (-120) at Heritage Sports


Boston Bruins vs. Winnipeg Jets 

Thursday, March 16, 2023 – 8:00 PM EDT at Canada Life Centre 

Kyle Connor (Winnipeg Jets) 

Over/Under Shots  

  • Goals Scored: 27 
  • Goals Assisted: 46 
  • Shots Per Game: 3.44 

Kyle Connor seems like some really strong value at (+120) NHL odds for his shot total to go over 3.5 on home ice against the Boston Bruins tonight.  

Connor has been on a cold streak in his previous two games hitting 2 and 1 shots having previously averaged 3.7 shots across his last 10 NHL games.  

Coming into this game the Boston Bruins have not been playing their usual standard of hockey having allowed 6 and 5 goals in their previous two games to non-playoff teams and these are there for the taking if the Jets want them.  

Connor has seen 4+ game shots in 55% of his previous 22 games and has finished just one shot shy of cashing over 3.5 shots a further 26% of the time.  

NHL Pick: Kyle Connor – Over 3.5 Shots (+120) at BetOnline  

BetOnline logo
Kyle Connor – Over 3.5 Shots (+120)
Visit Site

Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Los Angeles Kings 

Thursday, March 16, 2023 – 10:30 PM EDT at Crypto.com Arena  

Adrian Kempe (Los Angeles Kings) 

Over/Under Points 

  • Goals Scored: 32 
  • Goals Assisted: 20 
  • Shots Per Game: 3.0 

The Kings play host to the Columbus Blue Jackets who have allowed 3.74 goals per game and we are more than happy to target the Kings’ 3rd highest points scorer Adrian Kempe to get on the scoreboard with over 0.5 game points at -200.  

We usually don’t lay this much juice but with the Kings expected to score goals tonight, we believe this NHL pick has a much greater chance of cashing, and hence why the sportsbooks are only offering us -200.  

Kempe has been hot since the start of February scoring at least one game point in 10 of his previous 15 games.  

NHL Pick: Adrian Kempe – Over 0.5 Points (-200) at BetOnline  

BetOnline logo
Adrian Kempe – Over 0.5 Points (-200)
Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.