NHL Player Props Best Bets: Erik Karlsson Good Value to Score Points

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Erik Karlsson #65 of the San Jose Sharks is congratulated by teammates after he scored a goal against the Dallas Stars in the third period at SAP Center on January 18, 2023 in San Jose, California. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images/AFP

NHL Pick: Erik Karlsson Over 1.5 Points (+160) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Erik Karlsson is only four points away from being the third-highest points scorer this season, we are looking for the Swede to get some points tonight. Elsewhere we have some exciting games on the board today with some high-scoring games expected, which is always ideal for player prop betting.  

  • Overall NHL Article Plays This Season: 92-66 

San Jose Sharks vs. Detroit Red Wings  

Tuesday, January 24, 2023 – 07:00 PM EST at Little Caesars Arena 

 Erik Karlsson (San Jose Sharks) 

  • Over/Under Points 

The highest-scoring defenceman in the NHL this season has been the San Jose Sharks Erik Karlsson. The 32-year-old Swedish player has scored 47 assists (second most assists in the NHL) and scored 15 goals, which is the most he has scored since joining San Jose in 2018. He is also on course for a projected 26 goals, which would be the most of his career.  

Karlsson is currently going through his longest cold stretch without points this season, we say this jokingly because he has only gone two games without a point. We like Karlsson’s NHL odds at +160 to see 2+ game points tonight.  

The Red Wings have allowed 3.33 goals per game and the Sharks are due a solid performance sooner or later since they've only won 1 of their previous 6 NHL games, as well as the fact they were shut out 4-0 by the Bruins last time out.  

When these teams met earlier in the season Karlsson ended the game with 4 points in total and he has seen at least over 1.5 points in 35% of his games this season.  

NHL Pick: Erik Karlsson Over 1.5 Points (+160) at BetOnline 

Dylan Larkin (Detroit Red Wings) 

  • Over/Under Points 

Despite us expecting goals to be scored by the San Jose Sharks tonight, that doesn’t mean we don’t expect the Detroit Red Wings to score goals themselves. The Sharks do allow 3.87 goals and Dylan Larkin has been the Red Wings' highest points scorer thus far this season having scored 41 points in 44 games.  

Larkin's six-game scoring streak was ended last time out in the Red Wings' 2-1 defeat to the Philadelphia Flyers. We are very much liking his chances to score a point tonight on home ice against this Sharks team.  

We could only find -200 betting odds on Larkin over 0.5 points, the juice is worth laying here, but if you can find an alternative over 1.5 line for +150 or better, we would advise playing that for half a unit.  

NHL Pick: Dylan Larkin Over 0.5 Points (-200) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Florida Panthers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 

Tuesday, January 24, 2023 – 07:00 PM EST at PPG Paints Arena 

Evgeni Malkin (Pittsburgh Penguins) 

  • Over/Under Shots 

The Florida Panthers travel to Pittsburgh tonight, a game we are expecting to have a lot of goals and action. It could be another defeat for the Panthers having put in a maximum effort against the New York Rangers last night whilst the Penguins had rest.  

Evgeni Malkin has taken an average of 3 shots per game this season, so we don’t mind laying the -135 odds on Malkin to have over 2.5 shots in tonight’s matchup. The Panthers allow an average of 31.75 shots per game which is the sixth-highest in the NHL (the Penguins allow the seventh most).  

This is a super bounce-back spot for Malkin who only registered one shot last time out having seen 3+ shots in 7 of his first 9 games in 2023. Malkin has seen over 2.5 shots in 55% of his games this season.  

NHL Pick: Evgeni Malkin Over 2.5 Shots (-135) at BetOnline 

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Anaheim Ducks vs. Arizona Coyotes 

Tuesday, January 24, 2023 – 09:00 PM EST at Mullett Arena 

Clayton Keller (Arizona Coyotes) 

  • Over/Under Shots 

The Anaheim Ducks have allowed the most shots per game this season, and for our last NHL pick, we are looking to target the Coyotes' top-shot taker Clayton Keller to have over 2.5 shots in this home game at -130.  

Keller might have only averaged 2.30 shots per game this season but he has been on a roll lately having had 4/4/3/4 shots in his previous four games. The Ducks allow an eye-watering 38.80 shots against per game.  

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NHL Pick: Clayton Keller Over 2.5 Shots (-130) at BetOnline 

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.