NHL Daily Picks: Best Moneyline, Puck Line and Total for November 10

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Brendan Lemieux #48 of the Los Angeles Kings skates with the puck in front of Matt Boldy #12 of the Minnesota Wild. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP.

Below we have our top NHL picks for moneyline, puck line, and total bettors with plenty of games to choose from on a full Thursday night schedule of ice hockey matchups. Let’s review the NHL odds and try to fatten our wallets!

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Calgary Flames vs. Boston Bruins

Thursday, November 10, 2022 – 07:00 PM EST at TD Garden

Two Teams That Like to Shoot

I can’t justify backing a road team that has been in a tailspin, with the Flames having lost their last six, against a team with the best record in the league. However, Calgary has some serious talent on their roster and the moneyline on the Bruins is simply too high.

Therefore, I am going to focus my attention exclusively on the total in this matchup. The Bruins have the No. 1 offense in the league, scoring an average of 4.1 goals per game and they will be opposed by Calgary’s less-than-stellar defense, allowing 3.3 goals against which places them 22nd in that category.

Another aspect we should be aware of is Calgary’s penchant for putting plenty of rubber on the net. The Flames average neatly 37 shots per game (4th) while the Bruins average 34.8 (7th) which means the goalies will have to be on their respective games.

Speaking of goaltenders, it wouldn’t be a shocker if Boston gave the start to the lightly used Jeremy Swayman, considered a platoonmate of Linus Ullmark to begin the season until Ullmark outplayed him.

I would like to think Calgary would give their starter, Jacob Markstrom, a breather and start Dan Vladar but that’s unlikely to happen when playing the best team in the league.

Total Trends

This looks like a nice spot to go over the posted total and we can see a few positive trends supporting our argument:

  • Over is 9-4-1 in the Bruins’ last 14 games following a win.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in the Flames’ last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in the Flames’ last 8 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in the Flames’ last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Predicted Score: Bruins 5 – Flames 3

NHL Pick: Over 6 (-115) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 6 (-115)
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Ottawa Senators vs. New Jersey Devils

Thursday, November 10, 2022 - 07:00 PM EST at Prudential Center

Don't Let a Good Streak Fool You

The Senators have been struggling through a six-game losing streak while the Devils have been a stunning surprise in the early going, posting one of the best records in the league and having won seven consecutive games. So why am I rolling the dice on the long shot in what many believe is a mismatch on Thursday night at the Prudential Center?

The Devils were one of the dregs of the league last year and now they have miraculously turned it all around and are destined for Stanley Cup glory. I believe New Jersey got better but I am unconvinced they are a force to be reckoned with this season as they will begin to see a regression to the mean.

As for the Senators, they’re not a great team by any stretch but they do get at it in the offensive zone and are averaging 3.5 goals per game which is nearly identical to that of the Devils 3.6 GPG. Defensively is where New Jersey holds a substantial edge but Ottawa plays teams tight and has yet to be blown out this season.

The Senators’ largest margin of defeat occurred in their season debut when they lost to the Sabres by three goals. Every other loss has been by two goals or less with three of their last four defeats coming by one goal. We should also note Ottawa has won its last three meetings with New Jersey.

Real Value

I believe we have an inflated line at the best sportsbooks due to the public champing at the bit to throw money at the Devils in what many perceive as a mismatch. This looks like a good value wager and while I won’t bet the rent, I will allocate a unit of my bankroll to take a shot with the Sens in this one.

Predicted Score: Senators 3 – Devils 2

NHL Pick: Senators ML (+160) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Senators ML (+160)
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Chicago Blackhawks vs. Los Angeles Kings

Thursday, November 10, 2022 - 10:30 PM EST at Crypto.com Arena

Easy Target

The Blackhawks are 1-4 on the road this season with their most recent outing being a 4-0 loss in Winnipeg on Saturday. They are not a good team and should be an easy target for the speedy LA Kings tonight.

Speaking of which, Los Angeles has won four of their last six games at the Crypto.com Arena with the two most recent victories being against stout opponents in Florida and Minnesota.

Too Many Shots for Blackhawks to Handle

One important factor I look at when laying 1½ goals is the number of shots a team gets on net. You can’t score if you don’t shoot but that hasn’t been a problem with the Kings this season as they are averaging 33.2 shots per game while Chicago is ranked 27th in shots allowed permitting 34.3 per game.

This should be an easy skate for the Kings and I look for them to win this one by at least two before they host Detroit on Saturday.

Predicted Score: Kings 5 – Blackhawks 2

NHL Pick: Kings -1 ½ (-103) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Kings -1 ½ (-103)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.