Lightning vs. Avalanche Stanley Cup Final Game 2 Odds, Preview and Pick

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Andre Burakovsky #95 of the Colorado Avalanche before a game against the Vancouver Canucks. Dustin Bradford/Getty Images/AFP

If Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Colorado Avalanche was any indication, we are in for a highly entertaining series. Game 2 is Saturday from Denver. Which way to lean? Below, we’ll go over the NHL odds and share a winning NHL betting pick!

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche

Saturday, June 18, 2022 – 08:00 PM EDT at Ball Arena 

We’ve said this previously, but the 2022 NHL playoffs have been way more exciting/dramatic than the NBA postseason has been and it frankly isn’t close.

Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Lightning and Avalanche, won by Colorado 4-3 in overtime was high theater. Here’s hoping this goes seven games, and I actually think there’s a good chance it will. 

Game 2 | Betting Odds

Colorado is -255 on the updated series line at BMR’s top-rated books and betting sites with Tampa Bay +215. Avalanche in five is the exact series score favorite at +300 followed by in six at +360. A sweep is +475. That’s just not happening.  

Incidentally, there already are odds out to win the 2023 Stanley Cup, too, and the Avalanche are +600 favorites followed by the Lightning at +800

The Bolts Playoffs Openers 

Tampa Bay has the better goaltender in this series with future Hall of Famer Andrei Vasilevskiy, but he was a bit shaky at the outset of Game 1 in allowing three first-period goals.

The Russian had never allowed three or more goals in the first period of a playoff game in his career. Two of the goals were a bit weak.

Maybe the Lightning just don’t like Game 1s as they lost 5-0 in Toronto in Round 1 and 6-2 at the Rangers in the last round. In 11 playoff series since 2020, the Lightning have lost the opening game five times

The Lightning Playoffs Lineup Recap

  • Nicholas Paul (fourth of playoffs), Ondrej Palat (ninth), and Mikhail Sergachev (second) had the Tampa goals in the opener vs. the Avs. Nikita Kucherov assisted on Palat’s, his 100th career playoff assist.
  • Pittsburgh’s Sidney Crosby leads with 130. Victor Hedman also had an assist, his 14th career point in the Stanley Cup Final – the most among active defensemen.
  • Forward Brayden Point returned from an injury for the first time since Game 7 of Round 1 and had an assist.  
  • The Bolts scored twice in a span of 48 seconds to tie the game in the second. Only one other team in the last 21 years had scored two goals in 48 seconds or less during Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final: Washington in 2018 (42 seconds). 
  • One could argue that the Lightning lost because of their special teams as they were 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed one Colorado goal with the man advantage. The Bolts were outshot 38-23 overall.

NHL History | Game 1

The Lightning

For what it’s worth, Tampa Bay (last year vs. Montreal) is the only team in the past four years to win the Stanley Cup after winning Game 1 of the Final. Dallas (2020 vs. Tampa Bay), Boston (2019 vs. St. Louis), and Vegas (2018 vs. Washington) all won the opener and eventually fell to their opposition. 

The Lightning killed a delay-of-game penalty to Pat Maroon at the end of regulation and into overtime but only 59 seconds after that power play ended, the game did via a goal from Andre Burakovsky for the 4-3 win.

At 1:23 of OT, it was the earliest overtime goal in a Stanley Cup Final game since 2011 when Alexandre Burrows tallied the winner in Game 2 for the Canucks at home against the Bruins (11 seconds in).

The Avalanche

Burakovsky is one of only two Colorado players -- with Darren Helm -- to have won a Cup before, back in 2018 with the Capitals. 

Colorado got first-period goals from Gabriel Landeskog (ninth of playoffs), Valeri Nichushkin (sixth), and Artturi Lehkonen (seventh). Lehkonen was on the power play and the Avs are now connecting on 31.3 percent of their chances with the man advantage, second among all playoff teams. 

Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final went to overtime for the 20th time in NHL history and the first time in eight years. 

It was Avalanche’s sixth straight playoff win, a franchise record, and fourth in these playoffs in five overtime games. This is the third time the club has posted at least four overtime wins in one playoff year. The Nordiques went 4-0 in 1985 and the Avalanche went 5-2 in 1996, clinching their first Stanley Cup with their final overtime win. 

NHL Injury Update

Bednar decided to go with Darcy Kuemper in net over Pavel Francouz even though Kuemper hadn’t played since May 31 due to injury and Francouz is 6-0 in these playoffs overall in relief of him. Forwards  

Nazem Kadri (right thumb) and Andrew Cogliano (right hand) did not play and are being called day-to-day. Both skated at practice Thursday.

Maybe the extra day off between games will allow them back Saturday. Kadri is the much more important player with 14 points in these playoffs.  

NHL Game 2 Betting Pick

We simply have to keep riding Colorado because the team is so good at home and has the last line change.

The Avs also are 3-0 vs. Tampa Bay this season. There’s really no value at Tampa Bay on the puckline at -205 at the NHL odds board because we could get hosed by an empty-net goal. 

Score prediction: Avalanche 4, Lightning 3 (Leaning over total again)

NHL Pick: Colorado Avalanche ML (-152) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Colorado Avalanche ML (-152)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.