Blues vs. Avalanche Stanley Cup Playoffs Game 1 Predictions and Free Pick

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The Colorado Avalanche celebrate (Photo by Mickey Bernal / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

Colorado Avalanche are eyeing up their first Conference final since 2002 as they made easy work of Nashville in round one sweeping them 4-0. 

This second-round series between these two teams is a repeat of last season’s first-round matchup where the Avalanche crushed the Blues 4-0 and will be hoping for a similar result this time around, time to check out our NHL pick.  

St. Louis Blues vs. Colorado Avalanche  

Tuesday, May 17, 2022 – 09:30 PM EDT at Ball Arena 

Too Easy For Colorado  

The Avalanche swept Nashville 4-0 in the opening round and outscored their opponents by 12 goals. This means the Avalanche got an extra 3/4 days rest ahead of the second round.  

Nathan MacKinnon has racked up a massive 75 playoff points in just 54 postseason games and with five goals and one assist in the first four games, he is looking as dangerous as can be and the Blues should struggle to keep him down game after game. 

We can’t forget about the elite defenseman Cole Maker who also contributed 3 goals and 7 assists for 10 points to tie with the NY Rangers Devon Fox for the most points by a defensive player in this year’s playoff.  

Blues Have Been Thriving as Underdogs 

The Blues have been impressive this season given the underdog set of odds as they have accumulated a record sitting at 20-7 on the +1.5 PK line. Besides their two losses to the Wild, the Blues did an incredible job at shutting them down and allowed just 5 goals in 4 wins, including a shutout.  

Shutting down Colorado won’t be as easy as they scored a whopping 21 goals in just 4 games against Nashville. Thankfully the Blues have a world-class goaltender in Jordan Binnington who allowed just 1.57 goals in the opening playoff round.  

The Blues are a tough team and they should be able to overcome a lot of teams in the playoffs, but maybe the Avalanche are a step too far. The Blues might sneak one win on home ice, maybe even two if they're incredibly lucky but we see this being a 4-1 / 4-2 series win to the Avalanche.  

Team Trends 

*Trends should never be your main source of information when it comes to making your betting picks, they are merely guidelines and mostly irrelevant information, but nonetheless can be interesting to read. 

St. Louis Blues  

  •  Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games. 
  • The totals have gone over in 2 of Blues' last 5 games 
  • The totals have gone over in 21 of Blues' 41 last games at home 

Colorado Avalanche  

  • The totals have gone over in 5 of Avalanche's last 5 games 
  • Avalanche are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread 
  • The totals have gone over in 22 of Avalanche's 41 last games at home 

What Are The Betting Odds and Current Lines? 

Moneyline: St. Louis come into this opening game of the series as big underdogs at odds of +190 compared to Colorado’s -225.  

Total: The total for tonight’s game has been set at 6.5 with the juice towards the over at -125, whilst the under is best available with Everygame (visit our Everygame Review) at +110.  

Puck Line: St Louis are set at -130 odds to cover the +1.5 PK line whilst the host Colorado are priced at +110 to win by two or more goals.  

Betting Predictions 

It’s no surprise to see the total line this high as the previous 3 games at the Bell Centre between these teams went over 6.5 goals. The Avalanche also saw 3 of their 4 games against Nashville go over 6.5 goals and the Blues witnessed 2 of their 3 road games in the first round against the Wild to go over 6.5.

The big question is do the goals keep coming or will this be a tight first game of the series?  

A big factor for us here is the fact the Avalanche have gone out in the 2nd round of the playoffs in the previous three years and they made easy work of the Blues in last year’s playoffs. Colorado have pretty much been Stanley Cup favorites all season long and are currently +190 to lift the cup.

We expect them to lay down a market on home ice in game one and we see them winning tonight’s game.  

Of course, there’s no value on the moneyline and although we rarely play a team -1.5 at odds as low as +110, we believe this is a good play as we see their true odds to cover the -1.5 PK line to be closer to probably about -105. 

Between their ability to outscore opponents and the fact we have an empty netter goal on our side we are confident the Avs can win by 2+ goals. As well as Nathan MacKinnon on our side of course.  

Predicted Score: Colorado Avalanche 4-2 St. Louis Blues  

NHL Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (+110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)  

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Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (+110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.