Top Picks for NFL Week 3: Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns

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Justin Fields #1 of the Chicago Bears. Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images/AFP

We are making our way to NFL Week 3, and there are once again so many exciting matchups to choose from. Read below for my prediction and NFL pick for the Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns. 

Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns 

Sunday, September 26, 2021 – 01:00 PM EDT at the FirstEnergy Stadium

  

Chicago 

The Bears played a wonderful game in week 2 against the Cincinnati Bengals, despite Andy Dalton’s injury in the first half.  Justin Fields came in to take his place and completed 6 out of 13 passes for 60 yards and 1 interception. While Dalton was in the game, he completed 9 out of 11 yards for 56 yards and 1 touchdown.  

David Montgomery was solid, as usual. He gained 61 yards off of 21 attempts, but 44 of those yards were after contact. Fields rushed too with 10 carries for 31 yards.  Darnell Mooney had a game-high with 6 receptions for 66 yards, while Allen Robinson had 2 receptions for 24 yards and 1 touchdown.  

The Bears overall defense appeared to be strong like always; they gave up 276 yards to the Bengals, sacked Joe Burrow 5 times, picked off 3 interceptions, and gained 1 fumble.  Roquan Smith scored the second touchdown of the night with a 53-yard pick-six.  

Cleveland 

The Browns made a comeback after their week 1 loss to the Chiefs. Baker Mayfield had pressure applied to him, but was able to complete 19 out of 21 passes for 213 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception.  Nick Chubb had 11 carries for 95 yards and 1 touchdown, and Kareem Hunt had 13 carries for 51 yards.  

Their receiving end makes me worry since Jarvis Landry is now week-to-week with an MCL injury.  Now, their receiving corps will most likely rely on Donovan Peoples-Jones, Rashard Higgins, and Anthony Schwartz. They had a combined 3 receptions for 42 yards in their meeting against the Texans.  

Prediction 

For this matchup, the opening spread opened at 9.5 points favoring the Cleveland Browns; the spread currently sits between 7 and 7.5 points in the NFL odds board at your Top Sportsbooks.  What stands out to me in terms of the line movement, it is moving more in favor of the Bears since Fields was declared the starting QB in week 3.  

Yes, Fields did not play a perfect game against the Bengals and the team overall relied on their defense, but what else do you expect from a rookie who has had very little field time? The more Fields plays, the more comfortable he is on the field with his new team.  

Plus, the Bears are relying on their defense, just like in the past. They played a wonderful game against the Bengals in week 2. Their O-line assisted the rush and helped the Bears gain 123 rushing yards. Their rush attack only allowed 69 yards.  

The Bears also had 4 turnovers in their meeting with the Bengals and they still held them to only 17 points.  

Cleveland, on the other hand, has a very questionable offense right now, especially with injuries. Again, Jarvis Landry is out with an MCL sprain, and they almost lost Baker Mayfield to an injury on his non-throwing arm.  

It’s clear as to why the Browns are favored in this matchup - there are still a bunch of question marks in the air regarding the Bears offensive efficiency and the ability of Fields growing with the team.  

But I also don’t fully trust Cleveland’s receiving units right now. They have much room for improvement with their defense as well - their D has allowed their opponents to move the ball down the field with ease. In their meeting against Houston, they held them to 309 yards.  

I expect the Bears D to come out ready to bully a questionable Cleveland offense for week 3 and at least cover the spread.  

NFL Pick: Chicago Bears +7 (-105) via BetOnline (Visit our BetOnline Review

Bears +7 (-105)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.