Teams on Upset Alert in NFL Week 13

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Daniel Jones #8 of the New York Giants. Dustin Satloff/Getty Images/AFP

We’re starting to see some separation in the standings. Once that happens, chaos ensues. Here are two underdogs that could win their games for Week 13. Let’ see the NFL odds.

New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins

Sunday, December 5, 2021 – 1:00 PM EST at Hard Rock Stadium

The Miami Dolphins have won four straight games with their last win coming against the Carolina Panthers, 33-10. The Dolphins haven’t looked like a powerhouse in these last four wins and have defeated the Texans, Ravens, Jets, and Panthers. There’s a reason why, despite winning four straight games, the Dolphins are just -3 against the Giants at home.

The Dolphins are only scoring 19.5 points per game while allowing 23.3 points per game. Meanwhile, the Giants are scoring 18.4 points per game and allowing 23 points per game. It seems pretty even here, especially for a Giants team that’s coming off a win themselves with a terrific defensive performance against the Eagles, who had put up many points in their last two games prior to facing New York.

The Giants have essentially been awful against the run this season, allowing 127.7 yards per game. They even had their moments against Jalen Hurts last week where they allowed massive chunks of yards. But all in all, the Giants were able to get stops when they needed to the most.

The Dolphins are only averaging 80.2 yards per game on the ground this season, so if you take away the run game, the Giants defense simply looks better than Miami’s. Of course, both offenses have had trouble protecting the quarterback but the Dolphins actually grade worse in run blocking this season. This is an even matchup and the Giants are a +130 underdog. Sign me up.

NFL Pick: Giants (+130) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots

Monday, December 6, 2021 – 8:15 PM EST at Highmark Stadium

I really didn’t want to believe that the Patriots were back, but they are. The offense continues to limit turnovers under Mac Jones and the defense continues to force them. The Bills are coming off a win against the Saints but have traded wins for losses in the last five weeks, with losses to the Colts and Jaguars recently.

The Patriots are allowing just 15.8 points per game while the Bills have allowed 16.5 points per game. This has a defensive feel to it. Meanwhile, Josh Allen has thrown 25 touchdowns on the season but also 10 interceptions. There’s a better chance that the Bills turn the ball over than the Patriots.

Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

In such a tight game, I want the team that is going to force more turnovers and put together methodical drives. That’s the Patriots. Plus, this game is massive for the AFC East standings. The Patriots are 8-4 on the year while the Bills are 7-4. Whoever wins this game will take the lead in the AFC East. While both teams could make the postseason due to the AFC Wild Card, winning a division is important for the postseason. For your NFL picks, take the Patriots at +130 as well.

NFL Pick: Patriots (+130) with BetOnline

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.