Steelers vs. Chiefs NFL Super Wild Card Weekend Picks: Arguments for Both Sides of the Spread

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Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates with Jerick McKinnon #1. Dustin Bradford/Getty Images/AFP.

Wow… The lead-up to this weekend’s Super Wild Card Bonanza Especial Gigante was more compelling than anything we’ve seen in this fakakta league in forever. And yes I was able to fit Yiddish, Spanish, and my own backdoor pitch for an NFL playoff telenovela into the same sentence. 

Thanks to Brandon Staley operating a clock worse than anyone since Chiefs coach and former VERY LARGE CHILD, Andy Reid, we’ve got the Kansas City Chiefs playing the Pittsburgh Steelers and the man who is more broken down than any quarterback of his generation, Ben Roethlisberger.

The Steelers were a Raiders/Chargers tie away from not being in the playoffs and we’d finally be rid of that large faced man, but now he and the rest of the team led by amazing coach Mike Tomlin will face off against the defending AFC Champions, the Kansas City Chiefs in Kansas City this Sunday.

According to top sportsbooks, the Steelers are a +545 underdog. That coupled with a 13 point spread makes the Steelers the biggest underdog of the weekend by an insane amount.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Sunday, January 16, 2022 – 08:15 PM EST at Arrowhead Stadium

The Eagles are less of an underdog to defeat the Buccaneers on Sunday and that is saying something.

When these two teams last played, the Chiefs cleaned the clocks of every Yinzer in Pittsburgh 36-10, now heading into Kansas City for the second time this year where by the time we kick off it’ll be near 25 degrees. The Steelers pin their hopes on said broken-down Quarterback and the new single-season sack leader and noted sandwich enthusiast, TJ Watt.

Watt is a savage, but Kansas City Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been sacked only 28 times this season (tied for 24th in the league per ESPN) and with that recent game against the Steelers fresh in their head, you have to think the game planning here may be a bit easier for the defending AFC Champs.

I’m not saying it’s an automatic win for Kansas City, as Indianapolis showed this past Sunday, nothing is guaranteed in this league or in this life, so Steelers fans you may have a chance of TJ Watt becomes Lawrence Taylor, Dick Butkus, and Ray Lewis if they were Super Saiyan and puts the whole damn team on his back a’la Greg Jennings and lead the team to the upset of the weekend.

But then we have to come back to a plane of reality in which Kansas City have found their rhythm and won nine of their last ten to reclaim the AFC West as their own and gain home-field advantage for this game. 

In the first game this season, the Steelers did not score for the entire first half, which ain’t great… and they only were able to scrape 10 points together in the loss. 

If you are looking to put some money on the line here and see all of Pittsburgh sad, I kinda like the absurd line, but it feels a little funky, your best bet is the -110 bet on the Over (46.5) via our friends at BetOnline

NFL Pick: Over 46.5 at (-110) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 46.5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.