Seahawks vs. Vikings NFL Week 3 Picks and Expert Insights

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Vikings WR Adam Thielen (#19) catches a pass in the end zone as Marco Wilson (#20) of the Cardinals looks during Week 2. Norm Hall/Getty Images/AFP

No, these NFC squads are not divisional partners, it just sorts of feels like it, as this is the fourth consecutive year Seattle and Minnesota are meeting and the Vikings are pleased to have a venue change after three straight trips to the Northwest.

Seattle had a 14-point lead at home against Tennessee last Sunday and could not make it hold up. Minnesota took Cincinnati to overtime and did not win and in Week 2 had Arizona on the ropes, but failed to deliver the knockout punch on a missed 37-yard field goal. Those three different contests, all decided on the last play that these two teams have lost.

Will the same outcome happen when they square off in Week 3? Let’s check out the NFL odds for this one.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Minnesota Vikings

Sunday, September 26, 2021 – 04:25 PM EDT at U.S. Bank Stadium

If this joust comes down to the final play again, at least one team goes home happy. (And no we are not going to even talk about missed field goals in OT that would lead to a tie.) BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) and various other sportsbooks have Seattle as a two-point away favorite. If Minnesota were to lose again, that would be back-to-back years of 0-3 starts. Ouch.

Seattle Has to Contain the Run to Win and Cover

For more than a half, Seattle’s defensive front seven bottled up Derek Henry. Tennessee’s offensive line was missing two starters and was hardly getting any push.

Late in the third period, Henry began to gain five or more yards a crack and when the Titans fell behind 30-16 with 13 minutes left in the game, Henry went on a 60-yard touchdown jaunt and the toothpaste was out of the tube as he was unstoppable at that point. 

Minnesota presents a similar challenge for the Seahawks with Dalvin Cook a faster, if not as powerful version of Henry. Cook is averaging 96 yards a game on the ground and another 30 YPG catching passes.

The Vikings' passing attack also looks familiar to what Tennessee does with Kirk Cousins having weapons like Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen and emerging K.J. Osburn.

Seattle has the offensive thrust to hurt Minnesota and if they can keep Cook in check, that enhances their chances against the betting odds.

Minnesota’s Defense Will Determine the Vikings Fate

While the Seahawks stop troops suffered a letdown, this Minnesota’s is hardly reminiscent of the Vikings of yesteryear known as “The Purple People Eaters”. (Google it)

Coach Mike Zimmer came to the place with all the lakes as a defensive guru and while that worked for several years, that’s not the case today. Though it is early in the season, the Vikes are 22nd in rushing yards allowed, 26th in passing yards surrendered, which has them ending up at 28th in total defense. The only good news about this is that Seattle is 30th in total D.

Zimmer needs an effective pass rush, otherwise, Russell Wilson will toss those rainbow shots to Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf. This is where Zimmer has to get with his defensive staff to set up schemes that do not give up big plays. Though Wilson is not quite the runner he used to be, he’s still effective, and blitzing only works if you cut off the corners and pressure up the gut.

And The Winner Is...

All things considered for NFL picks, Seattle seems like the right choice with Pete Carroll, as the Hawks (what the locals call them) are 16-5 ATS after a loss.

While we are big fans of conventional wisdom, this is the NFL we are talking about and though Minnesota is winless, this is their first home game which will add a lot of energy. A win last week at Arizona might have been uplifting, but there is every reason for Zimmer to sell his guys on the fact they are a handful of plays from being 2-0.

Like Carroll, Zimmer has positives and the Vikings are 35-22 ATS at home and 11-3 ATS after a loss by three or less points. Toss in the Minny is 36-19 ATS as home underdogs in their last 55 appearances in that role and we are calling for a small Norsemen upset.

NFL Pick: Vikings +2 (-114) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.