Saints vs. Titans NFL Week 10 Preview and Best Bet

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D'Onta Foreman #45 of the Tennessee Titans. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP

The Tennessee Titans (7-2) defend their best record in the AFC against the New Orleans Saints (5-3) on Sunday. The Saints lost 27-25 to Atlanta to fall to the No. 6 seed in the NFC. Read on to take a look at the NFL odds and start making your NFL picks

New Orleans Saints vs. Tennessee Titans

Sunday, November 14, 2021 – 01:00 PM EDT at Nissan Stadium

The Titans (7-2 ATS) are a 2.5-point favorite over the Saints (4-4 ATS) at many of BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks. The Titans are the fourth team in the last 15 seasons to have a four-game winning streak against teams who made the playoffs in the previous season. The Saints would qualify as a fifth-straight past playoff opponent, but can the Titans keep rolling like this?

Titans: Life Without Derrick Henry Starts Okay

Tennessee’s big 28-16 win in Los Angeles on Sunday night was largely the result of punching the Rams in the mouth in the trenches and putting pressure on Matthew Stafford to get two costly interceptions in the first half. Those plays provided the Titans with essentially 14 points that the offense did not have to earn.

Tennessee’s offense in its first game without Derrick Henry did not fare that well. The Titans gained 194 yards of offense and averaged 3.5 yards per play, the unit’s worst marks since Ryan Tannehill took over at quarterback in 2019.

It was the third game in a row where the Titans failed to crack 3.0 yards per carry on the ground as there was not much push for any of the backs. Tennessee used a committee approach to replace Henry with three backs combining for 22 carries for 74 yards. While veteran Adrian Peterson scored a late touchdown, he only had 10 carries for 21 yards in his season debut. Jeremy McNichols had seven carries for 24 yards and D’Onta Foreman, who may prove to be the best option going forward, had five carries for 29 yards.

Henry’s absence and that of Taylor Lewan’s absence on the line did not fundamentally stop the Titans from being themselves on offense, but the unit is going to have to start running more effectively to get better scoring production.

On the bright side, Julio Jones and A.J. Brown came out of the game healthy at wide receiver. Jones has plenty of experience playing against the Saints as a member of the Falcons. It was Atlanta who just beat the Saints despite the running game failing to crack 30 yards and the Falcons not having Calvin Ridley available. The Saints have allowed many deep passes over the last few weeks.

Saints: Right Quarterback?

The Saints have had a tough decision to make at quarterback after Jameis Winston tore his ACL last week. Trevor Siemian started against Atlanta, but it was a struggle for three quarters until the Saints rallied late only to lose on a last-second field goal. Taysom Hill returned to his role as a gadget player and did throw a couple of passes, including one of the only deep completions the Saints had in the game. But it was Siemian who finished 25-of-41 for 249 yards and two touchdowns with a lost fumble.

It has been a difficult adjustment for the Saints this year after losing their Hall of Fame quarterback (Drew Brees) to retirement, Emmanuel Sanders and tight end Jared Cook to free agency, and leading receiver Michael Thomas to injury. The offense has had to thrive on short fields, shot plays, and anything Alvin Kamara can give them.

The Titans look like the hottest defense in the league right now after nearly keeping the Rams out of the end zone for 60 minutes until a garbage-time score was added. They did keep the Chiefs out of the end zone in a 27-3 win in Week 7. The Titans forced Carson Wentz into the worst game he’s had in the last month in Week 8.

They just forced Stafford into his worst game of the season with the Rams. In addition to the two interceptions, the Titans sacked Stafford five times after he had the lowest sack rate of any quarterback coming into the week. The Titans are playing an aggressive style of defense that could serve them well against anyone. The Saints have struggled to manufacture offense on the road this season and historically do much worse compared to being at home in the Superdome.

Predictions

Trusting the hot team in the AFC has been a fool’s errand this season. On the other hand, the 2021 Saints are the league’s biggest enigma. One week they can destroy Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, the next week they could get picked apart by Sam Darnold. With the small spread, I am going to trust Tennessee as the team with the better quarterback playing better defense right now to get the cover for your NFL picks.

NFL Pick: Titans -2.5 (-115) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Titans -2.5 (-115)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.