Saints vs. Steelers NFL Week 10 Betting Preview: Dalton Remains Triggerman for New Orleans

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Andy Dalton #14 of the New Orleans Saints looks on after the Saints beat the Las Vegas Raiders. Sean Gardner/Getty Images/AFP.

Andy Dalton replaced Jameis Winston several weeks ago, but is he the right man for the job?

Head coach Dennis Allen says he is and all signs point to Dalton being under center on Sunday when he faces the Steelers.

Let’s peruse the NFL odds and analyze this matchup as we look to keep cashing our NFL picks!

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New Orleans Saints vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Sunday, November 13, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at Acrisure Stadium

Saints' Offense

Andy Dalton couldn’t spark the Saints’ offense against a relentless Ravens’ defense on Monday night and the outcome was not surprising, a 27-13 loss that harnesses New Orleans with a 3-6 straight up and ATS record entering their Sunday collision with the Steelers.

The longtime Bengals quarterback is now with his third team, since leaving Cincinnati after the 2019 season and at age 35 he is not getting any better. But he’s the devil Dennis Allen knows and he believes Dalton to be a better option than the mercurial Jameis Winston.

Nevertheless, a 3-6 record with a gloomy forecast seems like it would be the opportune time to roll the dice and find out if Winston can rekindle the maturity and poise he demonstrated last season when he tossed 14 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions before getting injured midway through the season.

But it’s not like Winston didn’t get a fair crack at the job, being installed as the starter for the first 3 weeks of the season before being replaced by the Red Rifle. And then again, there is Taysom Hill, a do-it-all athlete without the standard big arm but equipped with plenty of athleticism who has been there before and could likely do it again.

Will Allen Change Dalton?

For those hoping there will be a change under center for this tilt in Pittsburgh, I wouldn’t bet on it.

When head coach Dennis Allen was asked about Dalton after the loss to Baltimore he said, "I think over the last five weeks, (Dalton) has been pretty good in moving the football effectively. This wasn't a good game tonight. So, we'll evaluate as we move forward, but I'm looking at this as a bad day at the office offensively. We've got to improve from it."

Steelers Sinking Fast

Pittsburgh is now mired in the basement of the AFC North with a 2-6 (3-4-1 ATS) record after getting trounced, 35-11, by the Eagles in the City of Brotherly Love.

There was little affection shown by the Eagles’ pass rush towards Steelers’ quarterback, Kenny Pickett, sacking the rookie 6 times while Jalen Hurts torched the Pittsburgh secondary with 4 touchdown strikes and 285 yards.

Pickett was 25-of-38 for 191 yards and an interception, while the Steelers' rushing attack garnered 144 yards with Jaylen Warren leading the charge with 50-yards on 6 carries.

Saints vs. Steelers: Game Prediction

This will not be the first game fans will tune into to watch football this Sunday. As a matter of fact, it is more than likely it will be their last choice considering the participants. However, any game is a good game if we can make money, so let’s analyze this matchup and see if we can find an edge.

The Steelers have the benefit of having 2 weeks to lick their wounds and reflect on an abysmal 8 weeks that will likely see Mike Tomlin experience his first losing season, since his Pittsburgh debut as the head man in charge way back in 2007.

Pittsburgh will also enjoy home-field advantage where they are 1-2 (1-1-1 ATS) with their last performance at Acrisure Stadium, resulting in a stunning 20-18 upset of the Bucs as 10-point home dogs.

Nevertheless, whatever stock you put in those 2 advantages can be mitigated by the fact that this is a team ranked 23rd in passing (204.1 YPG), 27th in rushing (94.9 YPG), 28th in total yards (299 YPG), and 31st of 32 teams in scoring, averaging 15 points per game. And defensively, they are not much better, as the Steelers are 29th in total yards allowed (395.1 YPG), 31st against the pass (277.3 YPG), and 23rd in points allowed (24.6 PPG).

Yes, the Saints have their issues, but they also have Alvin Kamara, a Swiss army knife in Taysom Hill, and will likely see Jarvis Landry back on the field.

Team Trends

  • Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Saints are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 10.
  • Steelers are 1-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Total Trends

  • Under is 5-0 in the Saints’ last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Saints’ last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Under is 5-0 in the Steelers’ last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-1 in the Steelers’ last 7 home games.
  • Under is 5-1 in the Steelers’ last 6 games following an ATS loss.

The Betting Picks

Am I thrilled about throwing good money on a bad team like the Saints? I certainly am, if they are playing a trainwreck like the Steelers.

Watch the Saints march their way to an easy win over Pittsburgh in a low-scoring affair.

Score Prediction: Saints 23 - Steelers 16

NFL Pick: Saints -2.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Saints -2.5 (-108)
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NFL Pick: Under 41.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Under 41.5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.