The Baltimore Ravens (5-3) and New Orleans Saints (3-5) come into Monday night’s game with the shared experience of significant injuries to their skill players this year. On Thursday, both announced their No. 1 wide receiver – Michael Thomas for the Saints and Rashod Bateman for the Ravens – would likely miss the rest of the season due to injury.
For the Ravens, this would normally be tolerable with tight end Mark Andrews the main target in Baltimore, but he is doubtful for this game with a shoulder injury. The Ravens are also down their top two running backs (J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards). Wide receiver Demarcus Robinson, who would be a new starter in Bateman’s place, is also questionable.
In addition to Thomas, the Saints are without backup running back Mark Ingram, and wide receiver Jarvis Landry is questionable to play after missing a few games.
So, who is playing, and will there be points? The Ravens are a 2-point favorite in a game with a total of 47 points at many of the top-rated sportsbooks. Let’s sort out some NFL prop picks for these teams.
Baltimore Ravens vs. New Orleans Saints
Monday, November 07, 2022 – 08:15 PM EST at Caesars Superdome
Lamar Jackson (Ravens)
- Over/Under 62.5 Rushing Yards
The Ravens were oddly pass-happy in the first half against Tampa Bay in Week 8. Maybe they wanted to take advantage of an injured secondary, but Lamar Jackson threw 30 passes in the first half, a total he often doesn’t have for an entire game. It really did not work out either as the Ravens trailed 10-3 at halftime.
After going to the run and looking more like the Ravens in the second half, they scored 24 points and won the game. Jackson finished with 43 rushing yards, but he is always a threat to use his legs. You could contain him for most of the day, then he’ll take off for 30 yards on a third-and-10 that just kills you.
With the injuries the Ravens have and the potential for the Saints to bring pressure, let’s trust the running lanes to be there and for Jackson to take them in this matchup. Take his over in rushing yards for your NFL picks.
NFL Pick: Lamar Jackson Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Bovada
Running Back Props
Kenyan Drake (Ravens)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer
With J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards out, the job should belong to Kenyan Drake. Of course, the Ravens love playing games with their running back rotation. This is why it is hard to trust Drake’s yardage line.
But as a touchdown scorer, he should have a good chance. He has scored a touchdown in two of his last three games for the Ravens. Let’s count on a third time here.
NFL Pick: Kenyan Drake Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100) at Bovada
Alvin Kamara (Saints)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer
It took six games, but Alvin Kamara found his first touchdown of 2022 against the Raiders last week. He liked it so much that he scored two more, including one through the air.
The danger with betting on any Kamara prop is the presence of Taysom Hill. You never know when he’s going to rush for a lot of yards or score the touchdowns that normally would go to Kamara.
But after Kamara’s big game last week, let’s hope the Saints realize he’s still a huge weapon for them and he gets into the end zone again in this one.
NFL Pick: Alvin Kamara Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100) at Bovada
Devin Duvernay (Ravens)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer
- Over/Under 43.5 Receiving Yards
Duvernay is a solid role player who is being asked to do his most yet in his third season. He scored a touchdown in three straight weeks to start 2022, and he has the only kick return touchdown in the NFL this season. He also scored in Tampa Bay in Week 8 for the Ravens.
With Bateman out and Robinson not at 100%, Duvernay could end up playing a season-high snap count. Let’s trust him to go over 43.5 yards and score another touchdown if Jackson is to throw one in this game. It should also help that the Saints are without top corner Marshon Lattimore again.
NFL Pick: Devin Duvernay Over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Bovada
NFL Pick: Devin Duvernay Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220) at Bovada
Chris Olave (Saints)
- Over/Under 64.5 Receiving Yards
Even if Jarvis Landry returns, that should not put a huge dent in Chris Olave’s production. He has arguably been the most consistent rookie wide receiver this season with at least 41 yards in every game.
In three wins for New Orleans, Olave has had under 55 yards. In four losses for New Orleans, Olave has had at least 67 yards each time. It makes sense. The Saints throw more in games they trail and don’t have control of. They throw less in the games they are winning.
If you think the favored Ravens are going to pull this game out, then you should like Olave’s chances of having 65 or 70-plus yards for his team.
NFL Pick: Chris Olave Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Bovada
Longshot Touchdown Scorers
We already picked Kamara, Drake, and Duvernay as touchdown scorers in this game, but here is a longshot choice for each team as well:
Saints: Defense/Special Teams
The Saints do not have a return touchdown yet this season, but when you think of this team in the Superdome on a Monday night, you think about return touchdowns like Steve Gleason blocking a punt against the Falcons in 2006. That was the first game in the Superdome after Hurricane Katrina.
With the Ravens trying to work in a lot of new skill players who are not that experienced in the system, you never know when a mistake could happen and get pounced on for an easy six points. The Saints might be feeling it defensively with the crowd behind them after last week’s 24-0 shut out over the Raiders.
NFL Pick: New Orleans D/ST Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+700) at Bovada
Ravens: DeSean Jackson
DeSean Jackson turns 36 in a few weeks, but he could be making his debut for the Ravens at a good time with the Bateman injury. Jackson is one of the best deep threats in NFL history and figures to still have some speed on those old but fresh legs.
He hasn’t played in a game since losing in the wild-card round in Cincinnati as a member of the Raiders. If he plays, this could be a sneaky good play for an anytime touchdown scorer with great NFL odds. Jackson to Jackson would look pretty good on a deep ball for six.
NFL Pick: DeSean Jackson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+450) at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.