Rams vs. Chiefs NFL Week 12 Top Picks: Kansas City to Deliver Los Angeles Another Loss

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Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs directs his team against the Los Angles Chargers. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP.

When the NFL schedule first came out, the Week 12 showdown between the Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs could have been circled as a potential Super Bowl preview.

Both teams have won the big game in recent years, the Rams as recently as February, and they have boasted some of the most explosive offenses in the NFL over that time.

Well, the Chiefs we all expected have shown up for the game, but the 3-7 Rams are one of the big disappointments in the league this year. Not only are they on the wrong end of the biggest point spread of the week, but they’re the biggest underdogs they’ve been since the 2016 season.

What does this all mean for your NFL picks? Let’s find out.

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Los Angeles Rams vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Sunday, November 27, 2022 – 04:25 PM EST at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Didn’t You Use to Be the Rams?

The Rams are 3-7 in last place in the NFC West and losers of four straight games. They have not scored more than 20 in any of those games and have failed to top 20 in seven of the last eight, a shocking development for Sean McVay’s vaunted offense. Things can still get worse on offense for the Rams, as well.

In last Sunday’s loss to the Saints, quarterback Matt Stafford left the game with a possible concussion. The hit came just two days after Stafford was released from the NFL concussion protocol and cleared to play.

“Obviously we need to make a smart decision for Matthew and see where we’re at,” McVay said. “I know how he was feeling, and we made the decision it was going to be in his best interest to not have him continue to play.”

Rams' Quarterback Situation

Stafford is reportedly back in concussion protocol, and his status for Sunday is up in the air. He missed the Rams’ Week 9 loss to Arizona two weeks ago, and the backup quarterback who started that game, John Wolford, suffered a neck injury and may not be available. Third-stringer Bryce Perkins, who finished the Saints' game, would be the option if Wolford can’t go in Stafford’s place.

Whoever is at quarterback could have a makeshift line. Left tackle Ty Nsekhe hurt his ankle in the Saints' game and didn’t return. The injury has been diagnosed as a sprain, but McVay said there’s “a chance” he plays on Sunday. If not, the Rams will go with their 11th different combination of starting offensive linemen in 11 games.

The defensive line also lost a key player when A’Shawn Robinson hurt his knee. McVay said his injury “doesn’t look good.”

Still the Chiefs

A month ago, the Chiefs lost to the Bills in a rematch of the AFC Championship Game and were considered an afterthought to Buffalo’s rise to conference supremacy. Since then, the Bills have fallen on hard times, while Kansas City hasn’t lost. The Chiefs are now 8-2—the best record in the AFC by a full game—and have won four in a row, including a road win at the Chargers on Sunday night.

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 328 yards and three touchdowns last week, despite a stable of skill-position players that seems to be constantly shrinking.

Receiver Juju Smith-Schuster missed the game with a concussion, and Mecole Hardman was placed on injured reserve with an abdominal injury. During the game, receiver Kadarius Toney went down with a hamstring injury. Tight end Travis Kelce stepped up with a 100-yard day.

At running back, Clyde Edwards-Helaire hurt his ankle in the first quarter and didn’t return, leaving the ground game in the hands of rookie Isiah Pacheco, who turned in a 100-yard rushing day.

The Picks

The Chiefs were able to win without some of their key offensive playmakers. Getting some of them back for the Rams' game will give a boost to a Mahomes-led offense that hasn’t needed it.

The Rams, meanwhile, are spiraling. They may make a stand against the best opponent they’ll face this season, but it likely won’t be enough to cover at the NFL odds.

Bettors looking to wager on the Kansas City Chiefs can find reputable Missouri betting sites to do so using Bookmakers Review.

Predicted Score: Chiefs 31 - Rams 14

NFL Pick: Chiefs -14.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Chiefs -14.5 (-110)
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NFL Pick: Over 44 (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Over 44 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.