Welcome to Super Bowl LVI week. This is the biggest betting week of the American calendar thanks to sportsbooks offering NFL odds on anything you can imagine. The best way to profit on the Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Rams Super Bowl is to take advantage of the variety of player prop bets on the board.
Player prop bets are a terrific risk that we can often predict with quality trend analysis. One good game in the last month isn’t the best indicator unless an injury has occurred and there’s more of a market share available for a player in line to benefit. That’s the type of analysis we’ve used all year to profit and will again for the Super Bowl.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, February 13, 2022 – 06:30 PM EST at SoFi Stadium
Star Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has rightfully earned many top headlines throughout this season and playoffs. The second-year pro has overcome one of the worst offensive lines to ever make it this far in the postseason. His extraordinary accuracy, mental processing, and moxie have allowed him to maximize a deep core of playmakers instead of falling victim to a horrible set of blockers.
Burrow is averaging a completion rate of just under 69% with 842 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions this postseason. With a passing prop of 277.5 yards against a defense ranked 22nd in passing yards allowed, but also one of the most effective pass rushes is a difficult one. I'm fading that line as I expect the Bengals to stay balanced to keep Von Miller and Aaron Donald from crushing Burrow throughout the entire game.
NFL Pick: Burrow under 277.5 yards (-114) at Bovada
Like the Bengals, the Rams' offense is heavily reliant on passing efficiency. They run the ball for the functionality of it, not for the overall effectiveness per-down. This benefits Matthew Stafford's stats for our player prop bets.
The Bengals have a secondary that has outplayed their 26th-ranking in passing yards allowed in this postseason. That being said, Stafford's 282.5 over is an easy bet. Stafford's averaging over 300 yards-per-game and getting the opportunity to find chunk plays downfield every week.
NFL Pick: Stafford over 282.5 yards (-114) at Bovada
Pro Bowl rusher Joe Mixon has averaged 63.3 yards per game on an inefficient 3.7 yards per carry. Again, the Bengals' line is largely to blame, but they'll grind out yards if they can. The Rams will keep Mixon under his 62.5-yard prop bet, as their defense has notched three straight games with 61 total rushing yards or less.
NFL Pick: Mixon under 62.5 yards (-114) at Bovada
Rams running back Cam Akers has a difficult line at 64.5, just under Mixon's line for Cincinnati. Again, much is mirrored in this matchup as Bengals' head coach Zac Taylor is a protege of Sean McVay. The Rams will grind for yards to simply do it.
I like Akers' over despite averaging just 50.3 in this postseason after coming back from a torn Achilles injury. He won't be a major factor beyond hitting the over but he'll get the touches to eclipse what is almost a gimme line for a starting tailback in a McVay offense.
NFL Pick: Akers over 64.5 yards (-114) at Bovada
Although I've gone under on two Bengals' stars, I'll take the over on receiving yards on both Ja'Marr Chase's 80.5 line and Tee Higgins' 71.5 line. Both are averaging over these marks, and the loss of tight end C.J. Uzomah is massive. Tyler Boyd has been struggling to produce in the playoffs, and the Rams do well to limited production over the middle of the field.
NFL Pick: Chase over 80.5 yards (-114) at Bovada
Both Chase and Higgins are able to earn forced touches and improvisational production. They're an elite duo with their route-running and sure hands. Jalen Ramsey is an imposing Rams' defender, but he's only one man in a secondary also starting 37-year-old Eric Weddle. Expect the Bengals to force feed their trusted men.
NFL Pick: Higgins over 71.5 yards (-114) at Bovada
As you'd imagine, we'll buy into Stafford's playmakers as well. Cooper Kupp's 107.5 total and Odell Beckham's 65.5 total are great NFL picks to piggyback onto Stafford's, considering they're averaging 129 yards and 79 yards per game, respectively. Cincinnati's zone-based defense has the talent within it and will clog some passing lanes, but the lack of proven reliable options beyond those two is similar to Cincinnati's. They rely on their stars for good reason.
NFL Pick: Kupp over 107.5 yards (-114) at Bovada
NFL Pick: Beckham over 65.5 yards (-114) at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.