Raiders vs. Jaguars NFL Week 9 Top Picks: Maybe Trevor Lawrence Isn’t Good 

profile image of Matthew.Jordan
Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Jacksonville Jaguars directs the offense against the New York Giants. Courtney Culbreath/Getty Images/AFP.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are on a five-game losing streak as they host the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday in Week 9. Which way to lean at the best sportsbooks

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 

Sunday, November 6, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at TIAA Bank Field 

Last Time They Met

CBS has the telecast of this matchup between disappointing AFC teams – I honestly thought both would be a lot better than they currently are with new head coaches in Josh McDaniels of the Raiders and Doug Pederson of the Jaguars. Both have Super Bowl rings, Pederson as a former head coach in Philly and McDaniels a long-time offensive coordinator in New England. 

These teams haven’t met in a game that counted since Week 15 of the 2019 season in the Raiders’ final game in Oakland. Jacksonville won 20-16. Then-Jags QB Gardner Minshew threw 2 TD passes to Chris Conley in the final 5:15 of the game. Minshew is now a backup in Philadelphia.

The Raiders blew a 16-3 lead. Derek Carr threw for 267 yards and a TD, Josh Jacobs rushed for 89 yards, and Darren Waller caught 8 passes for 122 yards. The Raiders last visited Jacksonville in 2016. The Jags are 5-2 ATS on the NFL picks in the past seven meetings. 

Las Vegas did play Jacksonville in this year’s Pro Football Hall of Fame Game to open up the preseason, where the Raiders out on top, 27-11. 

Raiders Looking for Answers 

Of course, the Raiders acquired arguably the NFL’s best receiver this offseason in Davante Adams from Green Bay, and while Adams has been pretty good with 38 catches for 512 yards and 5 scores, the Silver & Black are just 2-5. They were shut out Sunday in a 24-0 loss at New Orleans – the first time the Raiders were blanked in nearly eight years.  

Derek Carr was 15 of 26 for 101 yards (third-fewest in his career) with one interception and was sacked three times before being replaced by Jarrett Stidham late in the fourth quarter. There’s no QB controversy.

Adams was a non-factor with one catch for 3 yards. Pro Bowl tight end Darren Waller was listed as questionable as he tried to return from an Oct. 10 hamstring injury but didn’t play. Obviously too early to know if he will be here.

Will Josh McDaniels Get Fired?

Owner Mark Davis had a meeting with McDaniels after the loss – some believe McDaniels might be in trouble. He won’t get canned during the year but if things don’t get better, he might be one and done

"Obviously, that wasn't good enough in any way, shape or form, and that's my responsibility," McDaniels said. "I have to do a much better job of getting us ready to go here. We're better than that. We've performed and played much better than this. We've coached better than this. When we play a game like this backward on the road against a good team in a hostile environment, it's difficult. You make things difficult on yourself." 

Instead of the long travel on Saturday to Florida, the Raiders will spend this week in Sarasota, Fla., practicing at the IMG Academy in nearby Bradenton.

Las Vegas is 1-5 ATS on the NFL odds in its past six vs. teams with a losing record.  

What's Going On in Jacksonville?

Could the Jaguars actually pick first overall in the NFL Draft for a third straight year in 2023? Could happen with the team at 2-6, although I expect the Houston Texans (1-5-1) to beat that team. Houston’s lone win is over Jacksonville. 

Lawrence Isn’t Improving 

The Jags lost their fifth in a row Sunday in London, 21-17 to Denver. Latavius Murray had the winning 2-yard TD run with 1:43 left. After Murray's touchdown with 1:43 remaining, Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence threw an interception to K'Waun Williams at the Jacksonville 35.  

Lawrence was one of the most touted QBs to enter the NFL and was supposed to be a superstar but maybe he’s not that good. The former No. 1 overall pick threw for only 133 yards with a TD and 2 picks (one at Denver's goal line).

During the skid, Lawrence’s minus-9.3% completion percentage over expectation (CPOE) over that stretch is the second worst in the league, behind only Baker Mayfield's.  

More than 21% of Lawrence's passes over the past five games have been off-target, the third-worst mark in football. Lawrence has thrown 6 interceptions this season. All 6 have come in the red zone or in the final two minutes of a one-score game. 

What Will Doug Pederson Do?

New Coach Doug Pederson was supposed to get the best out of him. The Jaguars have led in every game this season, and all six losses have been decided in the final minutes. 

“Listen, I’m not gonna take the aggressiveness away from Trevor, I love that part about him but, at the same time, we’ve got to be smart,” Pederson said. "We're just going to continue to grow. We're going to grow together.

Some Good News

Travis Etienne had his best day as a pro with 24 carries for 156 yards and a touchdown. Etienne scored on a 1-yard plunge to give Jacksonville a 17-14 lead with 3:54 to play.

His fantasy profile got a huge boost when James Robinson was recently traded to the Jets.  

The Pick

Hard to trust either of these teams right now, but we’ll back Las Vegas as Lawrence looks broken

Jacksonville is 2-6 ATS in its past eight at home.

NFL Pick: Under 48.5 (-112) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

BetOnline logo
Under 48.5 (-112)
Visit Site

NFL Pick: Raiders -1.5 (-110) at BetOnline 

BetOnline logo
Raiders -1.5 (-110)
Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.