Raiders vs. Cowboys NFL Week 12 Betting Preview: Expert Picks for Thanksgiving

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Derek Carr #4 of the Las Vegas Raiders. Sarah Stier/Getty Images/AFP

The annual Thanksgiving Day game in Dallas will feature two teams that likely aren’t very grateful for their current situation. The Raiders have dropped three straight games, and players said they were “fed up” with the losing. The Cowboys are coming off a loss to the Chiefs and could be without two key playmakers. Keep reading to look at the NFL odds, get some expert betting advice, and cash out your NFL pick!

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Dallas Cowboys

Thursday, November 25, 2021 – 04:30 PM EST at AT&T Stadium

In a Free Fall

The Raiders opened the season 5-2 and looked ready to compete for the AFC West title. Since then, however, Las Vegas has lost three in a row, to a bad Giants team and a pair of blowouts at home to the Chiefs and Bengals. On Sunday, the Bengals scored 16 straight points in the fourth quarter to break open a three-point game and win 32-13.

Quarterback Derek Carr has struggled, throwing four touchdowns with six turnovers after the last three-game. He had 12 scores and five interceptions in the first seven games. Carr had two turnovers against the Bengals, and the Raiders managed just 278 yards, the second straight week they’ve been held under 300. Carr said that the Raiders’ problems on offense “start and end with me,” but he also seemed to imply that some of his teammates may not be fully bought in.

“In a way, it hopefully will be good for our guys,” Carr said of the quick Sunday-Thursday turnaround. “Either we go home and we go to work or we can be out on the strip and we go to late dinners and these kinds of things, or we can get back to work and try to get a win.”

On defense, which has surrendered 73 points in the last two weeks, the Raiders have a pair of contributors trying to work their way back. Cornerback Brandon Facyson struggled with finger and hamstring injuries this past week, and linebacker Nick Kwiatkoski missed Sunday’s game with a hurt ankle.

Offensive Slump

A week after scoring 43 against the Falcons, the Cowboys were held without a touchdown and managed just nine points in a loss to Kansas City. Dallas has been struggling with injuries on offense. The Cowboys shuffled their offensive line with left tackle Tyron Smith out with injury, and the result was five sacks by the Chiefs defense.

Wide receiver Amari Cooper also missed the Kansas City game after a positive COVID test, and he’s already been ruled out for Thursday, meaning that he’ll miss a chance to go up against his old team. The injury situation got even worse during the game. Running back Ezekiel Elliott limped off the field in the first quarter. He returned but seemed to struggle.

“Just the same knee, the same knee injury I’ve been dealing with,” he said. “It’s feeling better, but I rolled up on it, and kind of hurt it. Overall, it’s definitely getting better.”

Receiver CeeDee Lamb was knocked out of the game in the second quarter and is now in the concussion protocol. It’s still possible that he’ll pass his evaluations and be cleared to play, but the short week makes that a tough task to accomplish.

That means Dak Prescott could be without his top two targets, as well as having his running back going on a bad knee. Without Lamb and Cooper on Sunday, Dallas receivers had a large number of drops, not a good sign for Thursday’s prospects.

The Pick

For your NFL pick consider that the Raiders seem to have hit a new low, and the players showed some fire and fight following their loss. That could be a good sign. The team is still in the playoff mix and a wounded Dallas offense could be just what the Raiders need to turn things back in the right direction.

NFL Pick: Raiders +7 (-105) with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Raiders +7 (-105)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.