Our Top NFL Week 15 Parlay: Best Bets for Sunday’s Games

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Tua Tagovailoa #1 of the Miami Dolphins. Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

Editor’s Note: The NFL announced on Friday afternoon that the Washington Football Team and the Philadelphia Eagles game has been moved to Tuesday 21th, at 07:00 PM EST due to a “substantial increase in (COVID) cases across the league.”

There is a lot to like on Sunday. Here are two games for your best parlay. The top sportsbooks have released their NFL odds for Sunday’s Week 15 action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in Washington vs. Philadelphia and the Jets vs. Dolphins.

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the total for the first game and the spread for the second. Feel free to parlay both bets at online sports betting site in order to maximize your profit.

Washington Football Team vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Tuesday, December 19, 2021 – 07:00 PM EST at Lincoln Financial Field 

Eagles Are Run-First

Philadelphia's offense is by far the NFL's most run-oriented one. The Eagles own the highest run-play percentage by a 2.99-percent margin over second place. Their quarterback, Jalen Hurts, missed his team's game on December 5 and needed rest during his team's bye week in order to nurse his injured ankle. He is expected to start Sunday's game.

Hurts often have issues with passing accuracy. He's failed to complete 55 percent of his passes in each of his last two games and ranks 33rd in true completion percentage. However, he at least always likes to be a threat as a runner. His smoothness changing directions and his agility might be his best assets as a quarterback when he's playing sufficiently weak opponents.

A loaded backfield is in place to support him. There aren't any superstars, but there are numerous starter-caliber guys, such as Miles Sanders, Jordan Howard, and other running backs who have received and made something respectable out of a higher volume of opportunities.

Washington's Improved Defense 

Dallas' 27-point output is a bit misleading because Dallas returned a fumble for a touchdown and had a 15-yard drive resulting in a field goal. Before that game, the Football Team had allowed 15 to Las Vegas and Seattle, 21 to Carolina, and 19 to offensively elite Tampa Bay.

Washington's improved defense is evident in its cornerback play, among other places, and it is most evident in its run defense. Given this improvement, the Football Team ranks fifth in limiting the opponent's rushing yards per play. Keep this stat in mind for your sports betting.

This strength against the run makes Washington's defense look more like the elite unit that it was last year, the same one that traveled to Philadelphia to limit Hurts to 72 yards passing and 34 yards rushing.

Washington Offense vs. Philadelphia Defense 

Both teams have meaningful players whose injuries are worth monitoring: these players include some Eagle running backs and Washington defenders. But I think Football Team wide receiver Terry McLaurin is the most important player.

Observe for your NFL picks that he is his team's leader, by far, in terms of receptions, targets, yards, and touchdowns. His success correlates with that of his entire offense. Whereas he exceeded 100 receiving yards in Washington's two 30+-point outputs, he failed to accrue more than 51 receiving yards in five of the seven games in which the Football Team failed to score more than 20 points.

McLaurin's absence -- he is currently in the concussion protocol -- would mean that Washington has too little star power to reliably navigate the Eagle defense. If he could play, Washington would absolutely be worth backing as a live dog.

New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

Sunday, December 19, 2021 - 1:00 PM EST at Hard Rock Stadium 

What Could Change?

As part of Miami's ongoing win streak, the Dolphins beat the Jets 24-17 in Week 11.
For this game, a lot changes in the Dolphins' favor. For starters, they are coming off a bye week and are playing this rematch at home.

Furthermore, Zach Wilson is starting at quarterback instead of the veteran Joe Flacco. Wilson is an interception machine who is inefficient both under pressure and in a clean pocket. As measured by completion percentage, his best asset by far is his deep passing.

However, his favorite deep target, Elijah Moore, is on IR. When the Jets managed 17 points, Moore was a rare bright spot in the offense as he amassed 141 receiving yards including a 62-yard reception.

Know for your best bets that, without Moore and with Wilson, the Jets will struggle to reach 10 points. Defensively, the Jets are still historically bad. They've allowed 30+ points in each of their last two games -- at home to New Orleans and Philadelphia -- and now rank last by 2.8 points in limiting the opponent's scoring.

An ever-improving Tua Tagovailoa, who has accomplished a passer rating over 100 in four straight games now, will find plenty to pick apart in a young secondary laden with late-round draft selections.

The Verdict 

Washington's defense matches up well with the run-heavy Eagle offense whose quarterback will try to do what he failed to do last year and what Tom Brady, Dak Prescott, and others are failing to do: successfully navigate an ascendant Washington defense.

The Jet offense will struggle against a Dolphin defense that has allowed 55 points in the past five games, relying among other things on its elite and very expensive secondary, which the interception-prone and inefficient Wilson will struggle to survive.

With Tua and enough healthy running backs, Miami will easily outpace New York's historically bad defense. For the above reasons, play Washington ATS and Miami ATS if McLaurin is good to go or the Washington/Philadelphia "under" and Miami ATS if McLaurin is ruled 'out.'

Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

NFL Parlay: Under 44 (-110) and Dolphins -8.5 (-105) 

Payout: +273 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Parlay +273
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.